Chris78

Alright. Someone post a nice kuchie map

If the Euro is correct That's going to be a big bust on the M/D line

26 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Love the GFS. Can't say the same for the Euro. In the context of maximizing the potential for this storm, they are pretty far apart.

Lol. If the Euro is right that's going to be a pretty big bust up around the M/D line. 

Wow

8 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Absolutely crushed... 

Wouldn't shock me to see the Cascade/ Ft Richie area report  8 to 10" 

6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Wsw issued per wgal.  Lsv.

I think we might be in a pretty good spot for this one. Fingers crossed

3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

That's less than this mornings update

Nothing on guidance that would suggest lowering totals  kinda odd

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

The good stuff arrives between 9z and 12z..almost looks like a comma head type deal at 12z...was also on 6z

Oooh. Keep talking....

3 minutes ago, yoda said:

Equates to a bit less snowfall though compared to the 06z run

 

Still really close to its 6z run. Basically 3 to 5 across much of the area with maybe 6 or 7 in the area that jack pots

Just now, yoda said:

 

Damn. That's sexy AF

Just now, Terpeast said:

Could be the last chance then that’d be all folks

I think we could get 1 more chance in March. Looks to warm up after the 23/24 chance but maybe during the second week of March?

With the debacle of the long range it's hard to know.

Did I stumble into the Tropical thread by mistake.

Just now, Ji said:

Jb was saying 20 30:1 ratios

Biggest weenie of all

1 minute ago, Interstate said:

is TT down for anyone else or is it just me?

Yes

3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Wonder when they’ll issue warnings?

After we close this and start a new thread 

Just now, mitchnick said:

There are studies that Bluewave claims points to warm waters in the western Pac and Indian Ocean as the origin of our Pacific pattern problems. I'm not prepared to sign onto it, but as I  posted in the El Nino thread, I'm all in for a super Nina which would cool that area. Then starting in 25/26 winter, God willing, see how things look.

Definitely need something to change the Pacific. It's been a thorn for several years now.

Ussually ninas are better further north but for mby I fully expect next winter to be a total dumpster fire. 

Right now it looks pretty bleak.

35 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Because all forecasts past 5 days are 1 notch above a guess. They should put 50-75% of the money and resources currently used for anything beyond 7 days into short range modeling imho.

Except for seasonal modeling in ninas.

I'm sure the depiction  from cansips of January 2025 will be spot on lol.

6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

The latest GFS is not a shit the blinds run by any means

Seems like the Op looks improved after the Esembles long range looks went to meh lol.

Go fiquire 

The funny thing is once the ensembles went to Meh in the long range now we're starting to get some better looks from the Ops lol.

Go fiquire

On 1/20/2024 at 9:35 AM, Chris78 said:

12/11- 1"

1/6 - 4"

1/15-16 - 3.25"

1/19 - 4"

Season total 12.25"

2/13- 3.75"

2/17 - 2.25"

Season total - 18.25"

12 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Me either...I don't speak Shroomchaser-ese!

One thing I learned this winter is ussually Chuck knows what he's talking about. His long range prophecies ussually cone true.

The problem is I don't speak chuck. I need an interpreter or something 

4 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Both this and last winter we at least had some blocking. Next winter we probably won’t. Not to the extent that we have seen anyway. 

I’d want to see wholesale changes in the pacific and for the atlantic to cool off to change my outlook. Until then, I’m setting fare alerts on Google flights. 

My wag on next year is we will probably have 1 shot at a decent storm and if we hit it it would be just a crappy winter. If we don't it will be a historically bad winter again.

And these threads will be completely unreadable next year lol

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Both this and last winter we at least had some blocking. Next winter we probably won’t. Not to the extent that we have seen anyway. 

I'm fully expecting next winter to be a replay of last winter. It's going to be a dumpster fire. 

Did any of the airports pick up anything today ? 

In regards to the snowfall contest?

3.75 in Smithsburg