Chris78

1 hour ago, clskinsfan said:

D winter. Would of been a C if a nina but bigger expectations with a nino.. 

My average is high 20's here. Probably another 10 in ninos. 

Ended up with 18" pretty crappy for a Nino in Northern Md

Late next week looks interesting.

12z doesn't snow on us but looks like it could.

48 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

@CAPE curious…what if your life depended on BWI getting 35” next winter. What pattern would you want to see heading into winter to feel like you have a shot?  Short of simply “hope the PDO flips” that ones obvious. But what if it’s still a -pdo. BWI has had 35”+ numerous times in a -pdo. Granted none in the last 30 years.  But if you could draw up the pattern you want to see in this -pdo if you had to get 35” what would it be?  

I'd probably start making funeral arrangements. 

Just now, stormtracker said:

So now I gotta watch out for blue robes and hoods now.
 

I think the winters we’ve seen that past 3 years are our new normal. It’s never going back to our childhood.  We’re the new Richmond I’m afraid. 

 

New Charlotte 

6 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

I got a minor knee scope and a cortisone shot now I’m pushing my rehab hard in hopes I can save my season.  My target date is Easter weekend. April is my favorite month anyways up at Killington, Stowe, Sugarbush and Sugarloaf. It’s ambitious but they said not impossible if I wear the bulky knee brace and have no set backs. 

Hopefully you have a speedy recovery and can head north for some spring skiing. 

When we got to wisp at 8 this morning it was 18 degrees. Felt like a mid winter day. By the afternoon it was low 40s and awful warm with a winter coat on. Had a great day with the kiddos. There definitely improving and did a few blue intermediates today. A first for them.

Skiing is really Good today at Wisp.

31 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

I'm gonna be a pessimist on next week (not that it's some unpopular take, but I'm generally the eternal optimist...), because these frontal things always seem to end up the same around here in recent years. Looks like rain a week out, briefly get some snow on the back end looks as it gets towards and into meso range, 24 hours out it deteriorates a bit but still holds onto 1-2 inches for west of the bay, and then you wake up to the supposed changeover line passing over you on radar but the precip just dies. 0 to trace.

I think a trace is optimistic at this point lol

4 minutes ago, mdhokie said:

Is the cold air gone for good? I booked a spring break ski trip to upstate Vermont and its starting to look like a fail of a trip .

I'll be at wisp on Sunday. Hopefully they will be snow making on Saturday. Looks plenty cold Friday - Sunday morning.

What I find so disappointing the past 2 years is how long it takes to get out of a crap pattern.  Weeks and weeks to get something workable. Only takes a few days to wreck a good one lol.

Next week the GFS on some of it runs lately has a cold press from the north 

Something to keep an eye on. Probably a long shot but maybe a chance at a front end Thump.

6 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Im not sure how much base WISP has to last but my favorite time to ski in the east is spring when you get soft slush and I can wear a light jacket and bomb down the mountain with no near of hitting ice!  Sugarbush VT and Sugatloaf ME are awesome through April and into May some years!  
 

Unfortunately I might be done for the season due to a meniscus injury. Waiting in mri results to see if I need surgery and what the timeline is. Maybe if I’m lucky and don’t need surgery I can get back out in April and save some of the season. 

I'll probably venture north at some point in the coming years when my kids are a little older. They just started skiing last year and love it.

We did a weekend in January at wisp and had a blast.

I skied when I was younger and then didn't ski for 20 years until my kids got me back in to it.

2 minutes ago, nj2va said:

It was actually better than I expected given the weather lately.  They had a lot of trails open and conditions were good with the fresh snowfall.  We just got back to the house from dinner and snow guns were firing as we drove by the mountain on 219.

It's only 2 hours from my house. Thinking about going next Sunday. So much better than Liberty. To me it's worth the drive. My kids just started skiing last year and they love it. Had a great time at the end of January out there. 

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

For me any year that has a hecs is automatically at least a B. They are just too rare and the best events we get to be too picky.  If anything else decent happens that year it’s an A. 

Oh yea. If we close out the year with a 15 - 25" region wide HECS this season is an A in my book. If this was it last night ( most likely) then this season is a D at best. 

@nj2va

How's the skiing at wisp? 

Was thinking about coming out for the day next Sunday weather permiting.

25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Eyeballing about 2" but nothing concrete or road has snow on it.  Going to go down (here) as one of the worst WSW events ever.  Not the NWS's fault.  Modeling pulled the rug.   Light snow and 30.   Two WSW's in a week and the combined snow from both events is less than 6"    @Chris78 any better there?  @WaynesboroWX

 

The Icon Storm.  PD3:  Pretty Damn Depressing X3.   Congrats to Blizz.  Did not see any other posts of verifying WSW yet except to the East of this Forum.  Maybe Accuchris did.   Or the Pillow area. 

2.25

Definitely a bust 

6" total for the week.

Don't get me wrong 6" of snow over a 5 day stretch is great but My forecast was for 3 to 6 on Tuesday and 4 to 8 last night. 

6" is a little underwhelming.

Oh well. Here's  to hoping for 1 more storm.

2.25" 

A little disappointing with how things looked just 24 hours  ago.

Snowing lightly from that band dropping out of PA.

Heavy snow. Fluffy dendrites..

Eyeballing an inch now. About a half inch in the last 15 or 20 minutes 

Someone just East of Harrisburg is going go end up with 10" that northern band is just sitting and dumping. Darks greens and yellows over the same spot. Probably 2" per hour rates

Moderate snow.

Picked up 1/2 inch over the past 30 minutes or so

Just now, psuhoffman said:

Unfortunately that’s the band I was hopeful we could get under a couple days ago. But that’s been gone for a while. Now I’m just praying I don’t end up in the subsidence between that band and the fgen associated band to the south. 

Yep. That was straddling the M/D line a couple days ago and the Fgen band was south of DC. 

Most of the models now  put mby in the narrow strip of subsidence. 

Hopefully there wrong lol

1 minute ago, jayyy said:

That northern band over Harrisburg already means business

Seeing 3" + reported already with that band

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

@Chris78 the fact that it has been raining and now snowing here for over an hour, and you just stated flurries, really points to some dry air and the sharp cut off to that first waa like shield that came through.  It is still 34 here.

I don't think I had any rain prior to the flurries starting in the last 15 minutes.

Deck was dry

Flurries in Smithsburg 

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

Fwiw, gfs bucking the trend and still has two maxima's over Mitch and blizz.  Minima in between. 

10 mile while minima out of an area of 100+ miles over our hoods lol

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Fwiw, gfs bucking the trend and still has two maxima's over Mitch and blizz.  Minima in between. 

What are the chances we are stuck in the minima? Ffs lol