CAPE

You will miss the big heat. Probably be 96 in Reisterstown and 86 there.

NFL is the only sport I plan around. College football I generally have on in the background if I'm home on a Saturday, but never glued to the TV. Never got into Hockey, NBA is unwatchable, and so is Baseball for different reasons. I will watch a little college basketball around tournament time, but not as into it as I used to be.

Worst run differential in baseball. Arizona has a worse record, and might be a tad more awful than the Orioles.

Disaster.

53. Was nice while it lasted.

115 with a dewpoint of 40 ain't so bad.

In just a little over a month NFL training camps begin. Unified start this year, for the first time ever.

That is an impressive upper ridge as advertised. Dwarfs the one in the WA that will bring the "heat" here. As that western ridge amplifies, looks like it will also pinch off the trough to our west and pull it southwestward, as the Atlantic ridge also strengthens downstream. We likely wont see a CFP until next Friday when the next piece of h5 energy drops down, as the longwave pattern de-amplifies and becomes a bit more progressive.

Do both. Drink plenty of water up until HH. Then its adult beverage time. Currently sipping on a DFH Fruit-full Fort. Damn good stuff.

It looks like the developing trough to the west and associated front very well may never make it here, but another significant piece of energy drops down late next week on guidance, as the WA ridge breaks down. Probably the next best chance for widespread convection with an actual frontal passage, followed by somewhat cooler temps. Repeating pattern progression..

Pretty classic Bermuda High setting up. You should get your fix beginning this weekend. Looks to be some solid heat and humidity through at least the middle of next week, with not much chance of meaningful rainfall for most. A perfectly dull, monotonous, sultry, summertime period. Enjoy!

71/49 here. Just a WOW.

And the rest of us are happy about that.

If it doesn't rain for like 10 days with typical heat, no amount of watering will help with all the trees I have, and I would have to give up. So far we have only had these relatively brief periods of heat followed by periods like we have now, and no long dry spells(for most). Not seeing strong indications of a shift in the general pattern, so maybe we can keep this sequence going a bit longer.

We all know normal here. I just want to see if it's possible to keep my grass all summer. Hasn't happened for awhile. I am on a mission. Need some water though.

Me too. Slight chance of getting some showers here later tomorrow as the coastal low passes to the north. For the weekend and probably Monday at least, its back the weakly forced regime with scattered pulser storms in the afternoon. That works out better in areas with terrain enhancement and right along the water with breezes acting as triggers.

It depends on how far west that High gets, and how long it stays there. It's looking like it will block that front from moving east for awhile. There will probably be scattered convection though due to the moisture feed and surface heating, but with weak shear and not much of a trigger, it will be more the pulser type storms. Over here especially the subsidence may be a major inhibitor to getting any afternoon convection going until that front can move closer. It could also just wash out and never make it.

Needed more rain here. Probably mow today and water afterwards in prep for the hot/dry stretch. Keeping the grass higher seems to be helping so far. Usually have significant degradation by the solstice.

Should we start a thread? This looks serious.

Looks like a weak coastal low will form along the NC coast and head northward late Thursday into Friday as the "cool" HP to the NE slides off. Probably of little consequence other than right along the coast. The 3km NAM is the most enthusiastic with some heavy showers for the beaches and even a decent chance a bit further inland.

51 here Going to be a spectacular day.

You might just get your wish.

That post was a 5 day ens mean for the upper ridge. Look where the Euro op has the surface high by late next week. This would be nasty, and that trough/front to the west would have little impact this far east. Probably just wash out. The only storms would likely be terrain aided pulsers further inland for the most part. Hopefully the Canadians are more correct, and the ridge breaks down/ moves further east. I wouldn't count on it though.

Good synopsis of the upcoming period from Mount Holly- A typical summer pattern develops for the long term as a Bermuda High becomes established offshore and a slow moving trough develops over the Great Lakes. This is a classic southwest flow regime which is likely to be in place for at least several days beginning the end of this week and heading into next week. The result will be a transition from the dry and cooler weather during the middle of this week to a sustained warm and humid pattern, especially by the time we get to the weekend. From Saturday onward, we will mostly be looking at highs in the mid 80s to near 90. This is nothing atypical for the season, but combined with the increasing humidity, we may flirt with Heat Advisory levels at times during the period. Rain chances in this pattern are quite uncertain at the moment. It will depend heavily on how fast a cold front to the west approaches as Great Lakes troughing slowly moves eastward and/or starts to lift out. Model guidance has a spread of several days on when this front will move through, or if it even will at all as opposed to just washing out. My general thinking is that rain chances will gradually increase from Saturday onward, especially to the west, but that overall there will be a lot of dry hours through the period.

Not if this verifies. I would take the under, but it has zero for my yard.