CAPE

Enjoy!

82 here. Very pleasant, although noticeably more humid than yesterday. DP is 57.

GFS gets some convection in here late Wed, the only "hot" day, with some ul energy coming in from the west as the ridge flattens/moves out. Gets very active beyond that. Euro also looks more active towards next weekend, although not quite as wet as the GFS is suggesting.

Some of us age well, like a DFH 120 min IPA. Speaking of which..

At least low 90s for a day.

48 this morning. Looks like one more day of low dews and pleasantly warm temps before the heat and humidity builds in for the weekend. Front looks generally dry for late Sunday, then a cool Monday, before another bout of heat after that. Still no widespread rain in sight.

Its due to that high building to the SW on the NW side of that Atlantic low. Characterizing it as a back door front seems reasonable.

Its more than a bay breeze. Been coolish and breezy with low dews all afternoon here.

No ass or genitals, but sex crazed. Sounds horrific.

77/42 Fantastic. Felt a tad warmer/more humid earlier in the day, but that offshore low and the high wedging in from the NE has made today damn near perfect here.

^ I guess I could have posted that in the Drought thread, which is becoming more active lately.

As for rain chances, this shortwave dropping down late in the day Sat as the ridge retrogrades further SW looks to be the best chance. Both the FV3 hi res and NAM nest are hinting at some decent convection developing, mostly for the eastern third of the region. Low probability for now. Next chance would probably be Thursday of next week, although the GFS and ICON have some moisture for the higher terrain to the west and sw on Monday. Get ya sprinklers out.

81 and breezy here. Dewpoint 43. Onshore flow keeping it quite comfortable.

83 here. Nice day. Looking like it will be on the cooler side of what was possible over the next couple days here. Low 80s for highs and mid to upper 50s for lows. Upper 80s still looking reasonable for the weekend. Would be nice to see a few showers, but still appears to be iffy and scattered at best.

Latest runs have shifted our area to anomalously dry lol.

Kids today at least have some nice beers to experiment with. Teenagers back in the day were drinking Coors light and Milwaukee's best. Mostly they just do Jager bombs and other disgusting shit though. They know how to get drunk and puke pretty efficiently these days.

A 4 pack of this didn't last long. I will be picking up more. Excellent.

Rain chances look scattered at best over the next week. Sprinkler is going now.

Ridge city disco from Mount Holly- Looks like the ridge-city pattern will continue right through the medium range. However, the ridge appears to retreat far enough westward to allow for a series of weak vorticity maxima to dig southeastward through the Northeast this weekend. There are some benefits and drawbacks to this subtle shift in the pattern. The main benefit is that chances for precipitation will be higher as these weak vorticity maxima combine with diurnal heating to initiate some isolated/scattered convection. Models appear to be converging on timing these vorticity maxima favorably for our region Saturday and Sunday afternoon/evening, so I did increase/expand PoPs slightly for these periods in particular. However, the relatively weak large- scale lift and smaller-scale forcing mechanisms do not spell for widespread soaking precipitation. The main drawback is that low-level flow will veer to a more offshore direction, and this will allow for temperatures to increase during the weekend. Highs near 90 are probable, especially on Sunday. The second drawback is that high pressure will likely build in quickly behind the weekend systems. As the midlevel shortwave trough races southeast into the western Atlantic, the midlevel ridge to the west will progress right back toward our region. The result appears to be drier (and continued warm) conditions.

Nothing to report over here. They don't do loamy soil.

Guidance continues to suggest the High will shift westward this weekend, allowing for backdoor cold front/possible showers/t-showers with some energy rotating down from SE Canada. Still looks pretty dry overall. Mount Holly has backed off on the heat here for late week though. Highest temps now mid 80s.

Maybe some rain chances this weekend/early the following week as the High shifts SW, and some energy can drop in from NE over the top. Looks dry until then, with increasing temps. Humidity should stay pretty low, but we are spoiled so it will feel plenty uncomfortable if we do reach the low 90s. CMC more bullish on the late week heat than the GFS.

73. Another perfect May day. Not looking forward to upper 80s and increasing dews later this week. Especially with little to no chance of storms.

Solid. More balanced. Definitely dank. Similar to the Terrapin Hopesecutioner. I generally prefer the hazy, fruity, NE style IPAs more now. Ofc the exception is the DFH 120 min, which is in a class by itself, and not for your typical IPA drinker.

That is a classic. I mean that was like legit craft beer in the early days. Probably the first hop forward IPA, and back when all those bitter beer face commercials were running lol.