CAPE

Yeah that's what I was trying to point out with the EPS map I posted yesterday. If the Sh!t pattern is relatively brief, should still have some workable cold not far to our north, so once the east coast ridge flattens we have a chance for the cold to press south some and get a wave to track along the boundary.

The advertised h5 pattern on the means does get back to something manageable by the end of the month or more likely into the first few days of March as heights build into AK and western Canada. Probably nothing worth tracking over the next 10 days.

Decent flizzard here at work in Easton. Solid dusting.

Snowing heavily route 301 at 304 per traffic cam.

Radar really blossoming just NW of my house. Damn I might miss a good flizzard.

low of 19 Looks like some decent snow showers passing over my yard per radar, but I'm not there. Hopefully the east part of that main squall line will hold together and hit Easton.

He has to predict every play- that's the issue. We know you know football Tony. Yes, you are smart. Now shut up and do your commentary AFTER the play.

The Halftime show was pretty good, as most are. Some better than others. For me, the Prince Purple Rain performance is the best ever.

Not sure who is worse between him and Romo. Collinsworth is just dopey. Romo annoys me more I think.

Yeah I am happy for him. A really good QB, and tough- he has played hurt a lot and for crappy teams for most of his career.

Great game. I know its no consolation, but the Bengals are built to win for the future- but they must improve on the OL. Unusual for a team to win it all with a subpar OL, and that was the matchup that was a complete mismatch here.

Yeah they missed it, but that happens a lot- but not so much when the defense commits a foul(or something ticky tacky).

Impressive, but transient cold behind one warm storm, and quickly exits ahead of another.

"Not bad" means it isn't close the blinds time lol.

It's not bad, and given it looks like we will be baking on the EC prior that, this period might be the first chance for something to track underneath with some decent cold around.

This should be a close game, unless one team wants to give the ball away repetitively. I would like to see the Bengals win mostly for their fans who lost 2 heartbreakers in the 80s and haven't really gotten deep into postseason since. Otoh, I like Stafford and wouldn't mind seeing him win after spending most of his career with an awful Lions organization. One matchup that isn't good for the Bengals is their OL against the Rams DL in passing situations. The Bengals can run the ball though, so that will be important to keep some of the pressure off Burrow.

This isn't a bad h5 look on the EPS for the end of the month.

2/13/22- 0.2" Total: 19.5"

Interesting AFD snippet from State College- Focus shifts to scattered instability snow showers developing across western PA into the Alleghenies/Laurel Highlands this evening into tonight. Pool of steep 0-3km lapse rates (7-8+ C/km) will drop southeast from lower MI and traverse south central PA tonight coincident with potent upper level trough. Primary risk is for locally heavy snow showers/squalls to develop and produce sharp vis drops to near whiteout and quick snow accumulation on roads. Evening shift will need to monitor upstream conditions and may need to issue some statements should conditions warrant. Confidence is average with the best signal over the Laurel Highlands to I-99, but how far east showers can extend is uncertain. We were keen to continue mention of heavy snow showers/potential hazardous driving impacts in the HWO while trending POPs higher than NBM.

I kind of get his point about tracking events that are entirely dependent on small scale features. That's what this was, and I put a lot into tracking it, but I was doing it more for fun and to "bring the blues" to the snow starved north (LOL), and it actually worked out that way. For all my tracking, I got bupkis!

Snow squall action on NAM nest..

They all have the same basic design, and you can make them yourself. You can buy them on Amazon. I have a variety.

You benefitted from more than timing- you were in the sweet spot with the best lift in the RR quad of that jet streak. You probably had some stellar dendrites falling at an inch per hour. Things tend to even out. I made a lot of posts in this thread tracking the small scale features for this event, and I know I said at least couple times that places NW were overdue, and if nothing else, that was enough of a reason to keep tracking when much of the guidance had it further east. WDI there for a hit, and WDI over here to miss out.

Yeah it looks pretty coming down but these are not high quality flakes, so struggling to get more than a coating. I am sure had it actually snowed when it was supposed to overnight into the morning, I would have done quite a bit better here.

I wouldn't say it's epic, but that is a little above the mean for here. It all fell in January though and snow was on the ground a lot of the time so that was pretty epic. Much better than having bare ground for the best month of winter, I will say that.