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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. The new edition of the NBM reflects the latest trends in the guidance, and would complete the objective of this thread- expansion of the blues to the snow starved areas. It would be nice to see more than a couple inches, but it seems there is a relatively brief opportunity for decent forcing (lift), and the snow will probably be light to moderate in intensity.
  2. If you throw out the GFS, which once again looks a bit lost, and pay no attention to models like the Hrderps that are always wrong, this looks to be what we (or I) thought it would be- An inch or 2, with maybe a few spots hitting 3.
  3. Enjoy the 0z Euro y'all. I imagine it will continue to crush everyone's hopes and dreams for blues.
  4. It is stubborn with expanding the blues. We will just have to give it a few more runs.
  5. The final ICON clown map since WW had a premature posting. Looks like a bit of action from the coastal.
  6. The NAM nest can resolve banding. The 12K looks more like random blobs and holes lol. If you look at the 3k map and don't focus on the colors, its a pretty simple swath of around an inch up to as much as 3.
  7. The 3km NAM just about fits what I was expecting, which is a general 1-3" across the area. I know others want/expect more, and I wish them luck.
  8. The Natty Blend This likely doesn't include the 18z runs, but not sure on that.
  9. Oh geez...that is dry. What are we tracking? 1-3" More than you were tracking this time yesterday.
  10. Just look at the last 3 runs of the 12km NAM. Like wtf is it even doing lol? Whack a mole for the 2" lollies?
  11. The only NAM worth looking at at this range(or ever really) is the 3k.
  12. Happens most winters, one way or the other. Usually the other.
  13. Sub dividable? 10 acres will do for me. I need a great view. Thanks.
  14. I am still going with a general 1-3.. until the GFS / 3k NAM combo pull the rug out at 0z.
  15. Nah all the euro off runs are wet I will probably go back to what it had previous couple runs. 1-2".
  16. I was loyal to the Quest. I did predict a general 1-3" for a large portion of the region, with possibly more in west-central VA. The herrderpz?
  17. I would go with 1-2" for my yard based off the qpf and placement from the latest GFS and 3Km NAM runs. Marginal temps and multiple days with temps around 60 leading in are inhibiting factors. Getting some good fronto action for a couple hours might get the high end(or maybe even 3"), but then it could be just a light and paltry snow tv 'event' like the 12z Euro suggests.
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