CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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lol probably. We suck in blocking regimes lately. Either too suppressive, or no cold anywhere in sight.
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The CFS has been suggesting persistent +height anomalies up top for the entire winter. Not that it means a lot at this juncture, but not much happening in a winter thread in early August other than pure speculation.
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There have been periods over the last 30 years where El Ninos have been predominant. Cyclical. Since the strength of the trade winds are a major factor in determining ENSO state, maybe do some research on what the tendencies are there, if any, in a changing climate.
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Makes sense, Chuck.
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Talk about being on the edge. Booming thunder from the cluster of storms a few miles to my east. Did get a quick 0.15" as that area was congealing. Seems these storms are associated with the low still spinning off the coast of NJ.
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https://vinepair.com/articles/11-cheap-american-beers-ranked-from-awful-to-drinabkle/ lol funny stuff here, and totally accurate.
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Budweiser?
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Drinking a Dire Wolf Citra DIPA from Olde Mother Brewing. This is superb.
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My soil is just barely damp lol. Was just out preparing the first area to reseed/overseed. Incredible how well drained it is, and with all the active trees and high evaporation rates it is difficult to keep it moist. I will be watering too, now that I have started this process.
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It went from one extreme to the other in your area compared to last summer. Here it has been right about average I would say. I am going to start on the lawn revitalization project today. I will start in one area and rake out the thatch and loosen the the soil and throw some seed and starter fertilizer down. I'll just chip away at it over the next few weeks. Once I start, the sprinkler will be running pretty regularly.
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Short and sweet and to the point(with cool pic). tl;dr
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Abnormally dry for most of WV, W MD, and central/western VA, with an expanding area of moderate drought for parts of western VA. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
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I ended up with 1.24" here, but tight gradient just to my northwest. Looks like widespread 2-4" amounts fell from the lower eastern shore into eastern DE and southern NJ.
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Rain has been persistent here on the west edge of that low, even though the heaviest stuff is to the east. Pretty impressive looking on radar. Got the pivot. 1.16" and still raining.
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0.42" here so far.
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Read my earlier post. What global model can be "trusted" in the medium-long range period? Lately I might take the ICON over the GFS or Euro.
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A blob of moderate showers popped up here over the last 30 mins.
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To be fair everything jumped east/southeast with the heavy rain, even the mesos. The 12z 12km NAM had 1.5"+ here and now next to nothing at 18z. I cant see the 18z Euro, but I would guess it probably looks different than the 12z run.
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High of 72 here early. Been upper 60s most of the day. Highest forecast temp here is 89 through next Friday. I am sure the city will manage a few days of 93 or so, but not the widespread scorching 95-100 week the GFS was all giddy about a few days ago.
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Pretty compact low. There will probably be some 2"+ amounts not too far east of here, but if the latest mesos are correct, I may struggle to see much more than what I have now, which is just shy of a quarter inch.
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That'll be about a 20:1 ratio.
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Up to 0.17" here now. Livin' on the edge.
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Like no one is a 'fan' of the ICON, but it is often very steady and not as prone to advertising the extremes(that rarely verify) on the way to figuring out the actual outcome.
