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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks torchy.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very good...one of the best ever...like top 10.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    9.67" of rainfall to wrap up August in Methuen. 8.39" for July and 8.44" for June=26.5" on the summer.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Neither was reality at H5.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would argue the look that actually verified looked decent, as did many, but alas....
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    2009-2010 was an eskimo queef away from being 2002-2003.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was accurate at the pole.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    2002-2003 and 1986-1987 were fine....as was 1965-1966.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the only one of your analogs that was any good out this way...1982-1983 was decent, largely due to one event.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could see December evolving similarly to last year, TBH....then more PNA as the season evolves.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree on all accounts. Shield the little ones from Santa's speedo, then bombs away. I do, however, expect strat shenanigans during the month of December, but it won't pay dividends until after the NY.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Opinions on solar implications, volcanic eruptions and the QBO are like a$$holes...everyone has one. But I am pretty confident in my research and do not expect a strong PV in the DM seasonal mean. Perhaps it won't be as lubed up as the CANSIPS, but such an outcome would not shock me in the least. I get the skepticism for maybe one more month, but if October maintains this signal, than the dissenters need to reevaluate if they are being objective and honest with themselves.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    ....And to all a good night...
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not suprised whatsoever.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what is explicitly reflected by the RONI and even the MEI in a more indirect sense.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Your ceiling is greater than climo this year.....most of it will probably come in one big dump.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't insinuating anything....I was actually surprised by how similarly they look.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I also thought that you would do okay last season, but the ceiling is much higher for you this year than it has been in several years.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think Maryland has a great shot at climo.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks more likely than it did a month or two ago, but not yet resigned to it....nor should anyone to anomalies of that magnitude at extended lead times. Folks get bunned for that quite often between the months of December and March.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I don't get the intrigue...aside from perhaps being a meteorological novelty were it to make it here, which it won't. Its like bragging that you are finally dating the prom queen.....70 years later-
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its like a frigid day in March...doesn't have the same sting and won't last-
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Irrelevant within the context of my point, which is entirely independent of any ultimate peak. It can go on to peak with an ONI of 3.3 and that wouldn't change the fact that we are not currently in a strong el nino.
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