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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    That was an honest question LOL Interested in his take.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    What would you like to see in order to feel optimistic about winter prospects?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Heh...I usually don't go in when we get a decent snow....but having a garage helps.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    4" sounds about right...nice.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly don't hate to see it...nothing to lose. Get it out of they way now and add some wave breaking and polar heat transport to an already primed strat.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    If we are being picky, I would like it a shade east.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I must have missed this post...interesting take. I have initial reservations about next winter due to the fact that solar should be descending by then, but maybe we stave that off another year. Plenty of time to ponder that.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't think you would do well. How much you get?
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    .86" rainfall as of midnight.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the Maritime continent is going to swallow the world and the entire planet will be one giant phase 5.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, probably because through 12/20 sucks.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Larry is going to put you in a headlock lol
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you gave me a lift to my vehicle IIRC
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not going to lie, I was glad to sit this one out.....the PIA forecast would not have been worth the return. NNE can have it.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like mid January may feature another thawing period of Maritime forcing while the pattern reloads for the grand finale at the end of the month and into February.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Where do you think this area of anomalously excessive precip focused over northern Maine in association with the N stream would end up with a more neutral or negative PDO and significant degree of high latitude blocking? It seems clear to me...
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup....the stronger northern stream was expected, which is why I think the NE will avoid the typical -PDO precip screw hole. This el Nino is a toned down version of 2015-2016, which we both always agreed on. A colder version of that winter with more blocking is fine by me. And yes, I am sure there will be periods of Maritime forcing and an active Pac jet to deal with, which is why it won't be cold in the DM mean.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll be there.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    The thing is that the PV is starting weaker than last year and the -NAO is already prevalent, so it may not take foreever and day reap benefits.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had my mind made up on a 12/25 to 1/8 SSW back in August, when I did my solar research and looked at el Nino SSW analogs. Believe. Why is a warm December news again? Why are people acting like this is a some shocking development? Yea, a warm December in an el Nino....go figure, must be CC.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think anyone is arguing the pattern now doesn't suck, which isn't unexpected. However, the blocking this early is a positive auger for the balance of the season.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is a raging Pac jet, so of course its mild. All the NAO does is trap the cold in place and block storms from cutting. Everyone agrees that if the PAC is crap, then it will be mild. But there is every reason to believe that heights will elevate near AK later this month.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    First of all, Raindance whiffed in the Arctic last year, secondly, I have had years where I "killed it", but that doesn't mean other years won't kill me. Again, no one is expecting a frigid season....its not a cold look this year, but it shouldn't be prohibitive to snowfall. The PDO will not be epic like last year. Do me a favor, and keep your deranged, neurotic BS in the tri state thread.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    No
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    We can do one when there is something to talk about
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