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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure they know that I keep reiterating that I don't view this as a major threat to the US because I don't. But the beauty of weather is that its fascinating, difficult to predict and fluid, so maybe my view will change. Let's just see what happens and stop derailing. Happy tracking-
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure it is fair to label an opinion as an agenda, or banter. Sorry, it is sure to be a cat 5 again by tomorrow AM and be in Manhattan by next weekend. Is that better? Lol An agenda implies a vested interest or ulterior motive...like trying to get clicks or followers. Downplaying potentially dramatic weather is not the way to do it from my perspective of a weather hobbyist with a weather blog. Makes zero sense
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I could be wrong on the RI part...much less confidence in that than the favoring NS over US part. I'm not saying it won't intensify...it may make cat 4 again, I just think it will be more gradual.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is certainly a chance this still hits as far back as the cape...just because I don't favor that, it is a viable outcome. I'm not pushing any agenda. Not sure what that was all about.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think there is a great deal of evidence mounting against it....like, every piece of seasonal guidance for instancw... save for maybe the CFS, which he hates, ironically enough.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Leave it to snowman to unearth some random Egyptian tweet scratched in hyrogriphics on the inside of a cave to restore hope to the warm crew lol... Jk.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    That was my 3rd most snowy winter in record, behind 1995-1996 and 2014-2015.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like everything else....Euro, CANSIPs and JMA.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, it isn't. 1938 went into w LI and central CT....Euro is like a Bob track.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think RI is done for Lee.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is going OTS.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that, too. My money is on it not every regaining its former vigor, but that isn't saying much since it was cat 5.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Has that "skunked" post ERC, "seen my best days" type of appeal IMO.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I have never really assessed this as much of a threat. Maybe I'm wrong, but don't think so.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, its after the peak, so its descending to me...but to each their own.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have 91-92 as descending solar...
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, it certainly didn't impact March- -1.11 NAO.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    JMA, EURO and Cansips all lock-in-step.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't see why Hungo Tonga would impact this year but not last year.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally agree.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am not remiss that I miss out on the opportunity to have my family devoured by F5 tornadoes.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't know about you, but I appreciate the fact that we get both blizzards and tropical systems, yet neither are normally deadly. Most other areas have more dangerous weather, whether it be severe, hurricanes, earthquakes...we have a nice range of non-lethal weather otucomes.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, no way it stays below 1.5.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is pretty low down on my list of concerns...we are already nearing the 2019 RONI peak. I would be more worried about it in the mid atl than in SNE...I will say that. Weak el ninos can be N stream dominant. But I still feel like we will have a good s stream.
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