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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You'e been all over that John, nice. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Snow growth is phenomenal here right now... -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Man, Boris, you and CoastalWx need to get a room- -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
IF the midlevels get cranking, it's usually near the QPF gradient as a crude rule-of-thumb. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Nah, 3-5"....but all set with 10" on the s shore, 3" here and 6" in MHT. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
General 4-7" on the GEM. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I'm kind of rooting for the vort to not curl that much and kick out...I feel like if it beefs up, my area is going to end up a bone zone of subsidence...could see the 006z GFS do that, and it made total sense. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Was basically a wash for me. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Got my 5th 1/4" snowfall of the season today. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
LOL at @Lucy Pull Is this scooter's alternate account? -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Not gonna lie...I had just about given up, which is why I condensed into two parts last night, but obviously going to be a second write up as usual tonight. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Not a bad idea...you're welcome. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I'm sure the day I get the hell out of this meteorological armpit, the incarnate of March 5, 2001 will strike. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yea, I mentioned a couple of weeks ago I could see February starting with a bang like 2021. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I'll do a revised map tonight. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Ha...I was right afterall about Sunday....I can't believe how long it took -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Sounds like something Schwartz would say...he was eccentric. -
Winter 2025-2026 Offers Return to Normalcy
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
First & Final Call For Two-Part Nuisance Holiday Weekend Snowfall Part One Saturday-Part Two Sunday Night Plowable Snowfall Likely Northwest on Saturday and Southeast on Sunday Night Eastern Mass Weather asserted late last week that a significant storm was highly unlikely to materialize on Friday into Saturday. However, there was a distinct possibility that the follow up wave could produce major winter storm this coming Sunday Monday, due in large part to subtle changes in the orientation of the western CONUS ridge. It now appears likely that significant snowfall on Sunday will be largely relegated to the southeastern thirds of the region, as intimated on Wednesday. Synoptic Overview Cold air infiltrated the region today behind yesterday's storm, setting the stage for a modest two-part snowfall over the region during this holiday weekend. It's a subtle reorientation to of the ridge near the west coast of the CONUS to a more negative tilt that allows the system on Sunday to amplify just enough to threaten a portion of the region with a light to moderate snowfall on Sunday night. However, before that takes place, a lead piece of vorticity (energy in the atmosphere) will pass over central New England during the day on Saturday. This will trigger a light southwesterly flow that that will advect some slightly milder air into the area, largely relegating accumulating snows to the northwestern half of the region, especially over the higher terrain. Once this system passes, colder air returns on Saturday evening as attention shifts to the approaching main portion of the amplifying incoming trough. The trough is going negative just soon enough to impact the majority of the region with significant snows. However, since the energy struggles to initially phase in a cohesive manner, there will be a limit to how much the system can amplify, as well as the northwest extent of significant snowfall. Expected Storm Evolution Part one in association with the lead energy spreads light snow into the northwestern half of the region on Saturday morning. It will become occasionally moderate over the higher terrain of the Berkshires during the middle portion of the day. Snow potentially spreads into eastern areas and ends as a rain/snow mixture during the late afternoon and early evening hours. There will then be a lull in the action overnight Saturday night through Sunday morning until mixed precipitation redevelops over the south coast, cape and islands around midday on Sunday and into the early afternoon. There should be some impact on the Patriot's playoff game, which may accentuate home field advantage, so dress accordingly. Precipitation will transition to snow from west to east over the cape and islands, as snowfall also overspreads the I 95 corridor while becoming steadier and more moderate. Snowfall should taper off around midnight from west-northwest to east-southeast. First & Final Call: -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
PIA system....I combined them into a two-part event. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/01/first-final-call-for-two-part-nuisance.html First & Final Call: -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I'm sure it will be negative 20 under clear skies the following week. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
No, truth be told I'd prefer to pass on the 2", but it's just insult to injury. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I don't know if I slept with Mother Nature on a dunrken bender 20 years ago and never called her back, or what...but I apologize 1000 times...holy shit. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
It's just unreal.....always north, south, east or west..too close to the ocean or too far. Absolutely, positively unreal. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Just unreal...can see where this is going. One event just NW of me, and the other just south. This area sucks rotten horse balls. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I think I've seen enough of this event. Just wrapping up my map and narrative.
