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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great call on this....I always figured that guidance was overcooking the move westward, but I did think it would be more evenly distributed than this by now. While I still think it will, as it really only has one direction to go, I am now certain that I will be filing this one under my east-base composite rather than basin-wide like 2016 and 2024.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the ONI peaks in NDJ.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Consider my past life trajectory, I'm ecstatically grateful to be ordinary.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, aside from a wife, 4 kids, a solid career, side-hustle, thriving business abroad and a fulfilling hobby....
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    These are absolutely, positively related, and over the next couple of weeks, I'll be alienating myself from my family to explain in the most vivd detail imaginable why, and how.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure either, I just went with it.....mayeb he'll be brave enough to try and let us know if he survives.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    The sad realty is that snow is all I have in this area in terms of meteorology....if we ever get a real tropical threat, Id be all over it every bit as much.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get it...we all have some degree of dissatisfaction with our lives, but it's not my fault you failed to thrive in the field that you supposedly love, and eat tacos by yourself in a closet on Xmas eve....either see a &ucking shrink, or get lost.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://www.americanwx.com/bb/forum/18-climate-change/
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm still waiting on seeing your outlook verification from last year.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I really don't understand why you are constantly such an a$$hole...my god, is your existence that meager and unfulfilling? Christ, I'd have swallowed a wet spark-plug by now if I were in your state of mind.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the mid season warming may end up more of a reflection event/CW.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    The new Adam is such a breath of fresh air...I wish Forky would take a break for a couple of months.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    You managed to inadvertently elicit one last sneak preview of my favorable window this winter before I go radio-silent to work.....WATCH THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE KUROSHIO CURRENT AND KONA LOW OUT IN THE PACIFIC CONTINUE TO GROW
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    More like Greg Oden up here.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    This.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://www.easternmassweather.net/2026/10/el-nino-grows-historically-powerful.html
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://www.easternmassweather.net/2026/10/el-nino-grows-historically-powerful.html
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would argue the guys speaking in absolutes that there won't be are crazy.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Finally...
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Fact, not opinion....1972-1973 and 2015-2016 are the only two intense El Ninos that did not feature at least one storm of over a foot in this area...and I'd take my chances with January 2016 again.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, I'm not picky...I'll settle for January-February 1983, December 23, 1997 or January 7th, 2024...TBH the 2016 blizzard is the redux I'd pass on.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's the thing...only need 24 hours-
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    ENSO isn't alone in that respect...watch the impact of that gradient between the boiling Kuroshio current and the Kona low west Hawaii and how it may impact the north Pacific along about mid season, which may constructively interfere with other high latitude blocking downstream over NA.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thankfully not pretty similar in NE!
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