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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I suspect the PDO will average pretty near neutral this season..we'll see, which could leave us prone to some interludes of cross polar flow, between which we nape.
  2. Typical manifestation of CC....it's often not readily apparent and rather insidious.
  3. Yea, it's clear something still isn't quite clicking.
  4. It's a pretty safe assumption that unless otherwise specified, comments in this thread pertain to the N HEM, since that's where we live. If you would like to discuss the S Hem, then the onus in on you to make that known. @SnoSki14originally commented on implications for N HEM winter, which is what prompted my reply.
  5. Again...you want to deduce that it will couple in the mad latitudes of the N hem based on what is taking place in the s Hem, fine...different point. I agree with that to a large extent, but that doesn't change what is going on right now.
  6. Trying to figure out when that region became the northern Hemisphere....
  7. May very well get there, but we are talking about NOW...the fact is that El Nino is not very well coupled with the mid latitudes of the N HEM at this time.
  8. @LakePaste25Perhaps this image can help to reduce your confusion and add some clarity....this point is also illustrated by the struggle to develop an Aleutian low to this point.
  9. I know, but I think I'd eventually have issues with it backing into Ginxy's dog kennel like that.
  10. I think it would be messy in December with that onshore fetch.....
  11. Yea, you want a drift to the west just south of LI to max that ENE funneling.
  12. I think we would want it to back to the west a bit south of us
  13. Looks like remarkable ensemble agreement on a pretty impactful event to me...if this were winter, I'd be sending the social media alerts.
  14. Too bad we couldn't get a cane to come up in this pattern, though it would probably pull a Sandy and turn in south of us.
  15. I checked right out on local weather once the blizzard finished and pulled out of my rear last February...knew there was nothing to see for months and months-
  16. I think he means "bad" in relation to run-run consistency...
  17. I had .19" yesterday and .04" early this AM for a .23" total. I didn't expect that much additional after midnight.
  18. I still feel the same way I did earlier this summer....the only real difference is it's more east-based than I expected, but I have said all along I didn't think Modoki index would matter much the year, though I still expect it to leak westward post-peak.
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