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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. IDK...10:1 on the EURO has no one over 5"...I feel like a bit of a blend is in order, at least.....I am fine with the EURO Kuchie, but ignore the GFS product.
  2. We always see a few rouge OP runs trying to up the ante on these deals, but we know that they are.....dynamics are really limited to a relatively short window. 10"+ amounts are very isolated if they do occur.
  3. Yea, I just think it's wise to modulate expectations based on past experiences with systems of this ilk, rather than every permutation of model consensus. I'm annoyed that I caved on first call and had everything so far SW instead of sticking to my guns it would move north.
  4. I still wouldn't pin hopes to many double-digit totals....
  5. Probably bands from ORH to you...a rough rule of thumb is that the bending tends to follow the QPG gradient...
  6. Can already see it this year...one west on 12/2, north last one, even though I got the white xmas, and now southwest...every direction. Next one rainer (north)...
  7. Doing my final in the AM, but probably 1-3" here if I had to guess now. You should get several inches.
  8. Yea, I'm sure the dude that eye balls hour 360 GFS storms all winter is just pining to give one up to central park
  9. I'm not even sweating this one...if I steal an inch or two, great.....but Kev may very well steal some tri-state troll's snow
  10. I'll be lucky to get 2", but ignore the NAM with respect to WAA at your own peril...no, it's not a SWFE per se, but you're still advecting a warm layer over top of a cold air mass.
  11. It wasn't funny at first, but the 40/70 % addition changed that
  12. I have been kind of secretly longing for one of those days where it's dropping below zero during the afternoon....
  13. Totally...no complaints. For those taking notes....nowhere near the 18" jack that Jeff had, but totally satisfied.
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