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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gotcha, my bad there.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, totally get that.....plenty of reason to think that, and we all have our stances, but it's perhaps more important to look for reasons that your forecast rationale will NOT work out.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't signaling anyone out....general question.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    We won't have any MC this season and the forcing still extends into the region SSE of Hawaii...which is where guidance has consistently placed the highest precip rates.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....intraseasonal variability, which proves my point....it's always going to exist to some extent and there are folks acting as though it will not.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Quick question....we have established that the climate is warming, so why is it news that this was the warmest October in a super El Niño?
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Then how was it more favorable earlier in the season if the vortex was so far to the east? I had well over a foot of snow right before xmas... February had no method of cold delivery into the CONUS in 1998....I don't feel like that will be the case this during that particular potion of the season, though it will in the mean. Forcing is also stronger and more expansive not only to the east, but to the west. I feel like people are getting too carried away with the magnitude and orientation of El Niño and are far too linear in their thought process...obviously it's going to play a huge role around the globe and will thus impact our sensible weather to a significant extent, but it's not at all the only factor....a few of you guys are acting like nothing else exists and it operates in a vacuum.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've answered this question, and your highly cerebral response was "I don't give a shit".
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great call on this....I always figured that guidance was overcooking the move westward, but I did think it would be more evenly distributed than this by now. While I still think it will, as it really only has one direction to go, I am now certain that I will be filing this one under my east-base composite rather than basin-wide like 2016 and 2024.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the ONI peaks in NDJ.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Consider my past life trajectory, I'm ecstatically grateful to be ordinary.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, aside from a wife, 4 kids, a solid career, side-hustle, thriving business abroad and a fulfilling hobby....
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    These are absolutely, positively related, and over the next couple of weeks, I'll be alienating myself from my family to explain in the most vivd detail imaginable why, and how.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure either, I just went with it.....mayeb he'll be brave enough to try and let us know if he survives.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    The sad realty is that snow is all I have in this area in terms of meteorology....if we ever get a real tropical threat, Id be all over it every bit as much.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get it...we all have some degree of dissatisfaction with our lives, but it's not my fault you failed to thrive in the field that you supposedly love, and eat tacos by yourself in a closet on Xmas eve....either see a &ucking shrink, or get lost.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://www.americanwx.com/bb/forum/18-climate-change/
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm still waiting on seeing your outlook verification from last year.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I really don't understand why you are constantly such an a$$hole...my god, is your existence that meager and unfulfilling? Christ, I'd have swallowed a wet spark-plug by now if I were in your state of mind.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the mid season warming may end up more of a reflection event/CW.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    The new Adam is such a breath of fresh air...I wish Forky would take a break for a couple of months.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    You managed to inadvertently elicit one last sneak preview of my favorable window this winter before I go radio-silent to work.....WATCH THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE KUROSHIO CURRENT AND KONA LOW OUT IN THE PACIFIC CONTINUE TO GROW
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    More like Greg Oden up here.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    This.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://www.easternmassweather.net/2026/10/el-nino-grows-historically-powerful.html
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