40/70 Benchmark

That looks like some of those EURO runs.

I could see having gone 2-4"...but 4-6" is too much IMO.

Maybe Steve will be right and I undersold it....all weenies aside. That is a valid reason I didn't think about...time will tell.

Ride the chart! The frostiest ones you can find!!

It does look like March 2023. I had like 7.5". I get 10-11" on that map.

Messy Tuesday Evening On Tap Light Snowfall likely Tuesday Evening It will likely be a race against time as snowfall encroaches on the area during the Tuesday PM commute, however, the majority of the region should barely escape. The latter portion of the commute could be somewhat problematic across especially the western half of regions over the northern Berkshires and northern half of Worcester county. This is due to a rather modest weather system that will be "diving" east-southeast out Canada and across northern New England. Synoptic Overview This weak Northern stream disturbance known as an "Alberta Clipper" will be entering the Quebec province of Canada from Ontario tomorrow evening. It will begin to intensify somewhat as is it does so overnight on Tuesday. However, although it will be amplifying somewhat on approach, it will be passing to the north of the forecast area. This will not only limit moisture influx, but will also introduce enough warm air to prompt precipitation type issues across the southern quadrant of the region, thus a light snowfall is expected. Expected Storm Progression Snowfall should begin to envelop the route 2 corridor around 6pm tomorrow, especially west of I 495, which will have some slightly impact not the latter portion of the evening commute so plan accordingly. Snowfall will have mixed with and turned to rain near the south coast, cape and islands by the time the storm peaks around midnight tomorrow night. The last of the rain should be clearing out by the AM commute on Wednesday. It would be prudent to still allow for extra time to the north of the Mass pike given the need for some snow removal. First & Final Call:

Agree.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/02/messy-tuesday-evening-on-tap.html First & Final Call:

It's just one of those system that doesn't pass the "smell test" when some of these meso models try to sniff a few lines and border on warning criteria...like when we see a over 12" printed out for run-of-the-mill SWFE....NOT one with an incredibly anomalous airmass like last month.

I would err on the side of caution with H5 so far north.

Only shot of 4" is up by like Amesbury.

I'll back you up on that.....you have been skeptical of the blizzard runs.

Geez, NAM gives me like 6"...sell that with H5 north. It tries to redevelop south at the surface, last minute, but too late.

FYI, I wasn't endorsing that EURO output necessarily ....just sharing.

12z EURO

"Still a 'ping' ways out"....Freudian slip?

Beat me lol

Not last night

That particular run was a @dendritejack IMO

I should be alright as long as it's not an elevation event...Methuen scoffs at the 38* Harbor.

You know what that 12z Run reminded me of is 12/3/2019.

I agree on that, but SSW is not the only path to a Nice ending. I still like March, regardless.

Yes, but I think my wok has been pretty good....there is some degree of warming occurring right when I expected, but it turns out it will be more of a Canadian warming rather than a SSW.

Well, obviously my time frame for the SSW will not work out after looking likely a week ago...but I'm till not convinced we don't pull it off later in the month.

I don't see why this would trend any better with the system tracking north....if anything it would probably trend towards less.