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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I am incredibly pleased with how the season is progressing relative to my expectation....may end up with less snow than I suspected through December (of course), but pretty damn good overall.
  2. Matches up with my early season MC mismatch analogs from my outlook well. I am very pleased so far...only nitpick is that I though it would be less -WPO and more -EPO. December 2017-January 2018: December 2024-January 2025:
  3. This fits my progression for latter December into mid January perfectly...my only issue is I feel that -NAO/-AO in mid January will get pushed back, as I think that will be +TNH post reflection.
  4. Decent shot I am in a corridor with least snow in New England after Sunday.
  5. It should be enough to satiate everyone at this point, as it's expanded a great deal.
  6. I would feel hopeful for CT, RI and se MA, but I don't see how this ends up anything appreciable up here, at this point...then we can get back to our regularly scheduled program of me being 3 miles too far to the south.
  7. These days, the blog ends up dropped into the toilet, after ma nature defecates on our collective grapes.
  8. I love Eric from snowy Maine piling on like a cheerleader with the "100" emoji
  9. Well, I said give it until mid month....this failure gets us there. Barring the prexmas miracle event, I'm marching inexorably towards placing a neon 1989 at the top of my xmas tree waiting for the ball to drop, hopefully on my fucj(king skull and putting me out of my misery.
  10. Of course, it was way too far south for last week, and it ended up being rain, but it will nail this one being too far to the south. Can't make it up. Past decade....if it snows for SNE, it's wrong, if it doesn't, it's right.
  11. It's amazing....December just always sucks. Whether it's a torch, subtle cold like last year, or frigid like this year...it just doesn't snow.
  12. Great, rain and then whiffed to the south before the warm up.
  13. If you blindly look at guidance without any ability to process the events of the past several years, or think critically, sure.
  14. Doesn't have to be of that magnitude to be a grinch.
  15. I think that is a pre-requisitie to getting better...but it's a lateral move.
  16. Same, but I need other guidance to get better today, or it's time to bail.
  17. The probability for a White Christmas is above climatological levels given the active pattern and at least seasonable cold throughout the first half of the month, but it remains dubious for the coastal plane given the milder turn prior to the holidays. In fact, the proverbial "Grinch Storm" is more likely than not. A Pacific trough should begin to evolve towards the end of the month in conjunction with a rather stout PV, as a mild pattern ensues to ring in 2026. Look familiar???
  18. Is the GFS as interested in SNE snow as the Sox were in Alonso?
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