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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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At least I don't get downsloped, but I'm prone to subsidence when the coast gets ocean enhancement...that's why I hate frigid storms, not to mention I like pasty snow.
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Anyyyyyywhoooo.....
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I can't wait until you flip on a dime in about 2.5 months.
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Yea, I'd take your type of cold any day over mine.
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*Long confounded reflection as to what in the hell the SFS beta2 is*
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Once upon a time, this place used to have moderators....that crap detracts from the quality of threads and suspensions should be dished out...everyone knows to whom I'm referring...not someone like Chris or Adam, who do nothing but add value, even though they love them some warm. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That post was about ENSO. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This is absolutely fair...all I ask. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Gotcha, my bad there. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Oh, totally get that.....plenty of reason to think that, and we all have our stances, but it's perhaps more important to look for reasons that your forecast rationale will NOT work out. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I wasn't signaling anyone out....general question. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We won't have any MC this season and the forcing still extends into the region SSE of Hawaii...which is where guidance has consistently placed the highest precip rates. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Right....intraseasonal variability, which proves my point....it's always going to exist to some extent and there are folks acting as though it will not. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Quick question....we have established that the climate is warming, so why is it news that this was the warmest October in a super El Niño? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Then how was it more favorable earlier in the season if the vortex was so far to the east? I had well over a foot of snow right before xmas... February had no method of cold delivery into the CONUS in 1998....I don't feel like that will be the case this during that particular potion of the season, though it will in the mean. Forcing is also stronger and more expansive not only to the east, but to the west. I feel like people are getting too carried away with the magnitude and orientation of El Niño and are far too linear in their thought process...obviously it's going to play a huge role around the globe and will thus impact our sensible weather to a significant extent, but it's not at all the only factor....a few of you guys are acting like nothing else exists and it operates in a vacuum. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I've answered this question, and your highly cerebral response was "I don't give a shit". -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Great call on this....I always figured that guidance was overcooking the move westward, but I did think it would be more evenly distributed than this by now. While I still think it will, as it really only has one direction to go, I am now certain that I will be filing this one under my east-base composite rather than basin-wide like 2016 and 2024. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think the ONI peaks in NDJ. -
Considering my past life trajectory, I'm ecstatically grateful to be ordinary.
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Yea, aside from a wife, 4 kids, a solid career, side-hustle, thriving business abroad and a fulfilling hobby....
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
These are absolutely, positively related, and over the next couple of weeks, I'll be alienating myself from my family to explain in the most vivd detail imaginable why, and how. -
I'm not sure either, I just went with it.....mayeb he'll be brave enough to try and let us know if he survives.
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The sad realty is that snow is all I have in this area in terms of meteorology....if we ever get a real tropical threat, Id be all over it every bit as much.
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I get it...we all have some degree of dissatisfaction with our lives, but it's not my fault you failed to thrive in the field that you supposedly love, and eat tacos by yourself in a closet on Xmas eve....either see a &ucking shrink, or get lost.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/forum/18-climate-change/
