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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not suggesting that we are going back to the 60s in a few years, so I think we're on the same page there.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    The earth's #1 motive is self-preservation, and the primary resistance to this objective is prohibitive warmth.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I relate to his philosophical approach.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the -NAO signs are more about a beacon of hope in a sea of winter-maelstrom, rather than a "silver-bullet" for the cold season...of it should be, anyway.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, I have noted that the signal for -NAO to develop mid-season also favors some eastern bias. No guarantees...1972 was pre CC, didn't have an extremely hostile polar domain, and was still wretched.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not in the camp that we are going to continue warming until infinity and beyond, so we'll see....just my hunch. I love people who claim that their "opinions" are 110% grounded in objectivity-bullshit. The evidence is, or should be, however, there is an inherent element of subjectivity to the conceptualization that we arrive at given the facts at hand. No one definitively knows what our climate will look like in 100 years, and those who claim that they do are full of shit....whether or not they have any insight into said cognitive fecal matter is another issue entirely.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know...uncharted territory. I think that season has some surprises in store.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I'm going through all of that stuff now for my update...crazy.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    January could end up pretty warm if we build huge departures early on.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last season featured my first positive seasonal snowfall anomaly since 2017-2018.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, that is your site? Awesome job! My only critique is that it only has mean vp, and not vp anomalies.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, pretty please...this would represent an interplanetary orgie for me. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure it will come with some unforeseen, dystopian (as John would say)externality, but we are getting those anyway with the hockey-stick rate of CC, so what the hell...may as well get some snow and cold on the way to meeting our collective maker.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll take the over on "barely any snow" in Michigan this coming winter, but a +10 month would not shock me.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    2060? Damn, I'll be 80....lets speed that up-
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well in my area, it really needs to be a bit cooler than average to get big snows, but I'm not suggesting that.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is my favored scenario attm.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    My crude theory is that the planet ultimately finds a way to achieve some semblance of an equilibrium....and this unprecedented El Nino is a testament to that.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one is disputing above normal temps...at least in the NE.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, and it's had a negative correlation with winter during the modern era, meaning -AO maybe favored this winter.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tell me why it won't snow ever again in 5,486 words or more- JK
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Memorable one? Same odds as a HECS....gonna be about timing things right when the pattern is more conducive in the back half. EPO is likely + in the seasonal mean, so need to score on a window.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not in the seasonal mean, no.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    That ridge is going to lift towards Greenland on the heels of the latter January/eary February reflection event.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    December and most of January, sure....that is a DJF mean. I don't necessarily agree for February.
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