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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Agree with above, but def very modest departures.
  2. Yea, you also said something to the effect of "am I crazy for thinking we could go on a Jan 2011 type of run". That is when I responded with the lack of blockbuster cool ENSO months of February. I know that wasn't a forecast per se...breaking balls...
  3. I was being facetious, but you did mention you could see a stretch like that like a couple of days ago.
  4. It's always nice foreseeing a January 2011 redux en route when most of SNE is single digits in mid January with nothing imminent.
  5. Great, pond hockey on my driveway after the next cutter.
  6. It's the same roll over we saw last year, and previous years. It blows. And I bet @Typhoon Tiphas theory on why we are seeing it....
  7. Realistically, good luck. I'm focused beyond that for anything major (sub KU).
  8. The high-end advisory consolation that Scott referenced. I think that's the realistic ceiling here.
  9. He is never going to be able to reconcile his version of reality with the fact that he was wrong. I'll tell you exactly what he'll do...he's going to say something to the effect of "see, the storm formed, but it tracked a bit too far east".
  10. Yea, he has a really unsavory method of communicating.
  11. This looks like last January failed phase in some respects attempts...not identical pattern. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/02/thursday-storm-threat-by-wayside-as.html
  12. I find him nauseating....he's always hyper-defensive and I'm quite certain his mid-January storm potential will go down the toilet.
  13. Depends on the pattern, though...I'd give 2014 and 2015 another go-
  14. Right...the PDO is more a reflection of the antecedent pattern that can feedback somewhat if it persists long enough.
  15. Yes. But it's probably a binary outcome...meaning one or the other.
  16. Warm night time mins can drive up anomalies, which I'm sure you know, is largely how CC manifests.
  17. Yay, Windham and Salem, NH will get snow and ice, while it transitions to rain 200 feet north of my door steps.
  18. Oh, I know that....but snowfall if the main reason I do this, so I'm more interest in that, than whether it only drops to 29 at night instead of 27 on average.
  19. I honestly thought we would have done better for snowfall in December...man it was colder and LESS snowy than I thought. Figures-
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