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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. The two emboldened trends are the essence of why winters continue to suck in the east, and will continue to suck, regardless of how cold or warm it is. We need to get rid of this cool ENSO Pacific regime.
  2. Always has been, even in the more "favorable" scenarios...which is why I never felt it warranted the excitement it elicited from some.
  3. Yes, I'm not disputing CC....believe me...just kind of ironic, in a sardonic kind of way (for us).
  4. I haven't viewed one of that bafoon's videos in over a year....I realized quickly what he was. The WORST out there, and there are some bad ones.
  5. Oh yes...February will definitely be RNA and probably March, too.
  6. Who would have thought...cold and dry is this CC dominated era.
  7. Watch the magic act continue to unfold...the incredible disappearing RNA...vanishing right before our eyes faster than a medium range SNE snow-threat.
  8. @qg_omegaHave you been keeping track of this? Flip back to RNA started out at 1/15 as of the 1/2run, now it's 1/20 and sliding....
  9. I buy it...I know someone like @qg_omegawill beat me over the head for that, but this season is going to eventually produce....I don't think I'm going to challenge my futility record.
  10. I just have a few patches left...snowbanks at the sides of the driveway are still there.
  11. You had your Youtube serenade out just 2 days ago
  12. I was debating DT online RE this....he was arguing that the NAO was more important, and I was saying it was the PNA....this is why.
  13. We should see a nice stretch later on once the MJO hits 7, and especially if it actually hits 8. I hope you were speaking only in terms of intensity, otherwise 2016-2017 is an atrocious analog...that event was Modoki, this is east-based.
  14. AGAIN...Exactly what I said to expect for this period.....I kept reiterating +PNA January even though long range guidance was trying to show a never ending RNA....also said that PV would get strong as a result of the +TNH and strat reflection, but this is priming the atmosphere to rape the PV next month. IGNORE GUIDANCE. Maybe I will be wrong about the Feb SSW...I don't mean to sound arrogant. All I am saying is that it's too early to know despite long range guidance.
  15. PV forecasts this season have been positively abysmal, which is why I'm not yet concerned about my call for a Feb SSW...TBH, I'd prefer that a strong PV be modeled for February at this point.....I have said all along that it won't show up in guidance until the end of January at the earliest. Remember back in December I wasn't worried about the long range saying that the PV would remain weak, so it goes both ways....I'm not just being a weenie.
  16. I wouldn't give up hope on a nice stretch, but odds of hitting climo snowfall this season in my area are on life support...unimaginable 8th consecutive season.
  17. No, the first wave is toast....the follow up may try to come back. I'll be surprised if we get nothing from that, too.
  18. Even that thread...it's a virtual wake at this point.
  19. I love how Kev Xs my post out when I've been the one telling him all week that this threat period sucked.
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