40/70 Benchmark

Another thing a failed back half of January will do is make futility a very realistic possibility for me....if that Feb SSW doesn't materialize, then I think we'll get a good shot. The SSW is the last line of defense in the red zone from futility running it in.

I'm going to start slowly backing away from this season if latter January ends up cold and dry.....gonna lose me really quickly as I begin to shift to fantasy baseball.

Sounds like something Schwartz would say...he was eccentric.

First & Final Call For Two-Part Nuisance Holiday Weekend Snowfall Part One Saturday-Part Two Sunday Night Plowable Snowfall Likely Northwest on Saturday and Southeast on Sunday Night Eastern Mass Weather asserted late last week that a significant storm was highly unlikely to materialize on Friday into Saturday. However, there was a distinct possibility that the follow up wave could produce major winter storm this coming Sunday Monday, due in large part to subtle changes in the orientation of the western CONUS ridge. It now appears likely that significant snowfall on Sunday will be largely relegated to the southeastern thirds of the region, as intimated on Wednesday. Synoptic Overview Cold air infiltrated the region today behind yesterday's storm, setting the stage for a modest two-part snowfall over the region during this holiday weekend. It's a subtle reorientation to of the ridge near the west coast of the CONUS to a more negative tilt that allows the system on Sunday to amplify just enough to threaten a portion of the region with a light to moderate snowfall on Sunday night. However, before that takes place, a lead piece of vorticity (energy in the atmosphere) will pass over central New England during the day on Saturday. This will trigger a light southwesterly flow that that will advect some slightly milder air into the area, largely relegating accumulating snows to the northwestern half of the region, especially over the higher terrain. Once this system passes, colder air returns on Saturday evening as attention shifts to the approaching main portion of the amplifying incoming trough. The trough is going negative just soon enough to impact the majority of the region with significant snows. However, since the energy struggles to initially phase in a cohesive manner, there will be a limit to how much the system can amplify, as well as the northwest extent of significant snowfall. Expected Storm Evolution Part one in association with the lead energy spreads light snow into the northwestern half of the region on Saturday morning. It will become occasionally moderate over the higher terrain of the Berkshires during the middle portion of the day. Snow potentially spreads into eastern areas and ends as a rain/snow mixture during the late afternoon and early evening hours. There will then be a lull in the action overnight Saturday night through Sunday morning until mixed precipitation redevelops over the south coast, cape and islands around midday on Sunday and into the early afternoon. There should be some impact on the Patriot's playoff game, which may accentuate home field advantage, so dress accordingly. Precipitation will transition to snow from west to east over the cape and islands, as snowfall also overspreads the I 95 corridor while becoming steadier and more moderate. Snowfall should taper off around midnight from west-northwest to east-southeast. First & Final Call:

PIA system....I combined them into a two-part event. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/01/first-final-call-for-two-part-nuisance.html First & Final Call:

I'm sure it will be negative 20 under clear skies the following week.

No, truth be told I'd prefer to pass on the 2", but it's just insult to injury.

I don't know if I slept with Mother Nature on a dunrken bender 20 years ago and never called her back, or what...but I apologize 1000 times...holy shit.

It's just unreal.....always north, south, east or west..too close to the ocean or too far. Absolutely, positively unreal.

Just unreal...can see where this is going. One event just NW of me, and the other just south. This area sucks rotten horse balls.

I think I've seen enough of this event. Just wrapping up my map and narrative.

2 minutes later "Little west, but not quite enough for most"

This period can't even do boring right....the boring is mundanely unremarkable and not extreme. @Typhoon TipI'll bet we would be challenging seasonal futility records for snowfall region wide if CC were real....literature be damned. The scholarly peers should review that.

Because we are the only 50 dorks that care.

That is the last real notch left to get on this shit period's belt for me...consistent shitty seasons, but no real futility contenders like the late 80's early 90s....let's just get that out of the way this year and be done with it.

There is that classic gradient...5 miles north of my house.

Yea, I posted the composite juxtaposition with this season earlier...my futility year- 19.9".

I'm like legit 1/8th.

Sounds good

Agree on that....+TNH should linger through week 1 of February, then we watch the strat.

Early February was the one redeeming period last year.

Not far.....but probably back south a bit, or west...if I am to stay at this latitude, I need more longitude.

Great through 5 minutes.