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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I def tape that EURO snowmap right under the mistletoe.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would take 2" and run in this pattern....no complaints..... Unless Scooter gets 3"-
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO looks decent here....but the usual, with the real good being 10mi north of me.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tough to buy the GFS at this point, but something to watch....for now, consider that the spiked-eggnog outcome.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good look, esp. NOP
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    -EPO/+NAO with a PV near James Bay. January 2014, 2022, 2015
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    His thoughts..not mine, but I guess I could see it as a phase change to my +TNH
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Truth.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shocking it would favor that corridor.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Guy I talk shop with online is whispering about a big coastal between Jan 8-12.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lightning accompanying downpour in Tewksbury
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm largely ignoring AI guidance this season...they are in AAA in my view. Maybe ready for the big leagues next season...maybe consider as an ensemble at times.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is probable a "one and done" forecast, like the last one.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have to look at this over the weekend....I just briefly paid it homage on a wider, synoptic scale on Tuesday, but haven't yet done a deep dive.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's probably right because it always is when it sucks....but of course fell flat on it's face 12/2.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    This time of year, 40 hardly dents it...March and even latter February is a different story.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure everyone remembers how brutally awful I handled the El Nino a couple of years ago....was completely undressed by @bluewaveon how it would interact with the west Pacific. It was the best thing that ever happened to me in terms of my ability to forecast on a seasonal level
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ha...I remember that. Wow, that is weak.....lost some respect. Acknowledgement of errors is the primary catalyst for growth.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    :crap:
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think January 2022 is a decent analog, but the cold will likely be delayed a bit relative to that month.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    ...or when they have 4 little kids and are desperately trying to complete a 36 page winter outlook
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Actually a very apt disclaimer for these past several years.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Certainly one of the more innocuous ones I have observed on this forum...
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