40/70 Benchmark

I'm confident.

That event sucked up here.

This is why I'll need the deformation zone or it's subby city.

Absolutely agreed.

Thanks.

Verification of High Impact & Long-Duration Sunday-Monday Winter Storm Strong Forecast Leaves Room For Improvement Overall the Eastern Mass Weather Final Call for the major winter storm that impacted the forecast area from Sunday through Monday verified quite well. However, the coastal front enhancement was somewhat misdiagnosed, as the front itself was pinned slightly closer to the coast than anticipated. The forecast for the front to penetrate into roughly the I 495 corridor was predicated up global guidance. But as it turned out, mesoscale guidance, which pinned the front closer to the coast, or along rt 128 and near I 95 on the north shore, proved to be more accurate. This is why highest amounts ended up along the coast (Gloucester, MA, 27"), (Ipswich, MA, 26"), rather than near the I 495 belt. Be that as it may, amounts of two feet, and event slightly more, were reported throughout much of northeastern Massachusetts, with a secondary on the east slope of the Worcester hills (Sterling, MA, 25.2"), as forecast. Final Grade: A

Strong forecast overall yesterday, with the only glitch being that max amounts were a couple of inches higher and more along the coast than expected...in large part due to the fact that the coastal front ended up getting pinned a bit closer to the coast than I had thought. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/01/verification-of-high-impact-long.html

I just don't trust a Miller A with Gulf stream origins to be fixed in a narrowly OTS path from day 6 in, but just me....my initial inclination was wrong last week, so....

We need to name this Winter Storm Brett. @TauntonBlizzard2013

Totally.

Oh, my bad, but wasn't exclusively directed at you. @Sey-Mour SnowThoughts?

We can agree to disagree on that. I feel as though the track is far more correctable than the risk of occlusion.

Do me a favor, and hold off on the toast proclamations until tomorrow 12z....and I don't mean that to sound like a douche, either....just my two cents. I get the concern.

It wasn't worse than 06z.

Yes, but more confident that it won't whiff...occlusion is a greater threat, JHMO.

No.

EURO was better than 06z, but worse than 00z....in between.

Yea...Delmarva, S NJ..

True....east of NJ, anyway...

Personally, I'd prefer it around ACK, but probably unreasonable ask.

Odd...low is a tick se of the BM, yet hardly any precip across the interior.

Yea, nothing high-end will come from that.

Tell me where you live without telling me where you live....

I am, too, but for different reason.

I am. Not worried about OTS at all.