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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Shit, I HATE getting wrapped into PBP on a week night...tough to sleep. First time all year it warranted it. I'm out-
  2. Yea, I don't expect those amounts unless it phased perfectly like 12z....but he difference between 12z and 00z was absolute noise at this range.
  3. I mentioned Dec 5-6, 1981 to Kev early today....requires a deeper dive but wonder I there is analog potential....ironically enough, the early SSW was very like that year.
  4. Snowfall output is actually a hair less than 18z, but I thought that run took a step back towards 12z at H5.
  5. The southern end of the vorticity runs out ahead a bit as it hits the coast, otherwise that is a blizzard. Who knows is that's real...it could be an artifact of modeling.
  6. I think all of will take that at this point. No complaints.
  7. My guess is a median solution right between 12z and 18z. Not as cohesive as 12z.
  8. I didn't notice bc I never expected anything out of that event...never viewed a model lol Took one look at the ridge out west and checked out.
  9. All I care is to see it west...I don't expect it to be consistently skillful with respect to cyclogenesis.
  10. I have heard a few people make that comparison...even pattern wise.
  11. 49 for the high here. All patches wiped...just bankings.
  12. Pretty distinct trend. GFS (not 12z) has to be the model of choice here
  13. Second half of January into February was always go-time for me this season.
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