This is the kind of trend that's been fatal the past several years BC the airmass has always sucked. Different ballgame now IMHO. We have margin for error.
That is a good thing IMO give the antecedent airmass and SSTs only being 40.....the flow is more NE instead of NNE, which limits subsidence just off of the coast and gets more of an 850-mb moisture influx.
I was taken to the shed in the medium range by this one. Granted it changed a lot, but I allowed the "whoa is me" mindset to drive the bus.
Should have first call by early AM at the latest.