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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will probably end up like a situation where it will come back enough for CT, but I'll be bent over before the next MHT points north event hits.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just absolutely can not win....unbelievable. That said, I would be surprised if that actually ends up whiffing.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it certainly did shit on me...like most runs and storms.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Everyone should get some.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't looked since I made it....amounts will probably be similar, anyway.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it's a clipper.....it's like going to a hot-dog eating contest and making note of the fact that people weren't fasting.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still like my one-and-done map from the weekend.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll tell you what, I may have missed the mark on my first two-week KU window...I went with a slight chance Dec 1-15 out deference to 1981, but if I were to do it right now, I would tab about Jan 8-22, or 10-24th....others have mentioned this time frame, and I could see a phase-changer to herald in my +TNH regime. BAM tossed out Dec 30,2000 and Jan 7, 1996 (displaced north and probably not as excessive) as potential analogs and they were both seasons were in my package (the former is the main analog).
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think so....not with the PV on our side of the hemisphere. We would get some warm days, but there would always be cold spells in the wake of storms. Would probably suck for snow, though.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I certainly didn't expect big blocking late December...welcome deviation if that comes to fruition.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's also into the holiday break period now, too....so folks may not be up at 6am.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Was probably Tbliz lol
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Weekends I always am, but only post if it's very interesting.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    It takes a special set of circumstances for me to be up for the EURO on weeknights these days, at 45 with 4 little ones.....
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd hit it-
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't put much effort into whether or not we trend colder in the shorter term (don't really care), but expect this Pacific trough regime to last into mid January before the flip, which is consistent with his timeframe. It's important to keep in mind that the Pacific trough regime doesn't have to mean an all out torch, which some may be conditioned to believe. BAM is right about the PV being on our side of the hemisphere, so that would help to mitigate that.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great video by BAM....only point I am at odds with him is the PNA for January, but that is probably a bigger deal for the mid Atlantic than my area.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree on the Jan 15-Feb 1 timeframe.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    925 looks cold enough for a lot of the region, so if there's decent growth and some consistency with halfway decent rates, it should be okay.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the +TNH will run a bit into Feb before we get very mild and await the stratosphere.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sure...reasonable.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    That guidance shows it essentially neutralizing by January 5th...pop a +TNH mid-month....done.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, there is.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    This area has a tendency to get 7/11 split as it pertains to latitude.
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