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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Hit 99.5, but settled back to 99.1
  2. Starting to doubt 100 here...brief max at 98.4 and now back to 97.7
  3. That looks like a consensus for a weak -IOD...which makes sense given the meager cool ENSO anticipated. Well, okay-but I don't know why you posted that link to support your comment, which indicates in bold font that -IOD isn't going to develop until late winter or spring.
  4. Yea, I have been thinking 100 for MBY.
  5. 92...the "1" is the northern ege of Narganset Bay, I think.
  6. 90.7 Desperate times when I track heat....
  7. Except with some elevation around Tolland...still about 83 there.
  8. Seems to be a pretty weak consensus... El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean Dipole remain neutral; negative IOD possible in late winter to early spring
  9. Yea, our climo this close to the ocean lags the solar calendar by a good month...which is why our cold peaks from about 1/20 to 2/1 and snowfall from about 2/1 to 2/10...right up to warm-tushy-car-seat season.
  10. Yea, I don't think those warming subsurface trends will continue much longer. Do you have the source for your long range IOD forecast?
  11. I actually like seeing that this time of year, anecdotally speaking, anyway...no correlation maps or anything haha.
  12. No, my point was it was warmer than 2021...not that it was very warm, per se...
  13. My early hunch is ample poleward Aleutian ridging with -PNA.
  14. High of 96 today after 91 yesterday.....look like will make 4 consecutive of 90+ through Wednesday. My p&c for tomorrow has a high of 103 with a HI of 111...worst I could find....not the jack I yearn for
  15. Don, DM me if it comes to that....
  16. @Stormchaserchuck1..here are SSTs from Augus to November 2021, preceding the only -WPO DM since 2016-2017. Now here is last year, which was featured a major DM +WPO...check out the difference around the Indian Ocean and even east of Japan...
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