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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Pretty good consistency with that VD Day Miller B on the GFS.
  2. Tough to say, but not necessarily...no more than MC....but would need to see a hovmoller to know for sure.
  3. A lot gets lost in semantics...technically, that mid January period was a torch because night time mins were very high, even though we didn't get any 55 degree-torch days. I get where both sides are coming from. I don't think that mid February break will stick, like the mid January break...but it won't get as cold as late January early February again, not that we need it to.
  4. Caveat being, we didn't have the baseline MC like forcing due to the warm pool back then, so maybe it's bit harder now...but like I said, I still don't think March will suck.
  5. Yes. Seems like we just need to avoid the MJO from getting in the way during March...don't need it. 2001 flirted with phase 8 briefly, then went COD...2018 was actually briefly in MC before going COD.
  6. I mean, I'll take the under on me getting 45.5" again, but it will probably be a decent month.
  7. PNA was pretty negative....WPO loses correlation in March, so you must be referring to EPO? I think I'l take. my chances with ridging reasserting there late, regardless of guidance.
  8. We may be better off that way in terms of snow....seasonable cold with space for amplification in the absence of Bertha over top.
  9. I think 90" here will be tough..gonna need March 2018.
  10. Nah, mid February is early enough, but I know what you mean RE earlier the better.
  11. Coldest December-January combo in Boston since 2003-2004.
  12. The forecast failures are the most valuable tool...I've had plenty and they are very educational.
  13. That EURO AI evolution is a warmer version of that last big event like 10 days ago...probably sleet further north than indicated with the less impressive antecedent and location of that primary.
  14. I could buy something like the EURO AI.....hugger. Full-fledged Miller B...probably best case.
  15. Lobes of Stay Away vorticity dropping in to phase with Lowell PD into a full, fledged restraining order as we speak..
  16. It didn't get muted during the last thaw period in mid January..it was originally cold and tended milder, kind if like mid February at present.
  17. He'll start slowly...maybe take a night shift.
  18. I spent a lot of time shaved in the corps, but it's ultimately just not for me.
  19. I think for reserves it's two, that's probably what it is.
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