Well, in terms of snowfall, which is largely due to indiosyncracies.....first of all, the fact that the colder pattern is coming in nearly 3 weeks later hurts even if all of the storms materialized in an identical fashion. Secondly, the pattern we have coming up could have easily worked out in terms of a large storm on the east coast, but the timing is off, so it goes inland...those are the breaks. You are viewing this from a very reductive perspective......but in any event, snowfall along the east coast is actually ending up pretty similarly to that season, anyway, as January and February were snowier. If you expect an analog to line up 100% perfectly, I think you have some learning to do.