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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I'll take it....last thing I want to contend with is dry air.
  2. Yup, I remember I was checking out looking to take the first half of the month off, then everything collapsed southward for this week.
  3. I agree, but HRRR and NAM were trying to trigger seasonal trauma...I feel like I may want a bit of mid level margin for error here, though.
  4. GFS trended back N a bit and EURO held serve, so have to see if the trend is done.
  5. Dry air drain getting close for comfort here on that run.
  6. IDK...I think the pregnant ones do....I almost vomited once when I walked into the bedroom.
  7. Well, now we know why @Torch Tigerisn't 5PPD, our admin has his had up a skunk's ass all day.
  8. I never thought Allison would do that to him...hopefully @Masswx doesn't log on...poor kid would never look at mom the same way.
  9. Yea, it's too raw....glad they have a new edition coming out.
  10. Okay, I get your point...agreed. We haven't had many messy events this year.
  11. True, I think I recall one event that had a notable tuck..
  12. Right, so you would think they would adjust the raw data instead of just copy and pasting to run with it.
  13. I feel like low level cold has overperformed all season....
  14. I feel like they need to tweak that NBM because it is biased too much by outlier data.
  15. NBM sucked ass is in the blizzard....kept getting me like 18-20", and they followed it right off of the bridge.
  16. The Suslac-slot....one of us needs to present that to the Sharks on shark tank "So sharks, who is ready to join me on this shitty journey"!?
  17. Yea, I don't think Scoot is arguing it will be nothing but puddles, but just that accretion maybe limited to more of the nuisance variety given the marginal temps...more of just an aesthetic appeal to afford you the opportunity to sleep snugly in your icy footie jammies, nonetheless.
  18. I don't think so.....unlikely. I will take my chances with that..ice, nope.
  19. I like that my area is on the northern edge of the main snow area on guidance because despite the seasonal trend, I would still want some wiggle room for mid levels to verify a bit warmer. I could also see lower levels verifying colder than modeled, but think the correction vector maybe warmer aloft.
  20. Yea, if his hill were closer to the source, like up in my area, he'd get his wish and be eating PB & J in the dark for a few days.
  21. Southern ORH hills may not have power for a bit...
  22. Yea, well the range accounts for that...more IP would be 3", less results in closer to 6". Just glad the icing will be SW of me.
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