40/70 Benchmark

Up to a coating

Right.

This is why KU s are rare.

My bad, Steve. Limits of not being able to detect tone combined with a fast-paced AM.

Nah, stressed doing a million things at once. I hope we get croacked and if I have my way, I'll be 1000% wrong.

I think anyone who puts that amount of time into being as clear and transparent as possible would be annoyed by that...just my take.

Okay, I'm a dick, you are a dick with reading comp deficiencies.

@Ginx snewxThis is from Tuesday...you tell me what my position was/is: What is also evident on Friday night is disturbance #3 entering the fray may by moving into the north plains. The crucial difference here is that shortly after the system descends south of the Canadien border, ridging begins to build over the western COUNS intramountain region. This allows ample room for amplification under the aforementioned PV-block dyad due to the fact that southeast heights decrease as a result of the building western CONUS ridge. Note the decreased amplitude and further east position of the ridge in guidance from Sunday. While this does in fact represent a more favorable ridge placement and intensity for major east coast storms, the fact that it remains marginal in conjunction with increased confluence to the north still implies that a major storm is dubious. There remains plenty of time to maintain vigilance with respect to this major storm potential to end the week

@Ginx snewxThis is from Sunday blog: The largest storm potential exists in association with a potential coastal development on Monday, February 23, however, the early indication is that this system is likely to pass predominately out to sea and pose a larger threat to the Canadien Maritimes.

You maybe right...like I said, I just listened to his video on the way into the office. My original position was the confluence N of ME and the marginal quality/positioning of the ridge out west.

That was my original point. Just saw DT's video on the way in, maybe it's my fault bc I took it out of context or something.

I've always been on the OTS train with this. You want links? Let me know how much you end up with.

No. Watch DT's video. There is some sort of communication gap that I don't have time to bridge right now. Honest statement...it's not at all a shot at Brian.

They are connected. I know for me, understanding what boots it out to sea helps to determine how to get it to snow.

Well, whatever...we don't want it to do what the EURO has it doing.

Doesn't mean it's correct in doing so. The Euro correctly has that energy kick the developing blizzard out over the ocean.

We need the follow up crap over MN to weaken....DT mentioned that and it's a solid point.

I think that late January threat after the blizzard is a pretty good analog.

Should we do a wellness check?

Yea, it's going to be relatively close in a geographical sense....got it, but it seems pretty definitive that we aren't getting a blizzard. Been my take for days and I'm not seeing anything to give me pause.

I really fail to see how anyone can take these two images in and be at a loss for where this is headed.

That is about what I expect for a track...makes sense.

You wonder if areas of CT get some ZR that doesn't really freeze....

Be careful with NAM QPF....ride it for thermals here, but proceed with caution concerning QPF output.

I wonder if he bothers to ever walk any of this dribble back when mother nature inevitably puts him over her knee? I don't bother to check....