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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
40/70 Benchmark replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
43.3 this AM IMBY this AM....gorgeous. -
@BlizzardWx's site.
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True ratter here....wow, just about futility around Chris out in Greenfield.
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Yea, it means no arctic source, but the airmass can work in January-Feb.
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Mid January 1983 I had 20.2" followed by a frigid week, including a day with a high of 10 and low of -5...then in February, I had a 17" and 20.3" event in the same week, for a peak depth of 26". I would sign up for that in a heart beat and think it's totally feasible this season in short bursts.
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Who is doing that? Cite the name specifically?? All I see are expectations for a warm season with a heightened risk of a big snow event or two. Obviously the season could easily fail to produce like 1998, but it's not very compelling to discuss that in depth on a weather forum. The upside if we get lucky here in SNE is near normal snowfall and above normal snowfall in the mid atl.
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It's a DJF mean. Worked for Feb 1983, but I agree it's precarious for the coast. Here is Feb....I think we have seasonable cold here with that ridging out west.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/mei/ -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Tell me there is explosive potential this winter without telling me there is explosive potential this winter...okay-
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I don't think it's going to be an appreciably negative PDO.
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Pretty much....I would push back a hair with regard to snowfall, though...1982 was just about normal.
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Self-respect?
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You are giving yourself too much credit. I don't need you to help me formulate a valid idea of how this season is going to progress....I'm merely giving you an opportunity to at least feign an interest in contributing anything of value.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The cooling east of Japan and warming in the GOA is driving the neutralization of the PDO: -
:vomit:
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
40/70 Benchmark replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Leaves are already falling up here because it's been so dry. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Likely because the cold El Niño events of the late 70's freaked them out. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, just depends on the precise SST measurement and calculation are, but I wish they could centralize it. Regardless, neutral-negative now. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://satellitewx.com/ocean?p=ssta&d=2026-09-09&dom=Global&v=r,-160.000,0.000,387.600 Thanks to @BlizzardWx...my new home site. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
PDO up to -.19 today. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
How about region 4? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Absolutely. I didn't understand that 3 years ago and misdiagnosed it as a Modoki signal. -
I think you can hedge in the narrative....not these asinine AI-generated graphics...agree, there.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
East-based composite versus Euro forecast:
