40/70 Benchmark

...or use uber helicopter to my fly to my yard.

3/4" from midnight to 2AM.

Yea, my seasonal totals are usually considerable, but scrapped together by the left overs from NNE and SNE...don't usually end up ground zero for large events. Blizzard was a perfect example....royally bent over, but got 10" that NNE didn't get.

Two main factors allowed me to retain some snow 1 I have done a bit better than most of SNE in these garbage events, which is usually where I "shine" relative to the region...you guys will rain, and I'll get Dendrite and Jeff's sloppy second-crumbs. I had 1.5" of pack-preserving sleet last Friday while it rained a few miles south. 2 My warm stretch yesterday was fleeting bc I didn't mix out until the front was approaching. Not to mention I radiate pretty well...

I'm starting to get heavy recession billowing out from beneath trees...but the lion's share of the flat expanse is covered.

Same in my yard...

Raises hand...

I'm not a summer-seasonal guy, but I've heard it probably won't be that hot...

The first thing to watch this summer into the fall is the PDO....I think it will finally flip positive, but can't have that remain negative, or we are going to end up with that pig ridge right over S Canada again, like 2023-2024...... -PDO/strong El Nino is awful. 1972-1973 was another one.

At least we know it will be active next year...welcome change. Yes, we also know temps will be a big issue, but I am done with stein seasons....so positive there.

Yea, well...I didn't say it was 90 degrees....but when it's too warm to snow in New England during winter, that is kind of a torch. I didn't say it the warmest winter ever...

I can tell by the vibe and feedback from certain posters on here when I need to look.

I have managed to score in all of the super El Ninos, except 2015-2016 because that blizzard just missed me to the south.

I haven't viewed a model since my blog last week....says all you need to know.

I had like 15" over several hours, but some spots had like 2'...insane rates. Ayer, MA had like 8" in an hour. If everything lines up, you can get some crazy dynamics with the amount of moisture available, but the warmth that comes with it is often prohibitive.

I had one great event just before Xmas, but other than that it was a nightmare.

1997-1998 had some...doesn't matter...too much heat.

Maybe we can dress up gone to make a it more modern AI message?

And I'll be honest and say I would have guessed that this February event would have been SSW had it succeeded, though....so not trying to hide behind a vale of ambiguity.

7-8" depth IMBY...largest drift is 14" against the fence. Should be gone on Monday.

John, was the reversal in early March from the bottom-up, too? I haven't bothered to look yet...

Yea, plenty of coastals to soak the marathon runners.

I would like to see that map for a later baseline.... What is the link for that data?

This is why I am beginning to use the language "reversal" instead of SSW because it more accurately denotes what I am actually forecasting. I don't really care whether it begins on the ground or in the strat. RE the "front-loaded" aspect....I think the only reason that worked out is because the early February reversal failed....had that succeeded, it would evolved differently, a la 2018 and 2001....as it was, it was delayed until early March, so we get the Feb 2018 like record warm spell in March, instead, and then the return to "winter" will engineer an April butt-bang for everyone due to the erosion of climo.