40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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My current spot was scooter for that...like 15 mi out.
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I would have traded places.
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40" can happen inland if you get under the banding long enough...NYS had in VD 2007....many areas in December 2020.
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I mean, you still had 2 feet...even I wouldn't have bitched about that.
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Tradeoff I am willing to make TBH...give me a decade of shit winters if we get an event like that.
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Shit, he'll be whining in March, when I get a lousy, damn 7" SWFE that rains on him.
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Well, tell CC I'm about due for my reach around.
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Not over IMO.
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That is bit too early to be impacted by the reversal...lag time is like 15 days at this juncture.
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My KU window was off by like 6 days on the blizzard...was March 1-15.
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This was my best outlook to date in the 11 years I have been doing it, but it wasn't perfect by any stretch. There are avenues for improvement that I will discuss in the post season analysis...most notably, I emphasized the thawing PT regimes too much in the composites, so the temp composites were not cold enough....thought H5 was very good. I pretty much nailed the progression of the strat.
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Yea, -PNA from here on out, as expected....but that was also the case in March 2018, one of my two main strat analogs, along with 2001. It won't be as cold, but not will it be prohibitive to snow.
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Okay, that is recency bias, but they are prone to getting more vicious blizzard than other other locales when they do get them...that is more what I meant.
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Jan 2011 was okay where I am...like 20".
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I'm ready for spring....45 and drizzle.
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Jan 2015 was near my area.....Jan 2011 was more Ginxy...Feb 2013 was Wolfie
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Woflie, nothing personal at all, though...I know you are a very intelligent guy having met you. Just still exhausted, frustrated...and very confident that that isn't it.
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Just dumb luck......but I will say, your area to Brett to Steve is well situated for extreme events sticking right out into the ocean like that, but a bit off of the coast. Definitely a better situated for extreme events down there. Steve has some sneaky elevation, too...nice spot.
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Yea, just going to go with an inch....no way there wasn't some melting and I came home to 1/2" on the pavement.
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I still enjoyed the chase immensely, though....you have to have an immense degree of passion for winter weather to spend the amount of time on it that I do as a hobbyist.
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Onto next season in the hopes of a March 5, 2001 displaced about 15 miles south.
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Probably north of me...I'm ready for it to be over, anyway.
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The real answer is that it's just so unlikely to be in the exact right spot for something of that magnitude.
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That's perhaps the most mind-numbingly obtuse analysis possible.
