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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Never made sense...the guys on social media calling for "wild weather" ahead in November maybe right for the wrong reason...wildly pleasant weather.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    DE-FENCE----CLAP-CLAP-CLAP.....DE-FENCE-CLAP-CLAP-CLAP
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    That should lock in through December and much of January.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I high doubt we see the full reversal, but would be interesting.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    New run looks like my Dec-Jan composite
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's like I freeeee riiiiiide, Forky really neeeds to get laid
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    At least I don't get downsloped, but I'm prone to subsidence when the coast gets ocean enhancement...that's why I hate frigid storms, not to mention I like pasty snow.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anyyyyyywhoooo.....
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can't wait until you flip on a dime in about 2.5 months.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I'd take your type of cold any day over mine.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    *Long confounded reflection as to what in the hell the SFS beta2 is*
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Once upon a time, this place used to have moderators....that crap detracts from the quality of threads and suspensions should be dished out...everyone knows to whom I'm referring...not someone like Chris or Adam, who do nothing but add value, even though they love them some warm.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    That post was about ENSO.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is absolutely fair...all I ask.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gotcha, my bad there.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, totally get that.....plenty of reason to think that, and we all have our stances, but it's perhaps more important to look for reasons that your forecast rationale will NOT work out.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't signaling anyone out....general question.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    We won't have any MC this season and the forcing still extends into the region SSE of Hawaii...which is where guidance has consistently placed the highest precip rates.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....intraseasonal variability, which proves my point....it's always going to exist to some extent and there are folks acting as though it will not.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Quick question....we have established that the climate is warming, so why is it news that this was the warmest October in a super El Niño?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Then how was it more favorable earlier in the season if the vortex was so far to the east? I had well over a foot of snow right before xmas... February had no method of cold delivery into the CONUS in 1998....I don't feel like that will be the case this during that particular potion of the season, though it will in the mean. Forcing is also stronger and more expansive not only to the east, but to the west. I feel like people are getting too carried away with the magnitude and orientation of El Niño and are far too linear in their thought process...obviously it's going to play a huge role around the globe and will thus impact our sensible weather to a significant extent, but it's not at all the only factor....a few of you guys are acting like nothing else exists and it operates in a vacuum.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've answered this question, and your highly cerebral response was "I don't give a shit".
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great call on this....I always figured that guidance was overcooking the move westward, but I did think it would be more evenly distributed than this by now. While I still think it will, as it really only has one direction to go, I am now certain that I will be filing this one under my east-base composite rather than basin-wide like 2016 and 2024.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the ONI peaks in NDJ.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Considering my past life trajectory, I'm ecstatically grateful to be ordinary.
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