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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    My area's best Decembers are the SWFE patterns...a la 1970, 2007, 2008....big coastals this time of year usually produce a lot of mush on the CP.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are going to get some Arctic High regime (-NAO), but its just gone by mid month....AWT.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like December 6th it is.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think a bias requires an actual forecast. I would admit that you you use reverse psychology as a defense mechanism if I were you.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    If all else is equal, but it allows for other factors to overwhelm...just as weaker ENSO does. That shouldn't be prohibitive to an intensifying PV and the development of a PT.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    BC version has it entering the COD on Xmas eve.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    We didn't have MJO phase 8 in January of 1990. it was December 1989. https://www.bom.gov.au/clim_data/IDCKGEM000/rmm.74toRealtime.txt
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, I def. wouldn't love this in your area. Yea, difference should be enough to get me in the game, at least.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....all I'm saying is it's a heavier press of the PV...I've always expected it to be a N stream dominated pattern that is favorable for NE, not so much your area into the mid atl.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Chris, if we are being honest with ourselves, that is a definitive trend towards a more concerted press of the PV.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lots of December 2007 on that composite......my snowiest month of December on record.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had 4" December 2-3, 2007....right on cue.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm going to start diving in again after I emerge from my diabetic coma on Friday, but I'm not trying to imply it's going to be 1993-1994. There are going to be some mild stretches when the cold will get bottled up...no question.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've been on a the second week of December train, as well, but I won't be stunned to see a few inches that first week. Agree on the se ridge...the pattern is flawed, but we aren't looking for a blizzard, here.....it doesn't take perfection to snow at this latitude in December.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've been there, man....wonderful thing about the weather is it's always there waiting in the other side.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been preaching since last summer that se Canada will be cold this season, ignore the rest. All you need to know unless focused on a KU. There hasn't been a shred of doubt in my mind RE a cold se Canada.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Get ready for something akin to December 2007 or 2008. It's going to be good month for most of us, just without the dumb SSW crack that social media was dealing.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely buy....that is the Pacific trough regime I expect to take hold around Xmas and through the first half of January that should flip to +TNH mid month.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Expect the hostile trend in the polar domain to continue for later in December.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would expect about a mean of those 3 seasons...maybe add in 2005.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    You never answered my question on FB...How did you do in December 2000, 2007 and 2008?
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can tell Tony is panicking because he keeps emphatically questioning anyone who isn't sold on a wintry December.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Could also throw 2001 in.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe a compromise??
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