40/70 Benchmark

+3.25" 34.25" should do it for the season.

A- https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/04/long-duration-nor-easter-very-well.html Versus what actually transpired in terms of snowfall across the area.

Long Duration Nor' Easter Very Well Forecast Here is the Final Call for the major, long duration nor' easter that continues to intermittently effect the area even into this weekend. Versus what actually transpired in terms of snowfall across the area. The only minor issues with the forecast being that the general 4-8" area over southern Vermont would have been better served to reflect 5-10". And the the 5-10" area over southern New Hampshire should have been more widespread, as opposed to being relegated to the higher terrain of the Monadnocks. But others this was a very skillful forecast that was honed a few days out in a what was a uniquely complex and multifaceted storm system. Final Grade: A-

Is there one of these for SNE? I haven't seen BOX post a map....

Looks like a painting.

Spring festivities for the Big Dipper.

3.25" Final

3.0" Just what I had expected.

There ya go, @CoastalWx...you were waiting for it.

Wife is saying 3-5" at home now, but I will have to verify later this PM...was only 1.75" at 6am. I doubt we tacked on that much.

Jesus, we may never catch a break again. Wow.

Right.

I agree there...better than any model snowfall algorithm.

Right....but not as rancid as the garbage that the clown maps were down here.

High-end amounts will be like 18"...aside from like Mt Washington or something.

I agree that if you have a classic situation like Jan 2022, or Jan 2015 etc, they would be awful.

No, I mean in the aggregate. The most accurate forecast would have been PDC throughout NE....10:1 and Kutchera were worse in CNE than PDC was in NNE. I'm not sure how you argue that. Is that the case every storm? No, but it was today.

I don't need to wait....no one is getting 30" or close to it.

No snow tools are perfect....we need to actually forecast, but +SDC was the best guidance overall.

Fact is, they were more accurate in totality.....perfect everywhere? No. But if you had the choice of 10:1 everywhere, Kuchera or +SDC, the latter would have yielded the most accurate forecast throughout the region. Are they too light in much of your area? Sure....but I would argue better than those idiotic 30" clown maps. Hardest hit areas have like a foot with what...3-4" more coming today?

Yea, in a marginal situation, its the path of least regret.

No one used them for that. Common sense dictates that heavy snow will yield more than positive depth change when its cold enough. Hell, I even said fator in Kutchera in the hills.

Positive Depth Change was largely accurate AWT.

I think I had you near the line of 2-5"/4-8" in n ORH CO.