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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Oh, pretty please...this would represent an interplanetary orgie for me. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure it will come with some unforeseen, dystopian (as John would say)externality, but we are getting those anyway with the hockey-stick rate of CC, so what the hell...may as well get some snow and cold on the way to meeting our collective maker. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'll take the over on "barely any snow" in Michigan this coming winter, but a +10 month would not shock me. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
2060? Damn, I'll be 80....lets speed that up- -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well in my area, it really needs to be a bit cooler than average to get big snows, but I'm not suggesting that. -
This is my favored scenario attm.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
My crude theory is that the planet ultimately finds a way to achieve some semblance of an equilibrium....and this unprecedented El Nino is a testament to that. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No one is disputing above normal temps...at least in the NE. -
Yes, and it's had a negative correlation with winter during the modern era, meaning -AO maybe favored this winter.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Tell me why it won't snow ever again in 5,486 words or more- JK -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Memorable one? Same odds as a HECS....gonna be about timing things right when the pattern is more conducive in the back half. EPO is likely + in the seasonal mean, so need to score on a window. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not in the seasonal mean, no. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That ridge is going to lift towards Greenland on the heels of the latter January/eary February reflection event. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
December and most of January, sure....that is a DJF mean. I don't necessarily agree for February. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That ridge displaced a bit to the NW of the intense-El Nino composite due to a favorable extra tropical Pacific in conjunction with some high latitude blocking. It's similar to the strong composite. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It's just about impossible to get a really warm AK in an El Nino this powerful. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
40/70 Benchmark replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Pretty wet up here this AM, and all the way into Boston. -
It wouldn't surprise me if it was because the anomalies under the core of that ridge are going to dwarf the cooler anomalies in association with the STJ to the south and east. There is a TON of heat being displaced.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Wow, that satellitewx.com site is incredible..... -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That looks like a much more active east past pattern this year. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Typo- -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That looks centered on the PNW/SW Canada...could be worse. NAO-east, too. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He does know his shit, which is why the nonsense-troll MO is so frustrating. ...every now and then, I get a DM from him on actual weather in the lead up to a huge event. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Still sucked for snowfall on the east coast. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There is obviously a connection between solar and ENSO..I pointed that out last week, then some new poster disputed it.
