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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, precipitation is the problem from your area into NNE....temps pretty near equally as correlated to snowfall here...close. Slight hedged towards precip from my area near the NH border and on up. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@bluewaveIs that you? -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I know what you mean. 1957 and 1965 were very good here, but they were kind of borderline strong versus super. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, just having some fun. I appreciative his insight and refreshers in espanol. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think I'm fluent in 12 different languages as a result of following your ENSO updates. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, it's the only decent one out here. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Super El Niño and decent -PDO would probably be lights out for winter. -
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One thing that hasn't snapped back as of yet is the increased speed of the jet sabotaging east coast storm cylogenesis....the January event was a cheat code for that because we had a great airmass slammed with a southwest flow aloft. Really only text book display of east coast cycolgen was the February blizzard that snipped my balls off.
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You know, it's funny...Will and I have reflected on how we went several winter seasons without being able to buy for a +pp over southeast Canada....times started changing about 18 months ago.
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It was odd prose, I guess I get it.
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Yea, I'm not sure why that was lost on Edgar Allen Poe over there.
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Let's station that there to add resistance to the STJ next winter...that would be neat-
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Correct, but it had a -WPO, which is why it was actually a decent season. -
https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/05/development-of-major-el-nino-imminent.html
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/05/development-of-major-el-nino-imminent.html -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Can anyone link the RONI guidance? -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I would take my chances with another 1997 versus 2023. -
Without looking at anything, and in the absence of any context whatsoever, I will venture out on a limb and guess you are thinking warmer than forecast?
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53/96 .14"
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I Just mean in the aggregate for the season. I haven't really dug in yet. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He's not wishcasting if you read his posts, he expects competing MC forcing like 2023. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It's going to be a torch.....but we had some shots back then that just didn't pan out. If things were timed differently, we could have availed of some -NAO periods...hell, my area pulled off a great event as it was just prior to xmas. Personally, I doubt it ends up as east-based as 1997...but if we don't cool the west Pacific off, then that would be even worse because it would mean MC competition as far as forcing. If we cool the west Pacific off and get a basin wide deal, then we have a shot at something. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Either way, we are getting a pig ridge in Canada...but we can either have a trough in the southeast, or a cool ENSO like se ridge. This why my 2023 outlook was such a dud...I didn't get that back then.
