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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Makes more sense to me.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that is the first positive feedback I have ever received from you.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nothing wrong with that.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I doubt PNA goes away again....hopefully I'm right.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, in your defense....you have to acknowledge the development of a strong consensus on guidance....that's what I did over the weekend. I rationalized why guidance was potentially doing that as the lack of coupling between the strengthening Strat PV and troposphere, while acknowledging potential colder risks to my forecast. This abandonment of major blocking makes more sense to me, though.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't be a surprised to see a day or three like that, but I don't think that will be representative of the majority of the month.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I did't get that from the post of his that I agree with, but figured maybe there was another one that I didn't see.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, latter January should be +NAO/PNA/TNH
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, my bad...I didn't see that. I disagree there, as well. I also see cold in the latter half, although probably focused west of here.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is it exactly that you and Kevin disagree with? Do me a favor....let me know how much snow you accumulate between now and January 15th and we'll readdress. It will be single-digits.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, absolute same page.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not really....it's the favored outcome.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think Pope has nailed it here TBH....same page with respect to first half of January...not great for coastal snowfall.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I should be a bit after mid month...I think 1/12 to 1/13 is a bit early.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was a "good", solid season...if unspectacular that left plenty on the table.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely makes sense...the early January -NAO was always puzzling to me and never fit with my expectation. There has been a pretty strong correlation between -NAO/-PNA and +NAO/PNA for the past 20 years or so, which what I expected to bare out with the emergence of +PNA and a strengthening PV that would culminate in an episode of +TNH beyond mid-month. The corrections warmer better align with my preseason thoughts, as well.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was okay...nothing memorable for me.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am absolutely, positively and desperately seeking an avenue out of clipper-hell. I don't even care if it's a torch...anything but the constant barrage of cold with 1-2" every week with a 2" pack of crust.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I went +1 to +3 for the NE and mid atlantic.....was worried I would be too warm, but maybe not...
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, can always go partake in the 'ole one-finger-salute-style prostate massage while watching BAM Weather blow snot rockets, if that comforts ya.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Depends on latitude....I never got above 37.8
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not implying it's an analog...just saying. Do I expect it to do that? Negative lol
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jan 2015 pulled it off....
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably from like Salem, NH northward.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even if a storm cuts in that pattern, a lot of us are still probably getting front enders that will be more fruitful than these clippers that are drier than a nun's no-no given the antecedent airmass.
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