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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Now, if you want to argue that there won't be any cold, that is a different issue....but you time that track with a polar high, and there would be a major snowfall across much of Mass/CT/RI. Is the capture that far south and tug back to NJ ideal? No, but I'm not claiming it would have been 2/6/1978...nonetheless, it would have been a major winter storm.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nope.....much of SNE would have been buried on that track....it got captured and backed into the Jersey shore before drifting up to the cape post-occlusion. Your portrayal is disingenuous and makes it sound as though it barreled over the Jersey shore and straight into CT or RI.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Storm track of the nor'easter last week was nice.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't say that given major El Nino climo....I think lower in latitude has the best shot at above climo snowfall.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    We were really paid back 100 years later!!
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is totally anecdotal, but I really doubt it considering the stretch from which we are just emerging. I think we are on par for some positive regression in terms of snowfall...I understand the CC-oriented counter to that, and it's perfectly valid, so no need to get into that...ultimately all we can do is guess, and that is mine.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like October will def. be +NAO, which is good.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully we can displace the ridge so far south this winter that we can pull off a Nina-like gradient pattern overlaid onto that diesel STJ....slightly further south 2007-2008
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is I'll be tic higher than KASH, so about 32.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I was shocked.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you're splitting hairs and reaching.................first of all, I don't think that any degree of difference with respect to LE and measuring technique would negate the evolutionary advantages that Miller B type cyclogenesis has. Secondly, couple said evolutionary differences with that that Miller B also tend to be less progressive, and that negates any LEQ advantage and increased proclivity for compression that Miller A had. Would like to go through the list of Miller B captures and Miller A captures (good luck)? So, we are talking about less progressive systems on average, which protracts precp and augments measuring inconsistencies due to companion, that also tend to have the timing of approach more closely align with max rate of depending of mid level centers. Mic drop-
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Without even looking, I'll assume it's a bit warmer and drier, and that ridge has continued to edge southward.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, believe me, I don't trust precise measurements from back then....no argument at all. I get your point.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....but, that was Boris' whole point, to whom you replied. I merely made the distinction....not assigning any blame at all.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, but it's important to note considering the context of the post that you responded to.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is true, but you are proving my point that the same issue concerning measuring inconsistencies plagued Miller B events, as well.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe, but I feel like the timing will be different this year....a more hostile December and a better for February.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Your trolling is growing on me
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tough not to be in that area when dealing with a true arctic airmass and NE winds.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
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  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, there was a good amount of preexisting pack going into that one...I had a foot in Wilmington, and you probably had more down there. I don't think there was a secondary.....that was pure Miller A, although def. could have been some OES assist...it was a really cold storm.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Miller B is ideal for his area and it isn't close.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was just a hypothetical comment.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    God, I hope that grouping fails spectacularly moving forward....I'd just assume drive out to the desert's of Albuquerque and shot-gun a cactus than experience anything akin to the past four El Niño events during this coming season.
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