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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. My hair? New to me.... Knee replacement, any cognitive test lately?
  2. Nonsense that ice prevents settling....it helps shield it from the sun, but the weight is still there.
  3. Agreed. Again, can I get enough 4 to 8 inch events to hit 60"?? The "Holy Grail", apparently...
  4. All I'm asking for...give me 60" of snow in a season for once. That's Holy Grail now?
  5. PS: I call BS on 2" of settling in over a week.
  6. Well, maybe if I got climo snowfall you'd find out...been since 2018, so how the hell do you know. Funny ho someone from an area that hasn't been porked as much passes judgement. Go do some PT
  7. If a climo snowfall winter is the new the holy grail, I think we are all in for angst and need to move.
  8. I would take that with a slightly more relaxed RNA and much colder SSTs.
  9. Maybe I'll be wrong this time, but I will defer to my seasonal research until it's obvious that it isn't going to work. It hasn't led me astray yet this season, with the exception of the latter January NAO blocking.
  10. @so_whats_happeningDo you have the link to those EURO images?
  11. Guidance was originally insistent that the RNA pattern from the month of December would persist throughout the vast majority of the month of January, with the exception of a brief interval of PNA flex the second week of the month (10th-15th). The above annotation ultimately proved correct in asserting that the forecast return of RNA after mid-month, as suggested by guidance, was in fact erroneous.
  12. I'm not arguing with your interpretation of what guidance shows now, rather I'm arguing that it's still adjusting and not there yet. Wouldn't be the first time.
  13. Pretty close to a full split.....I would wait to see what actually verified because I still anticipate a full split, more akin to 2018 and 2023.
  14. Yea, we'll see...I certainly don't expect a perfect forecast from 3 months lead.
  15. I do like 2023 as a late season analog (Feb-March), but the RNA shouldn't be as extreme.
  16. Yea. I'm impressed with the AI suite overall.
  17. VDDay coming up..no better time to fully exorcise those Kristine demons.
  18. Relative to WINDEX, I wouldn't be surprised.....great if that's your thing. Personally, I'd prefer large winter storm threat and I'm still not sure I see one, unfortunately.
  19. Looks like the main PV lobe is headed to Asia. That is why the airmass grows rather stale on this side of the hemisphere beyond about Feb 10th.
  20. I guess I sensed an optimistic tone in your interpretation. Agree concerning volatility, but I think the correction vector in terms of at least the middle third of the month is warmer. Hopefully I'm wrong.
  21. I don't echo Steve's optimism that we are geared up for a conveyor belt of prime threats. I think it's going to be a messy month that will scrap and claw it's way to near climo snowfall in SNE.
  22. I'm not saying it's a warm-sector with all rain...but it's probably a mess for SNE.
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