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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I'm not sure either, I just went with it.....mayeb he'll be brave enough to try and let us know if he survives.
  2. The sad realty is that snow is all I have in this area in terms of meteorology....if we ever get a real tropical threat, Id be all over it every bit as much.
  3. I get it...we all have some degree of dissatisfaction with our lives, but it's not my fault you failed to thrive in the field that you supposedly love, and eat tacos by yourself in a closet on Xmas eve....either see a &ucking shrink, or get lost.
  4. https://www.americanwx.com/bb/forum/18-climate-change/
  5. I'm still waiting on seeing your outlook verification from last year.
  6. I really don't understand why you are constantly such an a$$hole...my god, is your existence that meager and unfulfilling? Christ, I'd have swallowed a wet spark-plug by now if I were in your state of mind.
  7. I think the mid season warming may end up more of a reflection event/CW.
  8. The new Adam is such a breath of fresh air...I wish Forky would take a break for a couple of months.
  9. You managed to inadvertently elicit one last sneak preview of my favorable window this winter before I go radio-silent to work.....WATCH THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE KUROSHIO CURRENT AND KONA LOW OUT IN THE PACIFIC CONTINUE TO GROW
  10. https://www.easternmassweather.net/2026/10/el-nino-grows-historically-powerful.html
  11. https://www.easternmassweather.net/2026/10/el-nino-grows-historically-powerful.html
  12. I would argue the guys speaking in absolutes that there won't be are crazy.
  13. Fact, not opinion....1972-1973 and 2015-2016 are the only two intense El Ninos that did not feature at least one storm of over a foot in this area...and I'd take my chances with January 2016 again.
  14. Hey, I'm not picky...I'll settle for January-February 1983, December 23, 1997 or January 7th, 2024...TBH the 2016 blizzard is the redux I'd pass on.
  15. ENSO isn't alone in that respect...watch the impact of that gradient between the boiling Kuroshio current and the Kona low west Hawaii and how it may impact the north Pacific along about mid season, which may constructively interfere with other high latitude blocking downstream over NA.
  16. Right...because it had very similar deviations to the ones I expect with this one.
  17. This is the strongest El Nino ever partly because we have the warmest oceans ever, which means we have more prominent competing forces than ever.
  18. Well, given how east-based this one is, I think you would want some deviation....
  19. Yes, true....I think most consider that a tacit point given the audience we are dealing with, but noted, nonetheless.
  20. On average over the course of a season, probably, but you are never going to entirely eliminate any degree of seasonal variation as a byproduct of alternate forcing mechanisms...especially in this modern era of being surrounded by heat sinks.
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