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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. That looks centered on the PNW/SW Canada...could be worse. NAO-east, too.
  2. He does know his shit, which is why the nonsense-troll MO is so frustrating. ...every now and then, I get a DM from him on actual weather in the lead up to a huge event.
  3. There is obviously a connection between solar and ENSO..I pointed that out last week, then some new poster disputed it.
  4. Been working on the Pacific....2009 is actually damn good extra tropical Pacific analog.
  5. Why are you still here if you find nothing of value?
  6. I just don't get anything out of operating under the assumption that others have nothing to offer.
  7. Honestly, though...I don't think anyone could read through my material over the course of the past couple of years and come away with the conclusion that I am in denial of, or neglecting CC. I think that is also true of this forum for the most part.
  8. I just feel like discord is much more difficult to follow.....it's just rapid faire posts that just scroll into oblivion. I prefer the pages on the forum.
  9. 100%. I have seen zero personal attacks from you....snowman launched attacks like that routinely, for all of the valuable info that he added.
  10. I have zero qualms with the folks that have zero sense of humor exiting stage right.
  11. To be fair, that was before I was taking Chris' musings about the increasing prevalence of MC forcing very seriously...I mocked him in the lead up to that 2023-2024 winter and he ultimately handed me my ass. Invaluable learning experience for me because my outlooks have been much better since and I've addressed what had been a cold/snow bias.
  12. Depends where you are....most likely prohibitive along the east coast, at least.
  13. I expected a bitter stretch in latter January into early February in association with that +TNH pattern, but it was cold more consistently than I expected.
  14. That JMA output is textbook Modoki composite. Again, I think that is overdone in the seasonal mean, but it is what it is.
  15. It's coming lol I'm telling you, he's going to shred this optimism like a ninja with absolute surgical precision.
  16. Larry is feeln' it- Dude needs a Bluewave intervention, and pronto He'll slap you across the face with a series of JMA VP images.
  17. What I mean by exaggerated is with respect to the DJF mean pattern...it's probably going to be too cold in December, and while that DJF mean map may very well be representative of one month (February), it's highly likely to be overly reflected in the DJF mean on the model.
  18. Wayyy too much optimism in this thread. We could use a Bluewave tutorial on how CC has engineered the failure of past auspicious seasonal runs by way of gargantuan ridges eating away the troughs like Pacman.
  19. Yea, I made that comparison the other day. I think it's valid, but exaggerated..
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