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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I do think it may be tough for that area because the drier air funneling down....same reason he does CAD so well there.
  2. I'm usually good at sniffing out a porking...I knew by like 8am the day of jan 2022.....should know soon enough.
  3. HRRR gives me like 7"....I would go ape-shit lol Seems like it's going LBSW after guidance had trended away from that?
  4. Exactly....my chances aren't as good as those to the south that won over 100 games, but I snuck into the dance. See what happens....and probably melter early tomorrow AM.
  5. The modeling lead up is akin to the regular season....those spots, along with RI and SE MA just won 107 games and look great, but the post season is about to start.....just get into the dance, and sometimes the 83-win WC team takes home the trophy.
  6. 4 kids ....trust me, that is probably the best smell there is as far as pregnancy goes.
  7. No use torturing yourself with it now...just get some rest and watch unfold...plenty of times the bullseye has ended up where there was only like an inch of QPF. Does it mean that will happen now? No, but nothing I said is untrue either.
  8. Hearing everything...storm is east, deform developing NW of guidance....been out of the loop and can't trust social media...
  9. Can you explain this to me? Never really understood what that is...
  10. My take is that it did it's job sniffing out the larger scale synoptic landscape that will allow this historic impact around here.....but it's passed the baton at this point because it's not designed to handle the shorter-term nuances and mesoscale features of cyclogenesis, banding etc.
  11. 13-17" pre-blizzard depth-depth at the weather station is 17"...most measurements at least 15". Back down to 31 from a high of 35.
  12. What doesn't make sense to me is that guidance is moving the LBSW into LI and CT, but aren't maintaing the dynamics longer through my area and into the GOM....I think they are waning the dynamics too quickly after maturation.
  13. About to...wanted to get the forecast out of the way so I can just weenie out after I lift today.
  14. Yea, never had a blizzard with this much antecedent pack and so fresh on the heels of another storm with zero melting...
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