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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, I had, 1970, 2007 and 2008 as December analogs.
  2. Yea, if it's snowing at 4'K in n VT, it will surely be great in DC. Idiot.
  3. That to me looks like a pattern more conducive to overrunning, as any major phasing attempt(s) is/are likely to be sheared out by a compressed field.
  4. Gotta love the 'ole 3-11" and 1-6" forecast ranges.....must really boost scores.
  5. I see far more hyped winter videos than I do CC propaganda online.
  6. Everything warrants a "PREPARE NOW" headline....it's truly nauseating. I've been reading that crap every week from November through March and have been averaging like half of my average seasonal snowfall each year.
  7. I just feel like these youtube mets do the public a disservice because the focus is more on click maximization than it is the dissemination of the highest quality of information. This garbage is also like opioids for weather weenies.
  8. I think at the end of the day, December is a New England month more than anything else, but hopefully I'm wrong. Mid Atlantic could get a decent event mid-month or so.
  9. His subscriptions should be fading....he said it twice.
  10. I had the second week of December as go-time in terms of snow for my area given analogs...still feel that way. It will be a slower than expected progression of the cold to the east given the RNA.
  11. He seems like a tool-bag to me....like the Direct Weather bafoon.
  12. I am stunned 1995-1996 had a stronger than climo PV.
  13. I expect something akin to Dec 2000 (ie no reversal, but significant SSW, nonetheless), which is the best general analog IMO.
  14. It should. The conjecture about locking through January is silly.
  15. The only unusual element is in the event that the zonal wind actually reverses this early, which is still dubious IMHO. This is the latest example of how online forecasting is more geared towards attracting attention and generating revenue, as opposed to adding actual value.
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