Exactly....my chances aren't as good as those to the south that won over 100 games, but I snuck into the dance. See what happens....and probably melter early tomorrow AM.
The modeling lead up is akin to the regular season....those spots, along with RI and SE MA just won 107 games and look great, but the post season is about to start.....just get into the dance, and sometimes the 83-win WC team takes home the trophy.
No use torturing yourself with it now...just get some rest and watch unfold...plenty of times the bullseye has ended up where there was only like an inch of QPF. Does it mean that will happen now? No, but nothing I said is untrue either.
My take is that it did it's job sniffing out the larger scale synoptic landscape that will allow this historic impact around here.....but it's passed the baton at this point because it's not designed to handle the shorter-term nuances and mesoscale features of cyclogenesis, banding etc.
What doesn't make sense to me is that guidance is moving the LBSW into LI and CT, but aren't maintaing the dynamics longer through my area and into the GOM....I think they are waning the dynamics too quickly after maturation.