40/70 Benchmark

Told ya, I wasn't being sarcastic.

That probably deforms from me to Ineedsnow.

Trust me, some will. It will com back again to some extent.

Just about a decade of buttah-face seasons....due for a lookah.

Not doing another map for this...Friday night I will.

I'm sure it will come back again, and then @ineedsnowwill cling to the Bulgarian ensembles for a couple of days, but there probably isn't going to be a blizzard.

May end up south of my map, but I'm done chasing guidance ghosts for event that isn't worth a damn.

Not bad, @Ginx snewxLittle Eastern Mass Weather & Eastern Connecticut Weather collaboration.

I've picked up a few from Tip That may be one.

Yea, I could see some 6-8" totals, but no need to go there until confidence increases.

Tough not to defer to the European suite day 1-3.

Hope you are right and I'm adjusting later this week.

A Tale Of Three Disturbances Wednesday & Friday Evenings As Appetizer To Potential Main Course on Sunday Night-Monday While the precise evolution of the procession of storms poised to traverse the country this week still remains somewhat nebulous, the overall progression of the energy being ejected from the Pacific Trough discussed on Sunday is coming into somewhat better focus. As it now stands, there are three distinct pulses of energy that will be ejected into the plains to the south of the block located in the general vicinity of James Bay, Canada. The first two disturbances will be large eviscerated by the compressed height field between the block (north), and the southeast ridge (ridge) in their journey eastward. However, the last in this series of three disturbances has the greatest potential to amplify, since building heights over the western CONUS will allow the medium over the eastern US to relax. Synoptic Overlay The first piece of energy will eject out of the Pacific trough and into the upper plains on Wednesday, where is will amplify. However, it rapidly begins to accentuate by the time it begins to impact the forecast area on Wednesday evening, as it encounters the compressed height field between the PV-James Bay block dyad to the north, and the elevated heights to the southwest owed to the deep, parent Pacific trough. System # 2 then ejects into the plains at a slightly lower latitude on Friday, which allows it to maintain slightly more vigor as it translates eastward relative to the it's predecessor, that tracked immediately underneath the block. This of course allows for the disturbance to maintain a bit more integrity as it approaches the area later on Friday and into the overnight period. This should result in a light to perhaps moderate snowfall over the northern half of southern New England. What is also evident on Friday night is disturbance #3 entering the fray may by moving into the north plains. The crucial difference here is that shortly after the system descends south of the Canadien border, ridging begins to build over the western COUNS intramountain region. This allows ample room for amplification under the aforementioned PV-block dyad due to the fact that southeast heights decrease as a result of the building western CONUS ridge. Note the decreased amplitude and further east position of the ridge in guidance from Sunday. While this does in fact represent a more favorable ridge placement and intensity for major east coast storms, the fact that it remains marginal in conjunction with increased confluence to the north still implies that a major storm is dubious. There remains plenty of time to maintain vigilance with respect to this major storm potential to end the week, but in the mains time, there are also disturbances posted to impact the region on Wednesday and Friday evenings. Expected Evolution of Disturbance #1 Light precipitation should break out over the southwestern third of the region around midday tomorrow. Most rainfall or mixed precipitation should rapidly transition to snowfall as the precipitation grows somewhat steadier throughout the afternoon, and potentially moderate for a brief window of time over a narrow corridor. Precipitation should then begin to taper off rapidly after midnight early Thursday AM. First & Final Call for Wednesday Evening Next up is the system slated to impact the region on Friday night. Expected Evolution For Disturbance #2 Given that the parent mid level low pressure area will pass to the north of the area, this system will bring a mixed back of precipitation to the area due to southwest flow aloft. Light snowfall will break out across the western third of the region to the north of approximately I-84 during the midday hours on Friday, with rain likely points south of there. This area of transition should progress to the vicinity of the Mass pike by the early evening hours, as precipitation grows more moderate in intensity. Precipitation will then begin to taper off from west to east during the mid evening hours, and throughout eastern sections by shortly after midnight. Any residual precipitation should be ending by dawn on Saturday. Stay tuned for more a final look at the Friday potential on Thursday, and an update on the weekend potential if necessary on Friday. First Call For Friday Night

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/02/a-tale-of-three-disturbances.html What is evident on Friday night is disturbance #3 entering the fray may by moving into the north plains. The crucial difference here is that shortly after the system descends south of the Canadien border, ridging begins to build over the western COUNS intramountain region. This allows ample room for amplification under the aforementioned PV-block dyad due to the fact that southeast heights decrease as a result of the building western CONUS ridge. Note the decreased amplitude and further east position of the ridge in guidance from Sunday. While this does in fact represent a more favorable ridge placement and intensity for major east coast storms, the fact that it remains marginal in conjunction with increased confluence to the north still implies that a major storm is dubious.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/02/a-tale-of-three-disturbances.html First Call For Friday Night

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/02/a-tale-of-three-disturbances.html First & Final Call for Wednesday Evening

All CoastalWx All The Time

I think there maybe a phasing attempt at some point.

Oh, gimme a hug, grampy....let me help you get a grip

IDK whom you were talking about. Same nonsensical dribble every time someone tries to maintain objectivity.

Yup, fair.

Yea, for jaded buoy #696969.

How is it more amped and SE?

Another jaded dude...