Well said. I think CC is playing a part in the absence of winter weather over the past several years, but it's not "the new norm"....it's just accentuating and protracting these oscillations. Just my take...I think it also played a role in the snow-blitz of 2015.
@GaWxLarry, it has that El Niño look because of the Pacific airmass....that is what I tried to capture in my January composite....pretty similar look with months like January 2006 and 2002 in there.
I would like to see phase 8...the MJO has still had an allergy to phase 8 over the course of the past couple of seasons, despite the cold, which is part of the reason why the haven't seen the snow.
Yea, you also said something to the effect of "am I crazy for thinking we could go on a Jan 2011 type of run". That is when I responded with the lack of blockbuster cool ENSO months of February. I know that wasn't a forecast per se...breaking balls...