40/70 Benchmark

-PNA. I'm fine with that, as long as it isn't 2022-2023 type extreme, which it isn't. I'm all set with the core of the coldest anomalies being over me.

The only record in my area is the broken one that keeps playing boring weather.

Happy Vets Day?

Even the cold shots...not just snow. I see all of these headlines about how Deerorgy, Minnesota dipped to -24 with -60 WCs, and 20s to the Gulf coast....meanwhile, back at the ranch....27 and P Cloudy in Methuen-

I do think this season will be more conducive to that type of track at times.

Luck has quite a bit to do with snowfall...moreso than any other winter variable.

Yea, I'm waiting for Santa to come and shove the snow stake from Mansfield right up my vortex again.

It's just never the east coast anymore....it's always the midwest, some deranged recluse tossing bodies into a woodchipper, or the gulf coast. Enough with the 6SD troughs to the equator....west of us. Can we get a fuc*ing closed low pass under CC with a high over SE Canada? Then once the dust settles, and I'm walking bull legged for about a week with ma nature's latest member lodged high and tight, I get to log in and see a twitter post embedded on here by @bluewaveabout how quickly he flew across the Pacific on the 12SD jet, and that is why it never snows here anymore. Not another season.....like, dude, I just can't. Not after spending a 50+ hours writing up a thesis on why I think it may snow, only to find out....it didn't, and won't-

I'm glad all of these lumberjacks and book warms can get in a happy circle and massage their prostates to the amplitude of the trough, but I don't give a rat's ass unless it's noteworthy here, at this point. Maybe 5-8 years ago I could appreciate it, but at this point, close the shades and leave me alone if it does nothing for me.

10" of snow on the Gulf coast last year..I barely got that all of January. Like, enough....just enough. I swear to god, if it happens this season I'm going to absolutely go off of the deep end.

I think my RONI peak was -1 to -1.2. I don't grade that, but do it for $hits and usually nail it.

Okay, that's what I figured. I don't care about that.

I'm so sick of seeing epic set ups produce nothing of note for us. I get it's November 10th....but in general the past several years. Always seeing all of these weathergasms on social media only to look out my window and yawn. RECORD NOVEMBER TROUGH IN THE EAST!!!! Dude, it was showers and 50-

City Predicted Snowfall for 2025-2026 Actual Forecast Error Boston, MA 44-54" ? ? NewYork, NY(Central Park) 19-29" ? ? Philadelphia, PA 14-24" ? ? Baltimore, MD 8-18" ? ? Washington, DC 6-16" ? ? Albany, NY 64-74" ? ? Hartford, CT 44-54" ? ? Providence, RI 33-43" ? ? Worcester, MA 70-80" ? ? Tolland, CT 55-65" ? ? Methuen, MA 60-70" ? ? Hyannis, MA 10-20" ? ? Burlington, VT 96-106" ? ? Portland, ME 81-91" ? ? Concord, NH 67-77" ? ?

I do; the stratosphere.

I have it going to crap around Xmas and then going +TNH mid January.

The tri monthly value? I find that hard to believe.

That is exactly how my outlook is.

Largely based on how I think that the stratosphere will behave....PV is probably going to rebound quickly by the new year given that we are likely to have a reflection event mid January, the precursor pattern for which is a Pacific trough....implies Arctic low and Pacific trough for early January. Then SSW in February for a colder finish.

Subseasonal cycle? You mean the progression, ie mild January?

Here is my outlook.