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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. NYC, LI....maybe south coast. Outside shot up to the pike.
  2. Well, the PNA is a fairly stochastic index, so it probably have something to do with variability.....regardless of ENSO, that index in only going to remain pinned in one direction for so long before it corrects in the other direction. That information, coupled with the tendency for only month to be PNA even during this potent cold phase over the past several years led me to go +PNA this January and call BS when guidance was RNA.
  3. Problem is that some like Tony feel that as though they have a license to spew nonsense because the pattern is evolving in a cold and snowy manner.
  4. Tony is right for the wrong reason. This pattern has zero to do with La Nina weakening, which it's doing at a climo rate...no "collapse"....this is happening because we have a stratosphere predisposed to major disruptions given the state of the QBO overlaid onto the progression of the solar cycle, in conjunction with an east-biased La Nina of modest intensity.
  5. I think it's pretty clear that it's not at this point. You don't get an epic mid atl stretch in latter January in a canonical front loaded La Nina winter. I think it's time to let that go.
  6. I think it will be like January in that it will start cold the first week and then moderate for the middle third....then we see what the strat does.
  7. The gradient on the 00z Euro reminds of of January 96...not as sharp, but location of it.
  8. I would love to turn this into a Monday deal...hold that shit back and then phase it in to gobble up a shitty Monday. SNE had a history with nice storm's on Monday ; )
  9. It was that one....he was saying nothing NH, then they got that huge band and he disappeared.
  10. Only problem with that is the Mass pike is the only thing I hate more than getting boned on snow. I work in Chelsea...
  11. I would like to see the energy hang back more and give that vortex more time to GTFO, at least to some extent...
  12. Yea, I'm not enthused......I don't see how big snow gets into my area. Easy for folks who live in CT to bun me, but I just don't see it. Man, I just can not win....when it snows in NNE, I'm part of SNE....but when it snows down south, I'm NNE....just a boning in every fu(king direction....just not sure what it will take, at this point.
  13. Jesus, I have never seen DT so amped up...telling people prepare to have the kids out of school all week...looking at snow maps and saying "OMG, I hope that doesn't verify"....I'm thinking "you're so full of shit"
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