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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I think we could have some days remain in the single digits...key will be delivery here. Airmass is real-deal extreme, however, for NE it's all about the delivery. We need it more from the N or NNW...if it's from the NW or especially WNW, it modifies more.
  2. I think it would bode very well for my area if we could get some development in the mid levels.
  3. I was thinking the same, exact thing for MBY.....GFS has me in the bone-zone between systems, which is so 2018-2025.
  4. Hey, it works for you....3 titles in 7 years...likely a 4th this year.
  5. Well, all I issued was a threat assessment.....but it's still bad practice to have to scale back from that preliminary stuff. I really hedged on mentioning 6"+. Sometimes I play hunches.
  6. Turned into more of a classic nw to se gradient, which isn't great for me....was hoping it would be more of a longitudinal deal.
  7. I was in so deep on this no choice but to ride it out and hope for the best....even just a widespread advisory would allow me to save some face. lol
  8. Maybe a storm where First and Final are backed up consecutively...late Fri night/Sat night.
  9. I joined Eastern on Aug 30th, 2006 and then lurked for a month before starting to post....man, I was a weenie. First winter on here being 2006-2007 was brutal...that was @Stormchaserchuck1's "This will be the warmest winter on record in the east" season, and he was pretty close. December may have been the worst I have ever seen.
  10. I will go out on a limb and say this one will end better than last year.
  11. I was torn on whether to include 2013 in my February composite, but I ultimately decided against it because of this....that said, we still have at least a brief El Nino like interlude coming up later this month.... My three worst outlooks were 2018-2019, 2019-2020 and 2023-2024, but I am confident that I had I known what I do now, then would have been much better in large part to your musings. Great stuff, as always, Chris.
  12. Saturday will be SW of me and Sunday will be SE....just utterly unfathomable.
  13. Well, I'm on 495, so it isn't that. Under 9" at this point of the season here is wretched.
  14. Ah, no....he has severe intellectually disabilities, dude. I'm not talking about bipolar or something...
  15. The last piece of the puzzle to make this my best work yet is the PV split in February....that would be the chef's kiss.
  16. My stuff has been about as good as anyone on a seasonal level this year, but too bad the storms haven't cooperated yet.
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