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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I think that late January threat after the blizzard is a pretty good analog.
  2. Yea, it's going to be relatively close in a geographical sense....got it, but it seems pretty definitive that we aren't getting a blizzard. Been my take for days and I'm not seeing anything to give me pause.
  3. I really fail to see how anyone can take these two images in and be at a loss for where this is headed.
  4. That is about what I expect for a track...makes sense.
  5. You wonder if areas of CT get some ZR that doesn't really freeze....
  6. Be careful with NAM QPF....ride it for thermals here, but proceed with caution concerning QPF output.
  7. I wonder if he bothers to ever walk any of this dribble back when mother nature inevitably puts him over her knee? I don't bother to check....
  8. Gonna give this another 24 hours before I really begin to delve in, but I'm still not very enthused.
  9. Agree for the most part, but I don't think it will be P sunny here....more like fringe.
  10. Notice the only guidance that shifts west are the ones well out to sea?? Then when they get close, they shift back OTS? What does that tell you?
  11. 1-3" pike to rt 2 and 2-5" north of rt 2.
  12. More like 2-4"...yikes, take 'em down. Wouldn't that be funny....3 events starting us in the face, end up nothing-advisory event-cirrus.
  13. Even yesterday, EURO AI had no one getting more than an inch or two...even in the Berkshires.
  14. Yes, EURO AI nailed this non-event...and it still sucks for the weekend.
  15. Yes, true. Hopefully that has an impact. I think if it does we see a favorable move at 00z.
  16. More time of what? For you to alienate your family for the rest of the week? It's not about time....certain things I need to see to distinguish this from the usual modeling antics we have seen.
  17. Agreed....this is why I need to see 00z at least hold to even consider taking this seriously.
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