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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I mean EURO AI OP. I didn't say "don't do it", but I was totally writing this off...no getting around that. I can be a pig-headed PIA, but I do not try to worm my way out of bad takes....ever.
  2. It was me, Steve...I have no issue at all on being called out on things I actually said, or stances that I took. All I ask is that folks don't mischaracterize my position, and you are not in this case. That said, this is still rather precarious and I'm not sold on a big hit.
  3. 06z EURO AI ENS ticked better from 00z, despite the slight regression on the OP.
  4. GEFS and EPS aren't that different around here.....it's more NJ
  5. Yea, same....probably going to hold off on a first map until late tonight.
  6. I mean, I'd rather they be there, than east of the real models...
  7. You can see on the 06z GFS, it shifted the 25"ish amounts NE into central NJ....def some LBNE trends.
  8. Well, that's what I mean....we may depend on it for the western fringes...
  9. I wonder how much ferocity will be maintained with the death-band given the maxing lower in latitude...asking for about 237 friends....
  10. Jan 2022 literally made me nauseous...just physically ill. This is def. a candidate.
  11. Subtle, but you can start to make out the trend of a later closure with a slight LBNE nudge on 06z... I don't like how the EURO doesn't curl it up, though...still kicks east at out latitude.
  12. I narrowly missed the JP in 2015....Death band pivoted a bit beyond me after looking like it would stop around me, but no complaints. Jan 2022 was a disaster I saw coming early in the event...I remember scooter tried talking me off the ledge, but I knew and just went and slept through most of it.
  13. Music to my ears....my wheelhouse is between the BM and the islands.
  14. Lets just not continue the wealth of bombing lows around Wallop island streak.
  15. I'm pretty much sold...though my largest fear is a Jan 2022 type of cut-off....that was one of the most demoralizing storms in memory for me and it cut deeply.
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