40/70 Benchmark

Good luck down there this year, guys. I know many of @bluewave and @TheClimateChanger's posts are grating to read for a winter enthusiast, but the truth is that I think my work is much better for trying to make a more concerted effort to incorporate CC into the forecasts because there is no question it's having an impact. That doesn't mean you have to agree with 100% of their takes; I certainly don't, but tolerance for different viewpoints is the most powerful tool in anyone's arsenal.

Topped at out 37 here.

Thanks. I don't give regional specifics for your area, but you can deduce my thoughts based on the composites and such. In case you couldn't, "get nude" about somes it up-

Pretty clear it was over much more than Nov 11th. Agree that at least the first half of December looks good, but lets see it produce. There have been several "giddy up" patterns over the course of the past several years that just dissapointed.

Drought is inherently boring

Since March 2018, there have been 3 events that I was honest to goodness thrilled with, enjoyed and wasn't dissapointed. 12/2019 snow event, 2/1/2021 and 1/7/2024.

On a scale of 1-10, with 10 being winter in SNE, how safe do you feel?

I had zilch-zero, ma nature being singy with dinero.

You mean spending an inordinate amount of time of an internet forum investing emotionlly into something of which you have no control, while commismerating with other similarly ill-minded individuals isn't on the list? $hit, I'm in the wrong field.

I was never invested because I was balls-deep in the outlook until yesterday. So, yea...better now for that reason, and climo wise.

2025 may be the most boring calendar year of our lives....Maybe 1988 or 1990? 1988 had the huge heat in the summer at least...1990 had a nice ice storm in March. This year has had absolute-dick. I think it's the most boring calendar years of our lives.

Correct on both accounts. I haven't even started raking...def need some decent days with light wind.

Absolutely correct.

-PNA. I'm fine with that, as long as it isn't 2022-2023 type extreme, which it isn't. I'm all set with the core of the coldest anomalies being over me.

The only record in my area is the broken one that keeps playing boring weather.

Happy Vets Day?

Even the cold shots...not just snow. I see all of these headlines about how Deerorgy, Minnesota dipped to -24 with -60 WCs, and 20s to the Gulf coast....meanwhile, back at the ranch....27 and P Cloudy in Methuen-

I do think this season will be more conducive to that type of track at times.

Luck has quite a bit to do with snowfall...moreso than any other winter variable.

Yea, I'm waiting for Santa to come and shove the snow stake from Mansfield right up my vortex again.

It's just never the east coast anymore....it's always the midwest, some deranged recluse tossing bodies into a woodchipper, or the gulf coast. Enough with the 6SD troughs to the equator....west of us. Can we get a fuc*ing closed low pass under CC with a high over SE Canada? Then once the dust settles, and I'm walking bull legged for about a week with ma nature's latest member lodged high and tight, I get to log in and see a twitter post embedded on here by @bluewaveabout how quickly he flew across the Pacific on the 12SD jet, and that is why it never snows here anymore. Not another season.....like, dude, I just can't. Not after spending a 50+ hours writing up a thesis on why I think it may snow, only to find out....it didn't, and won't-

I'm glad all of these lumberjacks and book warms can get in a happy circle and massage their prostates to the amplitude of the trough, but I don't give a rat's ass unless it's noteworthy here, at this point. Maybe 5-8 years ago I could appreciate it, but at this point, close the shades and leave me alone if it does nothing for me.

10" of snow on the Gulf coast last year..I barely got that all of January. Like, enough....just enough. I swear to god, if it happens this season I'm going to absolutely go off of the deep end.

I think my RONI peak was -1 to -1.2. I don't grade that, but do it for $hits and usually nail it.

Okay, that's what I figured. I don't care about that.