People said the same shit leading into Jan 2022....Scott was telling me I'd be fine day of, but I was right. Pretty clear signal....I know it when I see it. Bitter cold system with ocean enhancement is no bueno here unless mid levels save me.
I get the range, but plenty of guidance doing that...same shit Jan 2022 pulled. I'm going to need deep easterly H85 inflow and/or perfect H7 deformation to avoid it.
The events like that are definitely prone to the screw jobs....just a weak low with ton of overrunning...had a bad screw job, but yea...everyone was around 1', at least.
I have often wondered how to get around those mesoscale porks... I know one way is an H85 firehose, which we won't have...but I think the other way is to get intense H7 deformation bodily over the area.....Jan 2015 pulled it off. Jan 2005 kind of did.
Yea, I don't think anyone should sweat that. If we can get that N stream injection to gain some legs through tomorrow it would be very reassuring for a large scale heavy event....eventual meso struggles be damned.