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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Irony being @MJO812has been citing the decaying block as the reason we are going to get a big storm all week
  2. I don't understand how fast flow in-and-of-itself would favor one longitude for phasing over another. Now, what I do understand is why tropical forcing overlayed onto said speed-of-flow increase may do that.
  3. So why does the fast flow allow phasing in that area relative to other spots?? I have my response, but interest in hearing your's....
  4. The band has also gotten less impressive. Everything has trended towards the EURO AI, which more like a coating to 2" yesterday.
  5. Actually really good consensus now on the near miss. I expect this to end up close to reality, c0cktease runs notwithstanding.
  6. Yea, I mean the January deal looked DOA, but we know how that ended.
  7. Yea, Friday has always been the highest confidence outcome IMHO.
  8. Yup, we'll be watching all week. Hope the knee is feeling better, all ribbing aside.
  9. In the end I think something like that is what will take place, Steve...this system isn't going to evaporate, or go to Bermuda, but it will be so close, yet so far away.
  10. Yea, real PIA. Normally I may ignore something like this, or perhaps just a brief mention on social media, but since these deals are in such rapid succession I had to.
  11. You know it's bad when we hear this from you.....normally you would be able to pull a rogue Tanzanian ensemble member or something...
  12. I mean, what else is there.....but to say expectations should be kept in check is an understatemement. I still think we will pull a good event or two in March.
  13. @Sey-Mour SnowPlease don't Sey Mour heartache and wasted time.
  14. I don't entirely agree because I referenced the 06z and 12z European sites from yesterday, which also had the confluence and did not have a big NE US impact.
  15. I referenced that confluece N of ME in my write up...although the ridging out west had trended better, that confluence has trended enough in the other direction to negate. ..other guidance was missing that.
  16. While I remain against it, this isn't over...guidance will try to rope everyone back in at some point, rest assured.
  17. Eh, never know, maybe the Euro is just jaded during a great winter and will come around.
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