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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Odds are we won't see consecutive strongly +PNA la Nina seasons....end of story.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    February 06 was largely luck...pattern was awful. March 2006 was actually better, but ended up cold and dry.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, my bad. I thought you meant in general.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why???
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've been wating with baited breath for a 1917 redux ever since the Titanic sank.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't, either. My mind has been made up for months, but as in mathamtics, time to show the work.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have no issue with that...totally reasonable take.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have already asked Santa for some pro winter posts from @snowman19for Christmas....he has his work cut out for him.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I think most would sign for wintry holiday period, regardless of what was in the fine print of the deal with the devil.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is definitely some warmer risk mid season...no doubt.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    November 2024 was moderately strong and 2023 was stronger.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the predominate MC forcing constructively interferes there, whereas it decontructively interferes with +PNA in conjunction with the enhanced Pac jet.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, regardless of the semtnics of the MJO criteria, we agree on that general point.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    IDK, seems kind of arbitrary to me, dude....pretty close to last year's 2.762. Furthermore, phase 4 is also in the MC. You do you, but I would be loathe to forecast a strong RNA in the mean. Again, agree weaker than last year's deviation, which isn't saying much.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I any event, I do agree that the PNA will not be as positve as last winter. Not arguing that point.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see 1.463 in phase 5 on the 29th and 2.422 in phase 4 on the 24th.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree on the wave reflection, but I also suspect it's followed up by a SSW, thereafter.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    October MJO came in stronger than 2022, but weaker than 2021.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    2021-2022 was actually our one repreieve from the seasonal +WPO.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Still neck-and-neck with 2024....see no reason it will deviate much.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    +WPO.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, I have been here so long that I am running out of images that I care to delete, so I have reorted to copy-pasting from the blog.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    The @bluewaveantichrist pattern with NAO blocking connecting with southWEST ridging lol
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    2024, sure.....this won't be like December 2023. It's not going to be that mild.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    @Stormchaserchuck1 What was your final NAO number?
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