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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I have explained my forecast rationale in quite vivid detail, so if the logic is still lost on you, the issue is not mine. I will be sure to pay particularly close attention to how much the I 95 cities south of Boston receive in December. Good luck-
  2. It would probably be a pattern that would still stack snow in NNE, but my area points southward would struggle on the cp.
  3. Yea, the cold 500mb is what I was getting at by "cold in se Canda", which I was supremely confident would be in play this year, in sharp contrast to the past decade.
  4. I still think there will be some sort of break prior to Xmas....also not huge on mid atlantic snowfall this month...at least not in the lower terrain on the coastal plane.
  5. I think so...which is why I wanted you to bet. I was very confident in a fast start to the month based on my analogs.
  6. I probably rushed the PV recovery, which I can live with...the bigger deal is getting the Pacific trough transition correct.
  7. I wouldn't worry about the OP details yet...like where we stand.
  8. I don't think it is..let's see what verifies. It's not zero chance, though....any time you get a weak PV the guard has to be...which is why I said slight chance of a KU between Dec 1 and 15, but I think the better window is late season.
  9. Yea, GFS has the crazy gradient over KASH, EURO over Attleboro...place it over rt 128 with a parcel and a pear tree.
  10. Looks like the trend tonight is towards less proficent cyclogensis, regardless of track...which isn't surprising. This isn't a pattern ripe for bombs.
  11. What a like about this low is we seem to time the life cycle well, so that could help those areas that are marginal.
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