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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    This graphic epitomizes the past 7 years for me....I reside right under that "x"....
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    It moved north...actually a bit better than 12z for MBY.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Still learning...the awful forecasts are very instructive.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doubt at your own peril.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've been warning it would strengthen in mid December into February since early last fall. But as others have intimated, that by no. means January is a lost cause.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I expected some stretches like this during December, which pretty much worked out.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, you go over my head with this stuff, but I do absolutely expect a very favorable Pacific to take shape by mid month.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I def tape that EURO snowmap right under the mistletoe.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would take 2" and run in this pattern....no complaints..... Unless Scooter gets 3"-
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO looks decent here....but the usual, with the real good being 10mi north of me.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tough to buy the GFS at this point, but something to watch....for now, consider that the spiked-eggnog outcome.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good look, esp. NOP
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    -EPO/+NAO with a PV near James Bay. January 2014, 2022, 2015
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    His thoughts..not mine, but I guess I could see it as a phase change to my +TNH
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Truth.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shocking it would favor that corridor.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Guy I talk shop with online is whispering about a big coastal between Jan 8-12.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lightning accompanying downpour in Tewksbury
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm largely ignoring AI guidance this season...they are in AAA in my view. Maybe ready for the big leagues next season...maybe consider as an ensemble at times.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is probable a "one and done" forecast, like the last one.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have to look at this over the weekend....I just briefly paid it homage on a wider, synoptic scale on Tuesday, but haven't yet done a deep dive.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's probably right because it always is when it sucks....but of course fell flat on it's face 12/2.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    This time of year, 40 hardly dents it...March and even latter February is a different story.
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