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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I was thinking more of the PNA TBH....I mean, maybe the subsurface is helping the STJ perk up, but I still disagree with the notion that La Niña is collapsing. There are plenty of metrics that suggest otherwise.
  2. I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't until Thursday or Friday.
  3. I'll check the IMBY crap at least until Saturday...I get how neurotic and obnoxious it is, valid or not. Pleased to have a good threat.
  4. At least the large scale pattern is good, anyway.....beats the past few years.
  5. Not IMO...unless there is deep H85 inflow, or deformation is right over me. Bank it...quote me next Monday.
  6. You know yourself a global at day 6 won't resolve that well enough....I'll bet you $1,000 it will be more pronounced than that.
  7. People said the same shit leading into Jan 2022....Scott was telling me I'd be fine day of, but I was right. Pretty clear signal....I know it when I see it. Bitter cold system with ocean enhancement is no bueno here unless mid levels save me.
  8. I get the range, but plenty of guidance doing that...same shit Jan 2022 pulled. I'm going to need deep easterly H85 inflow and/or perfect H7 deformation to avoid it.
  9. TBH, a HECS is the safest birth control I can think of.
  10. Repeats to self....don't stay up, you're 45 with 4 kids....don't stay up, you're 45 with 4 kids....
  11. Never done one...would love to..just an open stream of weenie consciousness. I'm not sure if you have to be a pro, though...
  12. It's not collapsing. It's playing very little role...we must have had an El Nino last year, right? Oops...
  13. I wonder if CoastalWx agrees? I thought it was -12 to -18?
  14. Yea, need more phasing....as is, it's a moderate impact...maybe more if you considier the cold.
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