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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Well, at the end of the day, the kids in Whoville got their gifts back, but we still call him the Grinch-
  2. Oh, well in that case, I guess my two inches of crust will be delivered back under the tree by Santa...phew.
  3. I was just noticing small bodies of water frozen over around Boston on the drive in this AM.
  4. I would take 1996 and run relative to what I have had recently...December was nice, and had an early April event for the ages.
  5. It does suck, I agree. But it could be worse and we have certainly seen worse this time of year.. I wouldn't be surprised if most of us had an inch or two on the ground for xmas. That said, this is not the pattern for a major snow...completely agree.
  6. Yea, that was a few days before my favorite one on 12/16/07.
  7. Spoken from the guy that doesn't have 4 under the age of 7
  8. Oh boy...pope is chiming in; this should be about as refreshing as morning breath.
  9. 18 years ago today, the best SWFE that god ever created was upon us.
  10. I mean, it's not hopeless....which in and of itself is all you can ask for.
  11. Gun-to-head...I think a lot of us pull a white xmas out of our rear stocking.
  12. Both GFS and EURO OPs (00z) give many a white Xmas.....non-negligible signal at day 9. Euro more xmas eve and GFS Day.
  13. IDK about the rest of you guys, but in a rudimentary sense...give me volatility, over the single digits on NW flow.
  14. For once, I like my locale relative to the rest of SNE...Maine looks to cash in. The further NE away from that ridge, the better the prospects of remaining wintry.
  15. I will be surprised if we don't see a major SSW and full reversal later this season.
  16. 2016-2017 lead into another La Nina...not an El Nino. I don't think that really has any value here, aside from the fact that February will often bias the Jan-Feb period warm in the east in a La Nina. 2022-2023 was a deeply +WPO/-PNA season, and I'm quite certain that won't be the case this season. Doesn't mean the second half will necessarily be great, but I don't think much can be gleaned from that particular composite.
  17. All 6 of those seasons finished with a mean DM -WPO, so this season should, too....though we could have a month or two average +WPO, as was the case in 1990. Looks like I am going to be off on the WPO again...it's so tough to forecast. At least I didn't go strongly positive....
  18. I am definitely prone to those negative aspects, but not to this extent.....not looking back at my climo. Now, this spot is hostile to jackpots for the reasons that you have mentioned, yes....but more often than not I get enough to still average over 60". The point I will disagree most with is the SWFE....this area cleaned up in 1970, 2007 and 2008.
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