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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. IDK...look how deep H5 is...all that matters, or so I was told....
  2. They should be safe from Tip's ever-expanding Hadley Cell for another 100 years or so up there...lol
  3. Not as much as it would otherwise if the ridge doesn't cooperate. Still nuisance amounts.
  4. I don't agree. Keep the ridge tilted positively like that and the surface will underperform. This is why the dynamics and BZ are escaping east on those solutions.
  5. @Ginx snewxGive me a ridge like the first and 3rd image, then H5 matters....second image is when it's more futile.
  6. Not a bad analog, but that harkens back to what I was saying about the western ridge....notice it looks more like the 18z GFS suite than it does some of those other runs that are positively tilted sw to ne. This is what I hate...see the difference? Notice 18z GEFS look more like 2/15/15 than this last image.
  7. Then the next one will be too far west...shoot me.
  8. Better orientation of the ridge out west changes that IMHO.
  9. Wow, that is the first run I've seen that has pretty much lost that annoying positive-tilt sw to be orientation of the PNA ridge...can work with that if it's real. Previously that wasn't rectified until the follow up wave.
  10. I'm just needling there....18z actually looked respectable.
  11. I won't melt from this lead wave...I've largely ignored it. If the follow up rains on me, then it's fair game.
  12. Fair. Let me know how much you get Friday. Good luck.
  13. Not sure how that's relevent...point is PD II wasn't heavy and wet for most.
  14. I had like a foot...plenty of events that the vast majority can't even recall that I would take over that.
  15. Yea, hopefully the ULL keeps trending deeper and more closed so Hyannis can do better.
  16. You're making his point...you are getting TFO of here, so "it's all good" for you....
  17. Define "good"....like Scott said, it simply doesn't matter here as much as it would under different circumstances. The floor is SUCKS and the ceiling is sucks.
  18. Don't confuse QPF with LE in the snowfall...it was a dry snow just off of the coast.
  19. I mean it's not a major snow either way....maybe the south coast gets 4" instead of 2"...the mositure is offshore.
  20. That is what usually happens with arctic blasts in +TNH patterns...historic cold knifes down the center of the country and we get unremarkable anomalies.
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