40/70 Benchmark

I actually think we could avoid it again.

Moregarbgage....all of the idiots....yup. I didn't see anyone worthy of actual consdieration do it.

At least its warm....maybe avoid shrivel?

I don't agree with that, but we shall see. Just an early hedge...my position could alwways change once I dig in.

Yea, I don't do summer forecasts...not the interest level and I would end up divorced, but consensus seems to be for a hot summer.

Looks like I was a hair too robust with the RONI peak...I had -1.2 to -1.4 vs the actual peak of -1.12. MEI peak forecast range was -1 to -1.2 and the actual peak was on the high end of the range at -1. I had the La Nina ONI peak between -0.6 and -0.8. Peak was -0.6. I was pretty accurate in terms of the peak, albeit at the weaker end of my range. Pretty impressive consiering the headfake by guidance late last fall and even into the early winter in cancelling La Nina. The comparison to the 2008-2009 event in terms of the late come back and shift west into more of a weaker Modoki worked out well.

Yea, the Feb warming was odd in that it was triggered by lower level, tropospheric phenomena.

Who hyped this? I think maybe JB....but I didn't see anyone else. Judah never did...I though it would be useless daying back to last fall.

What in the hell is NOI?

Exactly the point.

Monday and yesterday killed me in the GYM...muggy as hell. Yesterday the warmth got to MBY early evening/late PM.

@ineedsnowWhy don't you take the best if I'm such a weenie...easy money, right?

I was trying to remain moderate in my response because this is how the thread derail begins....

My sister is retiring near the end of this year...I told her to think about getting it out pior to the election last summer and she laughed....I mean, I'm sure it will eventually recover, but time may not be on her side. I'm not trying to turn this into a political schlong measuring contest, either....the measures being taken are going to cause some short term instability, even DJT himself amditted that.

I just cleared mine out for another investment, anyway....my pension will vest in under 5 years.

Maybe its just me, but I only watch evolutions that I believe have a reasonably high chance of coming to fruition.

NNE, sure...but like I said, the bet RE N ORH co is on the table if anyone would like to oblige.....Buuueehhler....

I'm pretty sure the tacit implication was everywhere in SNE, but I'll let him confirm.

I know....which was in response to the sentiment that its over. It is. I'll bet you $100 @ineedsnowdoesn't see more than an inch of slush.

I'm sure the upper village of Moose Prostate, ME will plow again....shocker.

No one in SNE cares...its over here.

If I were south of about NYC, I would prefer moderate to weak...

From about MHT points northward, maybe...

Yawn