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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. My sister had a summer house on Falmouth, but I didn't go. Never forgive myself...large event at home, but nothing I haven't seen 10x.
  2. 2005 was comparable to the worst 78 had to offer on the cape.
  3. Brutal...it was in the days leading into the funeral services for my dad. I remember desperately seeking an escape on my cell while gathered with family to clean out his home, only to find a White Juan redux in NS. Blustery, cold (dry) unsympathetic month that was-
  4. It could happen like that theoretically, but probably more changes incoming.
  5. Maybe it ends up missing, but I can tell you all of the pieces aren't nailed at this range...doesn't have to mean it shifts in our favor, but this isn't 100% accurate as modeled, either. Lots of elements interacting here.
  6. The only thing that has me bent over this month is the herniated disc I incurred from all of the shoveling....thanks, CC.
  7. It is, it's just an unwritten weenie rule to refrain from tossing out numbers at this point.
  8. I am working on an update and pulled up that graphic only to see tepid support, much to my chagrin...until I realized I had left the window open and was viewing guidance from the 16th. FYI, refreshing that page will not update it...need to manually set run if you leave it open. lol
  9. This would lend itself to a protracted, moderate event in all likelihood....boring AF.
  10. I've never seen so much long range NAM analysis and hedging.
  11. I wasn't there then, but I imagine it was worse. Regardless, it sucks now.
  12. Snow growth should be better this weekend....it was lacking until that final stanza Monday night in this past event.
  13. Even that QPF chart, as is, argues for prolific deformation from like Steve up through my area here in the MRV....crude rule of thumb is right near the QPF gradient, which at this range is only detecting lower level forcing.
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