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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. It's scotting OTS but hour 90, but that should at least restore some antecedent cold even in retreat.
  2. Man, if the GEM ever got the s stream up here, it would be nuts.
  3. GEM is really diving that N steam nipple into ME.
  4. Definite step towards the EURO with respect to the N stream.
  5. Yes, it slowed that little northern-stream moose nipple down. Enough discontinuity within itself to ignite wonder as to what the pathway along the humbling journey to capitulation would look like for the GFS given it's documented struggles with phasing.
  6. Chicks dig climate change..keep that in mind when the napes come out to play at the park.
  7. My guess is nothing else caves and the EURO may very well begin capitulation here.
  8. I weight the ICON a bit more heavily than I normally would this suite because I feel like if/when there is cross guidance commitment, it will be essentially unanimous.
  9. Very apt-nailed it. It really helps to maintain a somewhat more grounded approach throughout the periods of modeling chaos.
  10. @Damage In TollandAlways breaks my balls about this, but my preseason work governs a lot of my medium and longer range thought processes because it's that foundational, seasonal stuff that dictates much of this. I have always been on the RNA train for February and December, as I was +PNA for January. That portion of my work was very high confidence, so I am always going to err on the RNA ride of things as it pertains to any medium range conflict.
  11. The North Pacific pattern is what is most crucial.
  12. Posted this in the new thread, but meant to post in here.
  13. Still side with the GFS here, but may change my mind after 12z.
  14. Euro Sky net (Left) Matches EPS (Right) pretty well. Def tighter clustering on Skynet and more spread on EPS.
  15. Obviously 06z is closer, but you can also see we're losing the high to the north.
  16. Yea, today we should find out of this is real. If it goes well, I'll probably have a threat assessment tomorrow and a First call on Friday.
  17. Yea, yard must be really well shaded. I had 19" depth.
  18. EPS is leaning west....seems skewed east by a few members.
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