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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/02/messy-tuesday-evening-on-tap.html First & Final Call:
  2. It's just one of those system that doesn't pass the "smell test" when some of these meso models try to sniff a few lines and border on warning criteria...like when we see a over 12" printed out for run-of-the-mill SWFE....NOT one with an incredibly anomalous airmass like last month.
  3. I would err on the side of caution with H5 so far north.
  4. I'll back you up on that.....you have been skeptical of the blizzard runs.
  5. Geez, NAM gives me like 6"...sell that with H5 north. It tries to redevelop south at the surface, last minute, but too late.
  6. FYI, I wasn't endorsing that EURO output necessarily ....just sharing.
  7. "Still a 'ping' ways out"....Freudian slip?
  8. I should be alright as long as it's not an elevation event...Methuen scoffs at the 38* Harbor.
  9. You know what that 12z Run reminded me of is 12/3/2019.
  10. I agree on that, but SSW is not the only path to a Nice ending. I still like March, regardless.
  11. Yes, but I think my wok has been pretty good....there is some degree of warming occurring right when I expected, but it turns out it will be more of a Canadian warming rather than a SSW.
  12. Well, obviously my time frame for the SSW will not work out after looking likely a week ago...but I'm till not convinced we don't pull it off later in the month.
  13. I don't see why this would trend any better with the system tracking north....if anything it would probably trend towards less.
  14. I think 1-3" is higher confidence from the rt 2 corridor points northward....maybe coating to 2" south of there.
  15. GEFS and EPS actually in good agreement just outside of BM.
  16. EURO OP went to shit with rain....EPS still outside BM.
  17. A lot of the March 2018 events were tenuous, too.....can still work. There was not a ton of cold around that month.
  18. It's definitely warming up...I don't see why people are jumping down your throat.
  19. If it rains, it rains....just get the storm in here and I'll take my chances.
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