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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yup...but the 50+/50+ is what absolutely eviscerates it in short order.
  2. I also do get that it's viable weather and folks take an interest in it.....so it should have a thread allocated for that DISCO, so we don't have to split conjecture about whether it will ever snow again.
  3. Mid January is the next window....+TNH will be the vehicle for change if my idea is right, followed by big strat disruption in February to set up for an interesting finish.
  4. It's because they are going by guidance. This is the benefit of putting in the work all summer and fall to develop your own seasonal paradigm...are you right 100% of the time? God, no....but you become more adept at thinking critically and aren't enslaved to capricious and inaccurate long range guidance. When you are wrong, you grow from it if you put in the effort to understand why.
  5. Wow, who could have seen this coming....(looks in mirror and raises hand)-
  6. Especially Moregarbage....he kept pointing out the 4 members of the EPS that supported a reversal around Xmas like 2 weeks ago, and was like "models are beginning to come around to the SSW I expect around Xmas". I replied something to the effect..."zero chance. Wait for February".
  7. I don't give a rat's ass and don't want to read it in the main thread. 52.3
  8. 51.3...was in the mid-upper 30s until 5am, when the inversion broke.
  9. I would go with the traditional guidance in any kind of exotic high latitude blocking scenario until further notice.
  10. Still have about 1.5" of crust on the ground here....all a dream tomorrow.
  11. I still suspect the blocking is being overdone, but hopefully we deviate a bit from my seasonal.
  12. Yea, 1996 had a secondary jack over ORH CO....spread the wealth more. Bit like 1994 in the regard.
  13. I guess 2015 was a bit more CJey than 1996...I had a foot more in the latter...probably also because March turned SOP in 2015...1996 did not.
  14. The point is to get it operational and garner experience....like a rookie QB.
  15. I think your area had more in 1996...I know I did.
  16. The northeast doesn't need a +PNA.....see January 2011.
  17. Not here.....I was thinking more 1987-1988 through 1991-1992. 1986-1987 was better than any season this decade.
  18. Just hit the + sign instead of quote, and you can gather as many as you would like.
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