Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    74,789

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cool ENSO can't produce an awful December for snowfall and still ultimately thrive in terms of the seasonal total....which doesn't preclude a very good period(s), but again....it is what it is-
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not......buuuuut, you can't dispute strong climo evidence to the contrary if this month ends up as it looks like it may.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    The big question for me is to what degree is this permanent, which is a pretty polarizing issue, but I have maintained a more moderate stance.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, but I think this stretch is definitely more attributable to the velocities coming out of the Pacific as a byproduct of that west Pac warmth, which is exacerbating the influence of the ongoing Pacific cold phase on snowfall. I think the 1980s were more a byproduct of a strongly +NAO multidecadal cycle and some bad luck. There is def. some bad luck in this stretch, too....but it's more than that.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sometimes ignorance is bliss.....the veil of cluelessness will allow some to stare at guidance cross-eyed all season and weenie anyone who suggests that it may not snow, but climo is in fact a useful tool.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ineedweenies can bun it all he wants, but climo is indisputable and it is what it is. It doesn't apply to him, anyway...this is more for eastern Mass.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll tell you one thing...if I come out of this month in single digits for snowfall, my outlook on the season will absolutely shift. I can only find two cool ENSO seasons since 1950 that did that and ended up sniffing normal, and that is 1966 and 1983, the former was a cool-neutral year.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    All of those events will be showers followed by inverted "FUs" for us.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's a perfect pattern for them...imagine that ridge few hundred miles west, INVO Idaho?
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's getting exhausting and tedious....start to lose intrigue when you just know it isn't going to snow, regardless of what happens. My god.....if this season does it again, this will surpass the 80's-early 90s.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    They'll end up getting a 4'er in April.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    9/10 times you can take the under on those clown gusts and be correct.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    ..or our best storms from phases, god forbid....
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    We just can't win lately...if there isn't blocking, it cuts...if there is, it shreds or sends it south.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    You seriously goging to answer it?. The prevailing thought was that it would get colder a bit later in the month, but I didn't see anyone claiming that it would be "warm"...
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    That would be the end of me if that ever worked out...I just can't take any more meteorological sodomy.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    This sums everything up quite well...snake-bitten era continues. No one is ever going to convince me that this is 100% owed to CC....BS.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Should happen again.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, lovely-
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    ....or call BS on it beforehand via own obervations.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not here it wasn't.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am highly confident.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wonder if that modeled -NAO for late month fades...regardless, it's kind of fake, anyway given it's Scandinavian based.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    The Pacific trough pattern into mid January is right...it's therafter that is the time to watch.
×
×
  • Create New...