40/70 Benchmark

I agree with that addendum...especially across SNE.

He was right about snowpack...the ski resorts have had it, which combined with consistent if not impressive cold, has made for a respectable ski season.

Yes, the plowe operators have been hurting, but his post was about the ski resports....I don't think that has been as bad.

Yes...that's been the general pattern.

1955-1956 is similar to 2013-2014 in the sense that the analog worked out on a larger scale, but the snowfall was conspicuously absent in the NE.

I know 2019-2020 and 2023-2024 were nightmares, but really the only two dating back to the 2015-2016 super nino blood bath...so 3 in the last decade, which I'm sure is more than usual...its been a shitty stretch.

I used to spend a lot of time in Heniker as a kid...nice area.

Yes, last year was an abomination... but even 2022-2023 I don't think was that bad in NNE. 2020-2021 wasn't bad......2021-2022...eh....probably sucked.

Delay as long it would like....less mowing needed.

December wasn't warm, though.....ideally, there would be a ton of snowfall and they wouldn't have to expend resources to make a great deal of snow, but I would think that the season is salavageable as long as its reasonably cold. I get that it was only coldish by warmer 1991-2020 climo, but that still means it isn't prohibitvely warm

I know snowfall was well below average in S NH, but I don't think it was that far below average well to the north...and its been reasonably cold.

Yea, because having a snowpack is useless to ski resorts...especially while its below freeing for most of the winter and allows for additional snowmaking.

I don't think its been anything extreme, but it has been a relatively dry winter in our area.

I have noticed for about the past 10 days or so that even if its only in the 40s outside, I have put my AC on low in the car due to the solar insolation being so strong...couldn't help by think of Tip and laugh.

Commute kind of sucked....glad I was up at 4: 45 to get a ahead of it.

I'm convinced he'd opine that it was a good season if the prevailing sentiment were that it sucked.

You may pull off an inch or two of slop, but I wouldn't get too wrapped up in that...its going to be primarily a ski resort deal. Don't do it.

Seemed like a good ski season to me.

I think the vast majority of folks posting on a forum like this are privy to that.

Should lose the last of my snow piles today.

I'm content to not have to bother with anymore "threats" this season....I'm onto fantasy baseball.

Yea, I'm not arguing your point...to the contrary, as the cold was consistent, but not very impressive.

Winter Coming to a Close Despite Expected Late Stratospheric Warming Final Stratospheric Warming Too Late for Much Fanfare as Per Analogs Analog Data of Great Utility The EasternMassWeather March preview cited last fall's research of solar max/westerly QBO seasons as support for an early spring Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event that would occur too late to have major ramifications in terms of winter weather for the forecast area. The March 20, 2000 SSW and resultant displacement of the polar vortex was listed as a primary analog last fall and guidance has continued hone in on a very similar stratospheric evolution throughout the first half of the month of March. Accordingly, the resultant weather pattern over the arctic if forecast to respond in a similarly like manner to latter March 2000. Late March Blocking Likely to Interrupt Pleasant Spring Onset The weather pattern next week looks seasonably mild and relatively pleasant, as the early seeds of change are planted in the arctic stratosphere. The evolution over the arctic stratosphere will begin to manifest itself into the 500mb pattern during the final week of the month, as the development of a negative AO and NAO will be signify the development of high latitude blocking in response to the ongoing stratospheric warming. The similarity to the latter March 2000 blocking pattern to the long range modeled evolution is apparent. However, the north Pacific pattern looks slightly more conductive to potentially wintry weather over the northern New England ski resorts, and some nuisance or trace amounts of snowfall over southern New England cannot be ruled out. Be that as it may, as has been the case throughout the winter season, the cold appears merely seasonable in severity, which is unlikely to be supportive of significant early spring snowfall across the forecast area by the end of the month and into early April.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/03/winter-coming-to-close-despite.html

Agree.....I think some good news for ski country, maybe...but just some dreary weather for most of us.