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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't know why anyone should read too much into the 7 year snow drought after that stretch that we just had the previous decade.....still looks like simple regression to me, regardless of the catalyst. If you want to surmise anything behond that, talk to me in another 7 years.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    CANSIPS did a good job last year.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will do it in a couple of weeks.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    What a difference a week makes...I awakened to snow on the ground last Saturday.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same here....2013-2014 had above normal snowfall, whiile this past winter was brutal. However, obviosuly snowfall is subject to a high degree of variance and I do see the value in 2013-2014 as one of the better analogs.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, means a moderate-strong El Nino is probably off of the table, which we had all assumed.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, I didn't. The season was brutal. 34.25".
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    +.5" 32.5"
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    32.9 1/2" Mod Snow
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just started to rain and sleet 38.5/35
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the sweet spot for this area IMO.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Have a few more of those and then I'll send you a very fair trade proposal...
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, looks like I had +.38 to +.68 for DM mean NAO.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Awesome...also means may NAO forecast was good because we were in lock-step on that this year.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Reasonable IMO.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is up to 3" above 1000 feet in ORH CO and N CT and perhaps several inches well above that in the Berks.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think 4" is probably reserved for the higher spots of the Berkshires.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right...not bothering. Marginal enough at low elervation this time of year....if out of banding, forget it. We're onto next season.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will probably do that for most of the event since the best dynamics remain W of me.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Crazy how often this general theme has reoccured over the last several years...always either that, or about 10 mi north of me in NH.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I doubt its 3"+, but then again, I haven't a fu(k to give and have not viewed a model since early March-
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd take ass mist over 90s.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have zero snow to show for it...what do you have, 2" since March 1?? Keep it going?? I suppose its better than 90s...
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seasonal models often are too biased towards default ENSO regimes.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Strictly ENSO.....I don't mean it was the best analog overall...
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