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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I'm not optimistic, but it will probably not be any worse than this past year.
  2. Here are the Modoki La Nina seasons that were preceded by active ACE years. Maybe we will manage a bit more snowfall next year, assuming a high ACE (can it be less?), but should still be mild. Possibly a bit cooler with the warmth centered to the south, as opposed to north...like this past year. But the winter will probably be better out west again.
  3. 1973 and 1983 quiet ACE years and Modoki La Nina...2010 active ACE and basion-wide eastward lean La Nina.
  4. Yea, I had an inch in that. lol That really is incredible.....here on the NH border I mustered one warning and one advisory event all season.
  5. Well, mine began on January 6.....TBH, Jan 6-7 was it for me...19 of my 30" seasonal total. Bam-done.
  6. I was killing mosquitos in my home into January....no lie.
  7. Modioki El Nino shows up riiiiight as the climo window for east coast snowfall closes, then transitions to an east-based La Nina during the warm season and back to a Modoki La Nina for winter 2024-2025.....series of east coast butt-plugs marches on and on.
  8. Yea, nothing beats December and January snow...agreed. I noticed it in that January 6-7 event before it got warm a few days later. I forgot how nice it was to have a deep pack under weak solar influx.
  9. I'm suprised March 2018 doesn't stick out in your memory...was my snowiest March on record. And we had the XMAS AM snowstorm....
  10. 2017-2018 was a great winter, aside from February.
  11. Yea, from about my area and up in latitude there was more snow last year.
  12. Larry, this plays into what Chris is saying...the weaker RONI value was a reflction of the competing hemispheric forces that he just spoke of.
  13. 2010 was my #2 March analog, behind 1973
  14. You know winter blows biggies when a windy day prompts a slew of spontaneous orgasms.
  15. And Bogaerts in round 1?? Stick to weather....oh, wait....
  16. Same as me, tired of this winter and in draft mode
  17. I do think that there is some truth to the fact that this regime is not as favorable as it once was, which has killed me the past two years....also some bad luck, too. There is def. less margin for error due to CC, but also a higher ceiling.
  18. They are connected....its no coincidence that the MJO has been predisposed to the MC.
  19. It will...I know some disagree, which is fine. My view is that we are just stuck in a shit-extra tropical Pacific regime that will eventually prove self-destructive in one way or another. Now, some folks want to shit on me for taking too long to realize that...by all means. I totally own that, but its been educational.
  20. I'll tell you, it was like a light switch once it became apparent that that week in mid February would fail, VOOM....I was out- I knew that was our last shot.
  21. The faster we can move on and put this winter behind us, the better-
  22. DSD work fine....I am not deluded enough to expect 70 every other day until May, at least. Just get the meteorological schmegma out of my face.....mother nature's *** sock, if you will...lol
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