40/70 Benchmark

I don't think so. You don't move that much money overnight....this was in the works for a bit-

Absolutely...he's a shit-bag. I wanted him gone, but not for a bag of balls. What frustrated me is they valued saving more money over getting any talent back in return. The issue isn't Devers, but rather the continued deemphasis of the collection of premium talent.

Complete crap.

1) He's hitting 245 in low A ball 2) He's in low A ball and a few if not severla years away 3) Just what they needed...another OF. Yay: Prospects TLDR: Tibbs currently has the look of a good platoon outfielder. His projection could shift into more of an everyday role if his defense improves and/or he shows he can hit upper-level lefties.

I would have preferred that they ate some of the deal to got a top prospect back, or a bonafide SP.

I think CC is going to impact the tropics in the same manner that it is winter in terms of the greater degree of variance...ie "all of nothing". When conditions are favorable, it will undoubtedly be hyper active with instense storms, but I think there will be some instances where it will result in greater shear.

Okay, no one is calling for hyper active.

Yea, ACE is more predictable.....obviously the most important factor is land impact.

No matter how cool and wet it seems, in this day and age its always going to end up one of the warmest (insert timeframe) on record. Even if the days aren't featuring warm maxes, either the night won't radiate and/or some other area of the globe will be obersving record all-time warmth.

Oh, mercy...I don't even count him as a reputable source.

Were are the hyper active tropical forecasts?? Col State and the NHC were a hair above average...

Agree.

I would take my chances with a season either like 2022-2023 with less extreme west coast troughing, or last year with a -PNA.

I doubt it would be as dry and suppressed as last season, though with a -PNA....I think Chuck just meant similar to last year in terms of temps going against the decadal grain and not being prohibitively warm.

I'm in the 50's and cloudy today...great yard work weather.

I think it snip my scrotum and use it to tie a noose to hang myself with.

One more week until fannies begin to take a bit longer to heat up when straddling car seats.

Well, there is always going to be some level of BABIP luck involved...you can't eliminate that. However, harder hit balls of a higher BABIP....ie greater chance of being a hit.

Maybe, there were some inside runners, too.

It was a dry winter in general, but it was wasn't dry over the lakes as it was along the east coast.

Great baseball analogy, a sport in which analytics has become an increasingly large component of the game....analystics would argue that this will eventually regress to the mean. Our batting average was well above our expected batting average last decade and this decade that is reversing, hence the regression. Now, I understand the valid arguments that this is more than simple regression and while that may be true, it is gong to take some time to know for certain. Each of those 4 season were -WPO, except for 2017-2018, which was carried by the huge March and epic NAO blocking....again, no argument from me that the +WPO attributabed PAC jet is a problem right now.

I think its also important to note that were in an incredibly extreme -PDO regime for a few years and will take time to reverse that....I am sure there will be some initial resistance, but the PDO has come up to coincide with those initial hints of change last season. The baseline assumption regarding these cycles and circulations is preedicated on what has happened in the past....while we can make suggestions as to how that may be changing, it will take time to prove that one way or another.

I'm sure there have been failed attempts in the past, too...I don't care to sort through dailies for 4 hours, but if you do, then be my guest. Bottom line is that it didn't actually shift, nor is it expected to do so for several more years. Off the top of my head, though I'm sure you will examine the dailies and find some inconsistency...but February 2000 featured an uncharacteristically +PNA during a La Nina, and then of course we had the 2000-2001 season that must have had everyone convinced that the Pacific had flipped....yet 2001-2002 happened. Bottom line is we need to see where we are in the early 2030s.

It also took several years for the PDO to shift follwing the strong EL Nino of 1972-1973, so that make sense.

Never heard of that... Even if we did warm ENSO at all for next winter, it would make no sense to incorporate warm ENSO analogs for this summer and fall.