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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I didn't intend to imply that I thought it would be that extreme because it certainly will not, however, I can definitely envision a favorable Pacific and relatively unfavorable atlantic next season....along with a meager warm ENSO.
  2. Funny how a winter pattern establishes and just rots in place, like a waning deformation band as the seasonal dynamics run their course.
  3. If that verifies, I subscribe to Mark Moregarbage.
  4. May 2005 was just a parade of windswept rains from a sucession of spring nor' easters....it was literally in the 40's during the day.
  5. Whichever he thinks will yield the least snow jk I highly doubt another La Nina...I would be shocked. I think an el Nino is more likely.
  6. The St Paddy 2007 event was nice...11" of paste in Wilmington and 13" of powder on the other side of the CF up at UML.
  7. I haven't even seen a flake in March.....not sure that has happened in my lifetime. Would be a fitting way to end the season.
  8. Didn't make freezing here....just down to 36.
  9. Just an uneventful and modestly unpleasant stretch...nothing redeeming about it.
  10. I don't expect it to be very cold....probably around normal. My only assertion was that the NAO/AO look to trend negative again next week.
  11. Obviously there is higher error at longer leads, but its forecast to pretty negative and it is likely it will at least be somewhat negative given the major disruption to the PV that is ensuing. Again, do I think we see significant snow in SNE....no....but it won't be mild, either.
  12. It flips next week, but I agree it doesn't look very cold...seasonably cold.
  13. Right...because the airports are still using the wipe and clear method, while most spotters are not. I use the wipe and clear method because as I said, I am measuring the amount of snow that falls.....not a random depth. Its only a big deal in the larger events.
  14. They way I see it.....snowfall is measured in 6 hour increments, and snow depth is obtained the old-fashioned way.
  15. I think the fact that major airports have been utilizing the 6 hourly swipe method since the 1950's mitigates this issue to some degree......I know that currently, most spotters are still doing end of storm depth measurememnts. I know for a fact because I had my 31.5" measurement for a March 2018 event ultimately rejected by BOX because it was obtained via the 6 hour method. I think the larger issue is the lack of consistency...its not as standardized as you are implying.
  16. This late March pattern looks to follow the theme of the winter, which is unimpressive cold, albeit consistent. That won't cut it for most of SNE as we near April. Very similar to late March 2000. Should protract the season for the larger NNE resorts, though.
  17. I think it will be nuisance for us if anything, but hopefully I'm wrong. If we are going to be in a garbage spring pattern, then it might as well snow.
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