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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Best part is I can see it from my doorstep as it passes south of me...thankfully. DO NOT WANT.
  2. I still doubt that happens....I bet we get a decent snowfall from the follow up...been my hedge all along.
  3. Seriously, though....still should wait for the ensembles to really confirm.
  4. So it's cirrus instead of 3"...still wasn't going to be a big deal.
  5. Well, so much for seeder-feeder, then....weeder-whacker it is.
  6. Maybe get some seeder-feeder bands going once scooter's tears hit the ocean
  7. IDK...look how deep H5 is...all that matters, or so I was told....
  8. They should be safe from Tip's ever-expanding Hadley Cell for another 100 years or so up there...lol
  9. Not as much as it would otherwise if the ridge doesn't cooperate. Still nuisance amounts.
  10. I don't agree. Keep the ridge tilted positively like that and the surface will underperform. This is why the dynamics and BZ are escaping east on those solutions.
  11. @Ginx snewxGive me a ridge like the first and 3rd image, then H5 matters....second image is when it's more futile.
  12. Not a bad analog, but that harkens back to what I was saying about the western ridge....notice it looks more like the 18z GFS suite than it does some of those other runs that are positively tilted sw to ne. This is what I hate...see the difference? Notice 18z GEFS look more like 2/15/15 than this last image.
  13. Then the next one will be too far west...shoot me.
  14. Better orientation of the ridge out west changes that IMHO.
  15. Wow, that is the first run I've seen that has pretty much lost that annoying positive-tilt sw to be orientation of the PNA ridge...can work with that if it's real. Previously that wasn't rectified until the follow up wave.
  16. I'm just needling there....18z actually looked respectable.
  17. Inverted trough.....wow, awesome.
  18. I won't melt from this lead wave...I've largely ignored it. If the follow up rains on me, then it's fair game.
  19. Fair. Let me know how much you get Friday. Good luck.
  20. Not sure how that's relevent...point is PD II wasn't heavy and wet for most.
  21. I had like a foot...plenty of events that the vast majority can't even recall that I would take over that.
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