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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Goes along with my wholistic approach of measuring ENSO intensity being indicative of weak La Nina.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I live on the NH border. Obviously its possible mean snowfall is in decline even at this latitude, but I need to see more data than a 7 year snow drought on the heels of the snowiest decade on record capped off with over 100" in 30 days.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Talk to me in 7 years.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The vast majority have little knowledge of climo so their opinion is based entirely on anecodtal and subjective observations.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    My mean snowfall since 2015 has just now dropped below the longer term mean snowfall after this past season...just to put things into perspective regarding how bannanas 2014-2015 was.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, agreed.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely, which I was expecting usuing the 2008 analog.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I consider it a weak La Nina given I consider more than the technical 5 consecutive tri monthly period criteria.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not so sure one can assume a -PDO next winter...
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't know why anyone should read too much into the 7 year snow drought after that stretch that we just had the previous decade.....still looks like simple regression to me, regardless of the catalyst. If you want to surmise anything behond that, talk to me in another 7 years.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    CANSIPS did a good job last year.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will do it in a couple of weeks.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    What a difference a week makes...I awakened to snow on the ground last Saturday.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same here....2013-2014 had above normal snowfall, whiile this past winter was brutal. However, obviosuly snowfall is subject to a high degree of variance and I do see the value in 2013-2014 as one of the better analogs.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, means a moderate-strong El Nino is probably off of the table, which we had all assumed.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, I didn't. The season was brutal. 34.25".
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    +.5" 32.5"
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    32.9 1/2" Mod Snow
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just started to rain and sleet 38.5/35
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the sweet spot for this area IMO.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Have a few more of those and then I'll send you a very fair trade proposal...
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, looks like I had +.38 to +.68 for DM mean NAO.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Awesome...also means may NAO forecast was good because we were in lock-step on that this year.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Reasonable IMO.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is up to 3" above 1000 feet in ORH CO and N CT and perhaps several inches well above that in the Berks.
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