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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. @GaWxLarry, it has that El Niño look because of the Pacific airmass....that is what I tried to capture in my January composite....pretty similar look with months like January 2006 and 2002 in there.
  2. Yet BOX tossed my March 2018 measurement....asses.
  3. Yea, I feel like the real window starts when the MJO hits 7....like 24th ish....
  4. I would like to see phase 8...the MJO has still had an allergy to phase 8 over the course of the past couple of seasons, despite the cold, which is part of the reason why the haven't seen the snow.
  5. Yea, something clearly has changed....we just need to wait on the snow get the memo.
  6. I agree, but gonna have to wait this out....CC is definitely more feast or famine....but shit, someone tell Mother Nature it's time to eat.
  7. Agree with above, but def very modest departures.
  8. Yea, you also said something to the effect of "am I crazy for thinking we could go on a Jan 2011 type of run". That is when I responded with the lack of blockbuster cool ENSO months of February. I know that wasn't a forecast per se...breaking balls...
  9. I was being facetious, but you did mention you could see a stretch like that like a couple of days ago.
  10. It's always nice foreseeing a January 2011 redux en route when most of SNE is single digits in mid January with nothing imminent.
  11. Great, pond hockey on my driveway after the next cutter.
  12. It's the same roll over we saw last year, and previous years. It blows. And I bet @Typhoon Tiphas theory on why we are seeing it....
  13. Realistically, good luck. I'm focused beyond that for anything major (sub KU).
  14. The high-end advisory consolation that Scott referenced. I think that's the realistic ceiling here.
  15. He is never going to be able to reconcile his version of reality with the fact that he was wrong. I'll tell you exactly what he'll do...he's going to say something to the effect of "see, the storm formed, but it tracked a bit too far east".
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