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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Well, as long as you don't make pizza we're good.
  2. Ended up raking NS....March 2014 blew dead ones.
  3. I would use that for all of SNE at this point.
  4. Well, I meant it in terms of latitude, and I know scooter did, too, since he said "Vermont to Dendrite"....I think it depends on storm context. At least you have one, regardless...I have neither.
  5. Up refers to latitude...Toland doesn't really have that.
  6. Yea, I would def. include the Monadknocks and at times N ORH hills...
  7. 32" vs 34.25" last year. This is my worst snowfall season since 2011-2012.
  8. Chaos....the atmospheric highly chaotic, which is why you could replicate identical conditions via AI and the season would still evolve at least somewhat differently. This is why I say that it sometimes just comes down to luck whether or not any discrete event works out.....I know some don't like to hear that because they want to operate under this fallacy that everything can be figured out on a calculator, but it simply isn't so. Some are also leery of that explanation because they feel forecasters will use it as an excuse for a failed forecast, but there is an element of luck in weather. At the end of the day, the forecast is still either right or wrong and one needs to take accountability for that....just as in sports...plenty of luck involved there, but there still needs to be a winner and a loser.
  9. I'm just killing some time before lunch, anyway....I don't expect anything to come of this.
  10. Its more the first few days of April....as that graphic focuses more on latter March. The H5 plot seems to imply as much, as well.
  11. I suppose we should watch this period for one last porking...
  12. Looks as though AO neutralizes and NAO slips negative.
  13. ...because its never wise to expect that magnitude of an anomaly...at least on a seasonal level.
  14. The only reason I mentioned 2014-2015 is because it was also high solar, featured a flip from cool ENSO to warm ENSO and PAC cold phase to warm phase. This is why I think the Pacific may be growing more favorable moving forward, however, the solar winds usually kick up post solar max, which tends to disperse electromagnetic particles and promote +AO/NAO. I am in no way expecting record snows in the northeast, but I do feel it will be snowier.
  15. I have said this before, but I was all in on the Jan 11th threat....and when that withered into an advisory event, I took note of what kept going wrong out west and identified that as the hallmark of this season....I was sold on suck after that. My snow numbers ended up pretty accurate, but of course hope springs eternal thoughout the fall and early winter.
  16. I don't think you would get as much as you think....I can only become so frustrated until my internal defense mechanisms kick in and I withdraw investment....I began doing that in mid January it was complete by March.
  17. I understand that this will not be a la Nina per CPC regulations, but all things considered, it was definitely a modest cool ENSO paradigm...and a more significant one than many were expecting as of late last autumn, to boot.
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