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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    This place is a toy for him....if you really want to know what he thinks, watch his FB feed....there is no one on this planet more concerned about public perception and he is always very reasonable on social media.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah, just trying to keep it real.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am actually happy.....this isn't blog worthy in my mind, and I just get to sit back and see what happens this weekend...hopefully a nice warm up for winter with big lows backing that a$$ up from the sse.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't even remember it.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Name me a tropical system that produced damaging wind here with a track east of the region.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Largest impacts here will be beach erosion and insult to injury rains if it gets close enough.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Which is a red flag to keep expectations in check. I said a few days ago the path to the most impactful wind around here was through a quick extratropical transition.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this will cause a great deal of erosion, regardless of where it tracks. Man, lets get a track like this in January.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its stands to reason that there is more variation to the SST pattern this year because we had a near record cold phase last winter. We can all agree that we will not see a repeat of that. Btw, could you link me to that current SST map? Thanks.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know 1963 was one....
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, what it would mean is a mod-strong event per ONI would act weak to moderate and this become the most fruitful.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could live with weak coupling...more n stream action....which you also wonder if the ghost of la nina could help keep in play. Interesting.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just you wait until that next westerly wind burst comes through...It will be the love child of a 1972, 1982, 1991 and 2015 orgy.....then the -PDO will drop more snow in Miami than Boston.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    We now have a Morch sun.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nailed it. Yes.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, lets get that 3-4 months from now.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have a working theory that some of it has to do with the quality of the ambient environment at the onset of an EWRC.....that shear kicked in right as the EWRC took place, and it never recovered fully. Almost like when mental illness results from being overwhelmed by a psychosocial stressor(s) during a period of increased vulnerability.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    This explanation isn't very technical, but some systems just never entirely recover from major disruption to the core....almost akin to athletes that suffer a major injury (Hi, Arron). It began that EWRC right as it endured that significant shear period...and then I saw that "skunked" banded structure and said "Lee is done with RI". I if you recall on Saturday night, that is when that moron attacked me for having an agenda.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    This system is one giant "nothing to see here", as I have maintained all week long. Upside is a nor 'easter.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tossed.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally anecdotal level, but I have been saying all summer that this season has reminded me of 2009...cool and rainy summer.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thank god I just missed that real heavy slug.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    1.09" total on the day.
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