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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    The PV basically spilled down the entire east coast lol....kind of a more pronounced version of Dec 2007 and 1993-1994.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I really don't see the MEI remaining under 1, but fair enough. However, this could end up acting like a weak el nino, then it would be pants off in sne.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    You man its not going to peak at 2.9 and consume all of the livestock?
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The MEI briefly touched 0.5 in Aug/Sept, then went neutral. That isn't happening.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    And even that solution was a gale center into Maine.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Let it marinate and add plenty of seasoning...then let it sit and congeal so you can frame it to remember this. Its not coming.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, we have paid the piper...def due for some breaks.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I am alluding to...close tracks, as the extreme warmth of the gulf stream could augment ridging a hair.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not to mention the bathtub gulfstream.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe some January 2022, while we're at it.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Whatever helps
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't remember you being this bad. What happened?
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly, but we still need to see what happens with el nino...I still feel like some guidance and people jumped the gun a bit.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    @raindancewxI think I remember you saying that ACE only matters during la nina...is that correct?
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was about to say, with a 15mi wide eye, an EWRC is probably not imminent.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Odds are the mid Atlantic will see greater anomalies.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Aside from ogling the intensity, I still don't see the appeal with this one.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably be 150-155mph.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am kind of feeling a good, 'ole fashioned interior focused el nino with a good deal of huggers.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I bet most guidance cools a bit again next month.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Can we shake hands on the September Euro winter seasonal verifying? I would sign now.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I actually did get that storm correct down to the week back in early November....I was just too cold and snowy overall. I focused to much on the westward lean of SSTs.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Show me a super nino with a west PAC like that. Climate change. You can't just use ONI anymore...I understand why snowman thinks that this is me moving the goalposts to produce a cold outlook, but had I realized this in 2018-2019 and 2019-2020, I would not have been operating on premise of weak el nino. That killed my forecast. Trust me, only thing I love as much as snow are my family and being right. I do not want egg on my face and I am adjusting to past failures, not moving goalposts.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    The higher ONI values are why you have the more assertive GOA low.
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