40/70 Benchmark

Enjoy, man....sucks. I was looking forward to it. If he comes and is doing okay and we get him settled in, maybe a I can sneak away for a bit, but doubtful.

Yea, good post and agreed. This also bodes well for January IMO, as we all remember the favorable period in January 2016. Of course, if the activity remains south of me again, I'll quit weather, but that is a discussion for another day.

Big wind stayed south of my home, which I am okay with....worked out perfectly with my being able to see the damage at work in Chelsea lol

So, as much as this sucks, I don't think I am going to make it....my son is really sick and mom is taking him home from Uganda. They arrive tomorrow....too bad it got moved up from today, but I understand why and agreed with the decision.

Gotta admit, that was impressive...especially since I got to experience it in Chelsea....winds do not seem to have been impressive at home....shocker. I have blogged about some tropical systems that were not that impressive. I will continue to take the under on wind 9/10 times, but yesterday was that one out of ten.

Yea, S MA, RI and CT can have that.....gladly sit that shit out.

Nah, I don't do core samples for snowfall...I only have accurate totals for months in which it doesn't snow.

Blocking looks more significant in 1952...but like I said, I am sure it's a combination. I have never denied CC....you are just more aggressive with attribution than I am. This is the reason I like to use 1951-2010 climo for analog composites...no question global heights are greater now.

3.3" total rainfall....no wind damage at home

I did not evade your point. I said I agree with that, however, I don't feel as though piggy backing off of the post of a dude implying that anyone expecting a pattern change has not learned anything from last year was the proper context. Using last season as a learning experience while appreciating the difference between this year and last are not mutually exclusive. Now drop it.

Assuming someone missed the point because they have a different POV is condescending to me. Period.

I think my area may have gotten rocked in Methuen...that meaty part of that line went right through there.

What is your point? It won out quite a bit from 2009 to 2011, as well. Its mindless....if suggesting persistence, bring something to the table as to why instead of simply weening folks that are simply offering data.

Wouldn't the huge +EPO have something to do with that? I feel like that was more anomalous than the early month NAO, just like the PNA was more anomalous than the NAO last year. And yes, I am sure some of it maybe due to CC, but its more than that IMO.

Debate is one thing, just automatically being dismissive is another. Plenty of folks like @Allsnowand @bluewavethat view things differently that I have had great discussions with. But the crap being offered by this persistence crowd is another thing entirely. Someone simply mentions that the long range looks more wintery shouldn't be met with "haven't you learned anything"...that is simply close minded, incendiary crap. Now, if you want to put the breaks on and suggest that perhaps guidance may be rushing the retrograde of the Canadian ridging....then sure. Possible.

I snuck a last minute peek in

This is legit damage ongoing...you can hear it, like a tropical system.

Window just blew out in ladies room at work...very audible. WOW

I can't believe how intense this is in Chelsea.....small trees are just consistently bent...

Yea, looks like I was wrong about this one....impressive.

I mean, on paper within the proper context....I get what John meant, but read the room.

I believe it.....I'm right next door to KBOS. We were having a meeting from 10-11 and people couldn't help but notice the shrieking winds.

Pretty ferocious in Chelsea....

I don't think John meant it that way, but that is how it comes across because he was defending edugg, who was being an ass.

I'm not "missing the point"...your resorting to condescension when faced with resistance. Got it. I completely understand skepticism in the sense that long range guidance is prone to large error, so set expectations accordingly. But it needs to stop short of criticizing anyone who dares to venture towards giving a good faith effort, and anyone who sees avenues towards more wintery outcomes because it fosters a close minded approach. That is the antithesis of the type of approach that relatively poor skill at extended lead times should foster, which is an open-mind thought process. Its a weather forum...we discuss long range guidance, even it looks like it may offer wintry opportunities. That type of mindset is why we have a brigade of 5 PPD members tossing weenies at anyone who dares to mention that forbidden four letter word...sno#. I don't believe you do or endorse that, but your post inhibits efforts to reduce that within this context IMO.