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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's going to take off. Envt. was always supposed to be marginal during the day Monday.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lots of buns in the main thread right now.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    One saving grace, Larry is that it probably won't have much time to expand.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is my first stab at it. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/08/newly-formed-idalia-likely-to-strike.html?m=1
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    One of the links I posted connected to the polar blog entry, rather than the extra tropical Pacific, as advertised.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, extratropical refers to much more than polar. I see what you meant earlier, maybe I posed an incorrect link. This one works. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/08/august-enso-update-potential.html?m=1
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    It makes sense to me because they don't have time for ERCs and other fluctuations. Most storms don't sustain that intensity for long, so you want rapid spin ups.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    1925, too.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, slight chance.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is your issue with that title? I have no clue what you are getting at...preliminary analysis of the polar domain for winter..IOW, my first thoughts about what the polar area may or may not look like this winter.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's not going to be worse than last year.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anomalywise, decent shot we will not.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the odds are fairly strong that we will see a PV take shape in a couple of months, but let me know if you feel differently.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good luck. This thing has been gone for days...the forecast track is never perfect, but it doesn't change the fact there is nothing to pull it up here.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Franklin is OTS as it pertains to the US. Nothing is going to change that.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    You forgot "vapid"!!
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. I didn't think the concept was that elusive to grasp.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Best. Storm. Ever.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    They often aren't entirely in sync...I don't expect them to be this year.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do think PNA will be + in the mean.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, that is different...you need to ensure your model is ingesting all of the latest data. That is different from claiming el nino is strong because the daily hit 1.5.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, you know how to interpret that, though...doesn't mean 60" or bust for DC, but rather we should have favorable interludes. You and KA have been doing this a long time...always look forward to the report.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    09-10, you mean....
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