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  2. March is one of the worst months ever with no winter events. Perhaps the worst.
  3. you answered your own question....There's a general lack of deep cold airmasses this year
  4. Both the HRRR and NAM nudged east overnight, and they may be a bit too far west based off recent radar and satellite trends. The surface winds on the ASOS and mesonet stations are all northwest, which would reinforce the belief the system is a bit east of the original forecast. It's probably going to be an iffy opening day, but the Orioles could get the game in.
  5. the question is if the block is so strong, why dont we see snow all the way down here? whats the difference between this and say, April 1996, 2003, 2018.... other than the obvious fact that the winters preceding them were much colder lol
  6. What a shitty month. There were 4-5 days of bright sunny warmth. The rest were full of clouds, wind, and rain. Regardless of the AN numbers, it sucked.
  7. the question is if the block is so strong, why dont we see snow all the way down here? whats the difference between this and say, April 1996, 2003, 2018.... other than the obvious fact that the winters preceding them were much colder lol
  8. Yeah, I think we still would have had P-Type issues near the coast even in January since the Southeast ridge is forecast to be very strong a day before the storm next week. This allows the primary to ride pretty far north before the coastal eventually takes over. So a continuation of these -NAOs and -AOs linking up with the WAR or Southeast ridge.
  9. DCA: +3.1NYC: +4.2BOS: +4.1ORD: +3.2ATL: +2.1IAH: +2.6DEN: +2.7PHX: +2.3SEA: +2.9
  10. The GFS has some decent supercell composite parameters to our west for next Tuesday afternoon - but the timing is bad for us and it fizzles east of the mountains.
  11. I don’t think this block orientation would have worked in January. It looks to far south to me which links the ridge off The Atlantic. It also should be noted the pac is still a mess. While it’s enough to give us a awful start to April, I feel it would have been more of the same in January @bluewave thoughts?
  12. Interesting to see next week whether this bowling ball storm happens for New England and how far south the bowling ball can get. There’ll likely be a ton of snow north of that closed upper low. For us I’m sure it just means tons more rain but maybe I-90 and north should keep an eye on it. This blocky NAO pattern which of course shows up right on time to nasty up the spring makes that more likely.
  13. West of I-95 the rain looks mostly done. Unfortunately probably plenty more east of there, looks like the batch currently over DE will reach Queens on East anyway.
  14. 6.84” for the month, which is now the rainiest March IMBY since I moved here.
  15. Yup. West trend stopped after 06z yesterday
  16. What about what looks to be some development down west of RIC?
  17. .60 should finish close to a inch after todays rain
  18. Had a little burst of graupel a short while ago. Top 2 snow event of March so far.
  19. At this point I'm almost as interested in the human element of this whole thing more than the eclipse itself. It's going to be theatre in NNE. Hoards of people, most of whom will be ill-equipped, woefully unprepared for any extended stay on the roadways, and tempted to try alternate routes that'll lead them to no-gas-no-cell-service land. Will be fascinating to watch unfold if we get a clear-ish day.
  20. Next week is congrats wildcat and places up there.
  21. Probably end up 1.5-1.75” based on upstream radar. Misery And another couple inches next week
  22. I wonder how long it will take them to clear the channel.
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