weathergy Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 More cells are trying to go up in Eastern Oakland County (MI). Not gonna happen, looks like a cap is in place. The forcing DTX, and SPC mentioned from the 18z sounding earlier must have not been enough to break through the cap. Thus watch will be likely canceled, and replaced soon. Hopefully the timing will be right for the linear threat later this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 If we can get this debris out of here quick enough and it doesn't work our atmosphere over then we can continue destabilizing for the storms in Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Just had a storm move through. Basically pea sized hail winds 30mph nothing to big.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 New cell is in fact going up across Northern Macomb County. I can see the tower from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Warning is mentioning golf ball size hail and 80 mph winds for the storms entering northwest IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Warning is mentioning golf ball size hail and 80 mph winds for the storms entering northwest IN. Guess we'll see if this thing can hold itself together as it heads towards my general area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 From a friend in Iowa city: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 border to border watches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 There is reports of Golf Ball sized hail with the storm in warren county Ohio... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Another cell may be trying to go up SW of Jackson (MI). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Another cell may be trying to go up SW of Jackson (MI). I got GR2Analyst going, nothing is producing. They appear, at best make it to 40 dBZ, then quickly fizzle out to nothing. Yes, be cynical about SEMI severe weather, especially living in Wayne County. It will help you from becoming disappointed later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Both are struggling based on radar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 I think SPC will cancel the watch for S/E Mi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 I think SPC will cancel the watch for S/E Mi. They'll likely replace it with a watch in greater coverage, with SWMI, Nothern IN, and NWOH included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 22, 2011 Author Share Posted May 22, 2011 I got GR2Analyst going, nothing is producing. They appear, at best make it to 40 dBZ, then quickly fizzle out to nothing. Yes, be cynical about SEMI severe weather, especially living in Wayne County. It will help you from becoming disappointed later on. It's ridiculous, there is little to no cap right now and stuff is still not going up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Even if we don't get anything today, there's always tomorrow. Unless we're stuck in cloud debris or an MCS develops there's no way tomorrow can bust. Today's stuff isn't really that big of a deal to me. I just want to get this crap (cirrostratus) out of there and back into the sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 404 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 MOC033-107-195-222115- /O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110522T2115Z/ CARROLL MO-LAFAYETTE MO-SALINE MO- 404 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL SALINE... NORTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT... AT 358 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO IN WAVERLY THAT HAS PRODUCED DAMAGE. update BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 412 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... NORTHWESTERN SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI... * UNTIL 430 PM CDT * AT 407 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO THAT WENT THROUGH WAVERLY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 404 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 MOC033-107-195-222115- /O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110522T2115Z/ CARROLL MO-LAFAYETTE MO-SALINE MO- 404 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL SALINE... NORTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT... AT 358 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO IN WAVERLY THAT HAS PRODUCED DAMAGE. JJ- We're actually in level four, where warnings in Michigan are the only things that matter. Please comply with policy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 that cell in se kansas is a beast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Even if we don't get anything today, there's always tomorrow. Unless we're stuck in cloud debris or an MCS develops there's no way tomorrow can bust. Today's stuff isn't really that big of a deal to me. I just want to get this crap (cirrostratus) out of there and back into the sunshine. Pssshhh, unless a cell is expanding being just a few miles from me, I'm not going to get my hopes up. Lets hope this impending MCS makes it out of here quicker, rather then later to avoid crapvection in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEHOCEY77 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Looks like the LLJ is going to be decreasing on the northern stuff and kicking off around the AR/MO border area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 that cell in se kansas is a beast yep, I'm watching that one since I live in Joplin, MO. Funnel cloud 1 mile west of Parsons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 I think SPC will cancel the watch for S/E Mi. Yea right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 yep, I'm watching that one since I live in Joplin, MO. Funnel cloud 1 mile west of Parsons. with ok still dormant it's got lots of juice. should be long lasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 It's ridiculous, there is little to no cap right now and stuff is still not going up. Per the latest mesoanalysis, 2000+ CAPE, 30-40 kts Shear, no CIN...and nothing to show for it as of now.. I do like the looks of tomorrow better though...and so does DTX by the sounds of their AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 decent coplet heading for the south side of La crosse WI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Storm getting close..hear thunder..looks pretty nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Looks like the LLJ is going to be decreasing on the northern stuff and kicking off around the AR/MO border area. Yep, that sounds right. Just as the storms are heading into Southern Wisconsin. Never mind that my forecast office thinks things will ramp up around here. The reality is SE Wisconsin=Michigan this year (no offense to Michigan posters). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 SE MI should have its own thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Wow at that supercell heading toward La Crosse. >100 knots of g2g shear at about 300 ft AGL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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