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2014 is the best analog, but I didn't include it because it was El Nino.

Pleasant day today with E winds keeping temps in the 70's. Hotter day tomorrow with 80's (90's inland with a heat adv) n stms. Could be a wash for fireworks up my way.

Maybe I'm nuts, but perhaps the staff would know if you called??

Still skeptical of anything meaningful up this way.

A view of our summers by decade here in the Philly burbs of Chester County....without the typical chilling alterations of the past and warming the current....as always not much warming at all.

Pretty good cast. Hotter wx with a threat of stms entering the picture for the weekend. Enjoy your holiday weekend ev1.

Anyone think Costco's will be open tomorrow? Want to try and go chasing after work but I need to go to Costco

A beautiful stretch of weather is underway for the 4th of July holiday weekend! Today will be our warmest day until Sunday. We should see highs today in the mid 80’s. We cool a little tomorrow to slightly below average temperatures for the 4th of July with our highs in the lower 80’s. Our next chance of rain looks to arrive by Tuesday evening.

A beautiful stretch of weather is underway for the 4th of July holiday weekend! Today will be our warmest day until Sunday. We should see highs today in the mid 80’s. We cool a little tomorrow to slightly below average temperatures for the 4th of July with our highs in the lower 80’s. Our next chance of rain looks to arrive by Tuesday evening.

Think its safe to toss the HRRR

4:15 tee time today. Hope we can get the round in

HRRR says YES!

Should be later tonight if we get anything

Now 60%. So glad I'm boarding a cruise ship today that'll be heading into that area next week.

This could also scale back the upper end of heat potential Monday

Yesterday, Phoenix saw its first measurable rainfall of Monsoon Season when 0.16” fell. It was the 35th biggest first measurable rainfall of Monsoon Season.

Spending Saturday, Sunday and Monday on the OBX. Euro says a washout with 1-3” of rain. GFS has scattered showers and less than 0.25” for the same period.

Really some extreme QBO swings lately

HRRR seems wonky with the dews...wonder if thats why?

Area of interest right off SE coast now has 60% development odds. Most models are on board with something coming together.

Not seeing it but good luck to another productive day for you.

HRRR says NO!

50/50 sounds good.

Just tell yourself you’re storm chasing. Hearing my first cicadas this morning.

Rare day where severe is less likely in central Jersey severe ally then north and east of the city.