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  2. Just because you said that ... we are now BD'ed under a stable convention toxicity until July 10
  3. Thought I would throw up the numbers as April is not a month that has been dominated by this century...like so many other data points and charts. Only 7 of the top 20. Still a decent chunk but used to seeing closer to 12-15 of the top 20.
  4. Do you mean 'machine -based' guidance products, like MOS? I've often wondered if they stage the models to 'coax' them into 'admitting' the season is in fact changing ha. No but sometimes, particularly with the GFS ..., it seems any given extended range on March 15 - ~ April 15 or so, the model regresses whatever is happening back to Feb 15. It's really very annoying if ever the GGEM and Euro and the ens systems all flagging the first sig spring warm up and the GFS is creating ice storms. But that aside, the MOS products I think are weighted to climo farther out in time. Not sure the 24 -hour ones are weighted as much, tho. interesting
  5. My guess is that the much stronger spring blocking at times in recent years has been compensating to some extent. The hard freeze last May over the interior occurred with one of the strongest -EPO +PNA blocks on record for that time of year. But the stronger spring blocking at times can’t affect the earlier arrival of spring. So we get these overlaps leading to damaging freezes in susceptible arras.
  6. 30 back home in commack. In Hershey now looking forward to the 80s forecasted for Sunday
  7. Haha... you're whole post could just be the bold. Nothing else LOL
  8. Noyes… 1degree outside!! https://x.com/1degreeoutside/status/1783831765850972489?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  9. Good morning gravity. From what I’ve learned, just reading on the sub forums, the drops in temperature, as you get close to the warm season, have a lot to do with radiational cooling. My postage stamp surrounded by brick, concrete and asphalt rarely has such drops. Today my state of the, half century ago, art thermometer registered close to 50 in the shade at 8:15. Central park was 48 at 07:51. The cooler mornings may well be a blessing in the months to come. Stay well, as always ….
  10. I'll be sneaking in a mow today for sure. Low of 34 here. Looks like MDT only dropped to 40. Speaking of MDT, looking into my crystal ball, I have the month ending with a mean temp of 55.2, which would by +2.1 AN and good for 17th place all-time. Book it.
  11. Same low as Westhampton and a record there
  12. Gabreski also had a record low, 24 I think?
  13. it got down into the upper 30s last night!
  14. Should at least see some thunder chances next week, great way to kick off first week of May.
  15. Low of 38 Only managed a high of 58 yesterday, despite the sunshine.
  16. There's other factors associated with this-- for example excessive flooding, more forest fires and higher air pollution. Add them all up together and you have billion dollar disaster that need to be paid for by lowlifes like Greenskeeper and his kind who don't understand science and the fossil fuel cartels trash like him worships.
  17. I see that you're feeling optimistic this morning. More likely, December.
  18. Odd split in the guidance for lows tonight. GFS and all mesos except the RGEM showing we stay way above freezing while euro and rgem showing we go below. And it’s even stranger with the former group having seasonal cold biases….
  19. Figures the first record low of the year down to 33° at Islip would wait until late April. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kisp Islip Low 33
  20. frost on the lawn this morning, got down to 29. Currently 41.
  21. Mesos's except the Rgem have a wet highs in the 40's day tomorrow. Get the mowers out today. #noshortssaturday. MDT's AN departures is down to 1.6 with more to drop before bouncing back up again the last 3 days of the month.
  22. Giant gaseous ball of flame in the sky, daddy, made my ride into State College this morning difficult, even with the shades. No freeze for the second straight morning and it's currently 40°F around these here parts. Shaping up to be a Chamber of Commerce day. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk
  23. I looked at a photo from 4/28/23. Although it’s two days away, it does look like last year was ahead of this year when it comes to leaf out.
  24. Warming aloft. Hills stay warm while radiators sink and drop . CAA yesterday morning got us to 29.7 for an hour . Didn’t kill anything . Trees leafed out even more yesterday afternoon in the warm sun
  25. Today
  26. Should’ve at least been a frost advisory for N Nassau.
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