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I’ve spent about 30 seconds total in the attic in the 28 years I have lived here. Actually. That was even before we bought the house. It was just during the inspection. It is a useless attic other than being an insulator.

Hagerstown be cookin.

AMSR2 area is totally fine as an instant metric. It’s more accurate than NSIDC SSMI/S area….but the key is that SSMI/S area has much more predictive power than AMSR2 area. SSMI/S (what NSIDC uses) gets fooled by melt ponds whereas AMSR2 not nearly as much. But we actually like that SSMI/S gets fooled by melt ponds because melt ponds in June are more predictive of seasonal minimum area than AMSR2 area itself. So we’re basically using SSMI/S as a proxy tool for meltponding. This is why there are some years where we may be flirting with the lowest extent or area late in June and I’ll make a post that says a new seasonal record is almost impossible and many will ask why or in earlier times, call me crazy and a science denier. The reason is that meltponding isn’t prolific enough to sustain huge melting deeper into the summer. The second half of June was quite cold in the Beaufort/Chukchi region which has the highest sea ice area in the post-2007 arctic right now at this point (nearly tied with 2009). That is another bearish sign for a new record. That region is typically where we see huge losses in record or near-record low sea ice years. A lot of the low area numbers are currently being driven by record low sea ice in Hudson Bay, Greenland sea, and Baffin Bay. These are mostly irrelevant to the minimum later in the season. In fact, if you go just by arctic basin (Beaufort/Chukchi/East Siberian Sea/Laptev/Central arctic basin) plus CAA (Canadian Archipelago) composite area, the only post-2007 years that are higher than 2026 are 2009, 2013, and 2014. Those also happen to be the 3 highest minimums post-2007.

AI - Apocalyptic Intent

Can you get up there with him to take advantage of the heat ?

We have a contractor doing work in our attic all day. I asked if he wanted to reschedule. Nope. AC is blasting but we can feel the heat spewing from the opening into it.

I just don't understand how the "powers that be" let the CP climate record go to hell and don't seem to care. How difficult is it to properly site a temperature sensor? It was fine where it was at the castle and was much more reflective of the temperature in CP. Frustrating. The topic has been beaten like a rented mule so this will forever be my last comment on the subject. Don, thanks for the stats. as always.

I doubt he will be. He has a partial no trade clause. The logic in doing it is because the team may not be competitive for a few years, and they are going to lose 'core' players to FA, so why not get some younger players via a trade if its to a team Alonso is willing to go to? No idea why you think that hurts their chances to sign future FAs. Its all about the money dude.

Heat be wester. lol Martinsburg at 89 while dca at 84

10:50 AM in Purcellville --> 89.9/79/106 --> It is thick outside - a wall of steamy madness!

Looks like another decent thunderstorm complex taking shape west northwest of Montreal. Maybe we deal with that later?

DCA well off the pace. Change in wind direction equal a big jump later?

the heat melted that woman's arm clean off

@grok Is this real?

90 feels like 98 at 10:45 here. On our way

They don't need a full rebuild like before. And Adley, Basallo, and yes even Gunnar. I don't believe Gunnar is gonna stay like this...I think it's mental. Last year was more injury-related than anything else. Jackson Holliday is 22, Beavers is a rookie. You can build around them, mo And ehy are you hooked on trading Alonso? You ever heard of signing a star and then trading after half a season? I mean literally no team would do that, lol And you want to hurt our chances of future FAs?

Edit: WU just went to 96.

Friday may even deserve its own thread. May fire one up a little later.

NWS, Weather Underground, and NBC CT HFD are 3 that I'm aware of that are 97 here today. We'll see how it plays out.

Given NCEI's and the Central Park Conservatory's choice to permit tree overgrowth to persist at Central Park's ASOS, I've run the statistical model to see what Central Park's highest annual temperatures might have been had the statistical relationships to the 30-year period preceding the tree growth persisted (proxy for pre-tree readings). The estimated 102° reading in June 2025 would have set a new monthly mark. During 2015-2026, Central Park would likely have seen four to as many seven 100° readings. 2021 and 2025 had the highest likelihood that Central Park would have recorded one or more 100° or above readings. In an increasing number of cases, Central Park's reported highest temperature falls more than 1 standard deviation below the statistical estimate.

NWS is hitting 97 in the CRV

New record relative to what? Do you mean monthly or whole year? -I'm assuming month. This rusty dark curve doesn't look like 5th lowest, per date though. As far as yearly, given that steepness of this delta, that doesn't really infer it won't end up lower then every other member ( May-June-July), but obviously too early to get a fix on that. I don't know about Climate Reanalyzer accuracy and statistics therein ? but this is off their product fwiw. https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/seaice_daily/?nhsh=nh

86/71 right now. The roast begins

Weak llvl flow but Friday has my attention on the NAM...