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Because it has the look of struggling for an inch with a random subby hole.

you guys are spending Christmas together, aren’t you .

not according to SnowGoose - he wrote previously-- "The airmass believe it or not is better than it was with the last event. At least to start. Its 32/13 on the NAM at 12Z. The bigger risk with this is it just is largely too far north in the end."

I just got the latest dope. Significant rain is expected to impact Palisades Ops. Tahoe is getting demolished by pacific puke, in the worst way. Mid Atlantic has a statistically better chance at accumulating snows right now, than does Palisades at 9500 feet.

WB 18Z EURO stays below 50 on Christmas...

Last airmass was colder than this one .

Clear. 26.8

I wouldn't be throwing around limited numbers now - we were doing that 60 hours prior to last weekends storm and it over performed - leave all options open this far out.........

The 18z GEFSAI and EuroAI are the first ensembles for flip. Let’s see if they stay that way - much cooler since yesterday I think.

BTDT with our lateral... fine roots right at the joint between our line and the city. The one good thing to come out of it was the sudden permission to throw away anything I wanted that was down there. You should see how much... got wet. Major purge FTW!

We like things neat and clean.

Why not happy there with 1-3?

Which end? Takes time to recover from weed whacker damage

That does happen sometimes if Blocks strengthen. Retrogression. There's been quite a number of Occasions of that transpiring. Thing is, it doesn't always of which is a no brainer. Depends on forcing and resistance.

This is why I think mostly accumulations for the city on colder surfaces.

I know which one is right

No more marginal than last week

Its not a strong low . Its a shredded low with blocking .

No one is Coating to 2 inches possible , higher end if the southern trend continue.

If the snow/overrunning move in quickly while the cold air is still in place it can work. If it delays and the cold air moves out, it won’t. We’ve seen this game before.

Yep. Not Weedwhacker, but maybe hedge trimmer.

Couple inches

Hopefully a compromise.

Weak but further south

Euro sucks here.