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@dendrite Rare chestnut bee discovered at NY orchard research station. https://phys.org/news/2025-09-rare-chestnut-bee-ny-orchard.html

https://pix11.com/news/local-news/potential-cold-and-snowy-winter-ahead-in-ny-forecast-models-signal/?fbclid=IwdGRjcAMxeuljbGNrAzF6zmV4dG4DYWVtAjExAAEeDTQavMwZnpEczs6X4BgX_lSBSjMQnmbvwDgJNzkJwCOMQ9a5_BK_Au-Uqyc_aem_ZGS55PROynVyAOLdzJcilw

https://pix11.com/news/local-news/potential-cold-and-snowy-winter-ahead-in-ny-forecast-models-signal/?fbclid=IwdGRjcAMxeuljbGNrAzF6zmV4dG4DYWVtAjExAAEeDTQavMwZnpEczs6X4BgX_lSBSjMQnmbvwDgJNzkJwCOMQ9a5_BK_Au-Uqyc_aem_ZGS55PROynVyAOLdzJcilw

89 at both MLI and DVN today, 88 here. Mid 90s tomorrow through Monday. Any rain looks to miss well east, over by Chicagoland. Our desert-like stretch looks to go on for at least another week.

I don't see it as people not believing it's happening, the vast majority of people know it's happening, they just have many other concerns that matter more to them. Or they actually want warmer weather (especially in the winter.)

It's probably not an existential threat unless you're talking about island nations. Don, we are moving towards more renewable fuels, but at a slower pace than most would like. We'll get there eventually. I would mention to guess at least part of the inertia comes from a majority of people actually liking or wanting warmer temperatures in the winter.

a dew point of 50 is very low, let's take a much more likely scenario.... in August 1918 New York City recorded an all time monthly high of 104 degrees, what was the dew point on that day when the temperature was 104 degrees? Probably somewhere between 65-70 if I would guess. Compare that to the typical August day we get now, it rarely gets higher than 90-95 in August anymore and this year the highest temperature was only 86 =\

That was a cold winter here in NYC with 57 inches of snow. Alot of fluffy snow events. One morning it went down to 1 degrees here.

I look at Carter's mishap as young and dumb. If it continues then yes it is a problem. I'm sure veteran teammates had a talk with him. But yeah, he is a talent and they don't grow on trees...

83 was my high. I am REALLY excited for the 48-60 degree days I get to experience starting Tuesday for 10 weeks while you guys bake. My garden will die since it’s drier than ever before but whatever.

And many on you tube and elsewhere are calling for a cold E US winter? Does that jibe with the warmest N Pacific on record?

What's the Euro? Stein? Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Hit 89 today. 89 this time of year actually feels great, especially with the lower humidity and cooler nights. Summer is back, a long with 2 more weeks of no rain for me. Dry as fuck...grass is brown, trees dropping leaves. Definitely drought conditions here.

Honest question - increasing SSTs would seem to make an AMO Inactive period more active than it otherwise would be, wouldn't it?

Even the AI is trolling me.

I had snow last year on Christmas Eve

I got 2 storms in feb 2024 with 6"+

18 inches here Snow for 3 days

This is probably a dumb question. With area a little better, can that lead to more extent next season, or is there not really a correlation

Played 9 holes with my son. Perfect weather.

Come and play with us Dendy. Forever and ever and ever.

The weekend will see a continuation of partly sunny skies with highs mainly in the middle and upper 70s on Saturday. A few of the warmer spots could reach or exceed 80°. Sunday will be somewhat warmer with widespread highs in the lower 80s. Temperatures will top out in the upper 70s to perhaps lower 80s on Monday and Tuesday. September 1-15 remains on track to achieve a solid cool anomaly. Since 2000, there have been nine years that saw a cooler than normal first half of September. Two-thirds of those years went on to record a warmer than normal second half of September. Only two of those years (2017 and 2019) wound up with a monthly mean temperature of 70.0° or above. Overall, for two-thirds of those years, the cool start was sufficiently cool to produce a cooler than normal monthly anomaly. The last year that saw both a cooler than normal first half and second half of September was 2009. Prior to that, it was 2001. The last year to record a cooler than normal first half of September followed by a warmer than normal September was 2024. The latest guidance is continuing to evolve toward a very warm second half of September. As a result, it is plausible that the odds of a warmer than normal September could reach and then exceed 50% as early as tomorrow's guidance. The last September with a cooler than normal first half and a warm overall monthly anomaly was September 2019. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around August 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.32°C. La Niña conditions will likely develop during mid- or late-autumn. The SOI was -1.48 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.382 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 51% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.1° (0.1° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Thank you... may take as well as well as Bluewave. We've got so many classifications of things... we've lost simplicity of when to amp interest. Folks certainly cant keep up with all the changes... Farmers are interested for sure as this did seem to stunt corn in late summer. Otherwise, I view this summer as having been sort of dull... not much SVR and very limited tropical with heat dominating JJ first week of Aug.

Frederic went on to drop 4-6 inches of rain in upstate NY and east-central Ontario. I remember the month of Sep 1979 (in Ontario) as being almost bone dry apart from the one day of heavy rain and strong NE winds from then TS Frederic. Then Sep 1989 had a lot more action before Hugo followed a similar track through the Lake Ontario region and dropped similar amounts of rain (landfall in that case was of course SC).