All Activity

Drought worsened significantly in NC with virtually zero rain over last two weeks. Hopefully this is the peak

I think Ray may actually be one of the aliens the current zeitgeist thinks walks amongst us? It would explain how that list of verbiage actually constructs a workable communication because it probably is lucid comprehension in the mind of a Zargon - As a software engineer with decades of experience no less, I cannot seem to decode this: "Let's station that there to add resistance"

uhmm ... can you help me parse out this sentence ^ ?

North Carolina | Drought.gov. Exceptional in NW NC or 3.5% of NC

Let's station that there to add resistance to the STJ next winter...that would be neat-

I'll tell ya tho ...whatever happens this weekend .. next week aside, until this crap stops, it ain't summer! not even close. I don't care wtf it was like the last 3 days ... not a summer hemisphere.

Huh….? You are wrong. 2025-2026 winter was pretty dam good, two blizzards(one with single digit temps of 5-6 degrees), a 12/26 evening 9”er also with frigid temps. and very good cold all season..with good pack….that was pretty dam good imo.

I think that is on the right track. The focus for the heavy rain today will definitely be well to the northwest, and while it will eventually sink southeast into the metro areas later this afternoon, it will be weakening as it does.

Figures Tuesday will be nice for back to work. What a pile of garbage this weekend.

lol…maybe Wednesday…other then that 70’s, which is fine by me.

There are a few cases over the years whence something of sufficient magnitude penetrates the late spring/summer climate gauntlet enough to afflict a truly, perniciously shitty scenario. Just think back to the infamous July 4th weekend, 2020. 40s ( and I don't mean 'Kevin 40s'; real 40s), NE wind, rain. In fact, the May 1977 freak snow storm also fits into this sort of phenomenon - tho the snowing aspect might send some to feeling that's gotta be something extra double special and different but no ... Barring those few/rarer exceptions, after about ... ~ May 10th, shit outlooks tend to flop on the side of better when the days actually happen. I think this weekend may end up more in this ilk of inconvenience. We'll see. But I suspect Saturday is dry with some dim sun visible N of the Pike through early afternoon, then it gets more lorded over but still dry through evening. Sunday'll suck most likely... but given to the blocking that's setting up down stream, I could also see that correct a little drier as the day nears. Not sure what to make of Monday... Guidances are trying to create cold season meso lows near the Cape like it's December and trying to preserve a 31F dammed up icing scenario near FIT. No shame in the guidance about what time of year it is. Or, it's just an homage to the unusual blocking going on. That's odd btw. It's like there's a power house -NAO ridge pinning a Maritime trough in place... without having the ridge. The block appears to be non linear... like you just can't see it them, but they are there; forces are just spontaneously folding up a trough over the Maritime. It's stopping us from bouncing back very warm next week, too. Not sure how much of that is real.

At this rate, probably. Already getting crispy here. This weekend looks like shit, but also, very little actual rain. Double whammy of suck

Thanks. Actually at the current point in time, I have 2026 to be most similar to 2015: check this out 13MAY2015 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 20MAY2015 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 13MAY2026 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.6

We sun

Next week is 80’s all week

Nice soaker this morning. Temp down to 56.

Getting a soaking rain here the past couple of hours. Down to 57 degrees.

Correct. Out of all the “recent” super El Niños (1972, 1982, 1997, 2015), *at the current point in time*, 2026 is most similar to 1997

Yea you’re good. Im thinking of the 4 days Fri-Monday I lose one to rain. Will lose either Sunday or Monday to rain—trending to Sunday but it’s in and out quickly. Expecting that trend to continue. On the days with sun it will be near 70. Nothing to complain about up here. It’s a shit setup though for the CT, RI, southeast MA.

2025 and maybe 2026 are going to go down as spectacularly mediocre in regards to this part of the country. I wish I were wrong

The ATL flooding was from a small cell that really only affected half the metro. Very small cell but extreme rates where it sat

I didn’t say 1982 was W based overall. I was specifically referring to the mid May snapshot, when it was actually W based. I said, “In mid May vs 2026”, 1982 was more W based than 2026: 1982: 1+2 was coolest in mid May 12MAY1982 -0.6 0.5 0.4 0.7 19MAY1982 -0.4 1.0 1.1 1.1 2026: 1+2 is warmest in mid May 13MAY2026 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 So, as of mid May, 1982 was more W based than 2026. Later (July and beyond), I agree that 1982 clearly transitioned to E based. But my post was referring only to the snapshot as of the current point in time, mid May.

Amazing how different the UP is compared to the lower peninsula.