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  2. Torch Tiger
  3. kat5hurricane
    The cold is unbearable. I'm not somebody that shivers generally but this is legit shiver cold, the wind just makes it absolutely brutal.
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    The -AO trough is lifting out, as the Polar Vortex places over Alaska at Days 3-5, flushing out the cold and warming up the US pattern. Then the N. Pacific High starts building and establishing. At that point we are already in the Upper 30s, with no cold air reinforcement: The -NAO/-AO is weakening and lifting out. The N. Pacific ridge then gets very strong, a >5820dm block. That does overwhelm weak things in February where the wavelengths are longer. Of course, the further along we go, the warmer it gets.
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    Some places in the Litchfield hills today were below zero all afternoon after the front went through that’s extremely impressive .
  6. jm1220
    Yep, we probably make it to 5 or a couple degrees lower then steady. The strong wind allows the city to cool down and eliminate UHI but also keeps us from really radiating.
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    1.8”
  8. Yeoman
    That take assumes the Pacific immediately overwhelms everything downstream, which isn’t how these transitions usually work. A strong NPAC ridge doesn’t automatically squash an EC trough, especially with lingering -AO influence and a trough tucked under higher-latitude ridging. Neutral NAO doesn’t equal warm rain by default. At this range, ensembles are smoothing over key timing and structural details, so declaring this dead based on a broad Pacific signal seems dumb.
  9. Cfa
    8.5 here, lowest so far this winter is 7.7, I think we’ll beat that (unfortunately).
  10. WxWatcher007
    Dude they're 20-30 degrees further north lol
  11. MANDA
    The coldest air at 850 is just about over us now. With the wind persisting overnight and the coldest of the air overhead currently (at least from the city on westward) I would not be surprised to see temperatures bottom out around mid night and then hold steady or rise slightly before daybreak. CAV is just about peaking now. Temperatures across NY southern tier (BGM area) are holding rather steady last few hours. Maybe another 2-4 degree drop from the city west and another 3-5 across LI.
  12. GreyHat
    Thank you.
  13. mriceyman
    We were spoiled with no wind for the last 2 weeks.. this is bitter .
  14. Solution Man
    It’s called money….gotta pay my man
  15. GreyHat
    Can you tell me why Pivitol shows the following? I was not able to see it while it was coming out.
  16. Solution Man
  17. psuhoffman
    It’s out. Targets central and southern VA the most but still a good number of hits up our way. It was a colder souther run than 12z. Same as the op.
  18. GreyHat
    Thank you, and what little effects I know of that and the rossbry wave. This helps me to understand things. Thank you again.
  19. NorthHillsWx
    It’s an ice storm for western Virginia and cold rain elsewhere
  20. dmillz25
    Down to 6 here
  21. psuhoffman
    It’s not a 60 day lag but yes what’s happening there has a downstream impact on us. The impact is much faster than 60 days.
  22. Dan76
    I would say B- here as of now
  23. bncho
    If I'm understanding your question correctly, I was refrerring to the 18z OP Euro AI. The EPS-AI doesn't come out until later on
  24. stormtracker
    I'll be pulling into the Shit Face station pretty soon. Had to go in on a Saturday and it was kinda rough.
  25. stormtracker
    Of course man
  26. GreyHat
    Question; back in the day some poster whether it was doorman or others. Said to looked towards the Aleutians and look to 60 day lag. Is that correct?
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