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63/61 rains have subsided. Just some drizzle remaining. Right around 2” here.

1.9” 2 days. Please Dendrite don’t hurt ‘em.

no wonder on my return dates using Gazza's theories I have a significant gulf storm from 22 - 28th September innit around LA/TX but idk what do you think bruv

Those are impressive rain totals for the Eastern folks. Greenfield was only around .50” for the two day total.

Spectacular afternoon and evening in Western Mass. Mostly sunny and 70°. Nice way to end the last day of the Franklin County Fair.

I’ll repeat in the winter we call them snow crows when they are Always talking about “10 days away….then 10 days away…10…10……”. For tropical good rhyming name is blow crow.

Two-day total 1.04”

Perfect timing, hopefully with the clouds gone we can cool down nicely tonight.

Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (2023) NYC: 101 (1881) LGA: 96 (2023) JFK: 93 (1983) Lows: EWR: 49 (1984) NYC: 46 (1888) LGA: 53 (1984) JFK: 47 (1962) Historical: 1675: Boston, Massachusetts area has the second "Great Colonial Hurricane." (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1769: Considered one of the worst storms of the Eighteenth century, this hurricane passed over Williamsburg, Virginia. 1881 - The temperature soared to 101 degrees at New York City, 102 degrees at Boston MA, and 104 degrees at Washington D.C. (David Ludlum) 1888 - Much of the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast Region experienced freezing temperatures. Killer frosts resulted in a million dollars damage to crops in Maine. (David Ludlum) 1909 - Topeka, KS, was drenched with 8.08 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a record for that location. (6th- 7th) (The Weather Channel) 1939: A Record heat prevailed across the Midwest. Locations recording their hottest September temperatures included Rockford, IL: 103°, New Hampton, IA: 101° and Lancaster, WI: 100°. Prairie du Chien, WI tied for Wisconsin's highest September temperature with 104°. Other record highs included: Waterloo, IA: 102°, Columbia, MO: 102°, Kansas City, MO: 102°, Des Moines, IA: 101°, St. Louis, MO: 101°, Peoria, IL: 101°-Tied, Chicago, IL: 100 °F. (Ref. Many Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) 1949: Santa Ana, CA began with a record low of 51° then quickly warmed to a record high temperature of 105°. Other record highs for the date across the Southland included: Escondido, CA: 106°, Downtown Los Angeles, CA: 103°, Long Beach, CA: 101° and San Diego, CA: 92°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1954: The highest temperature ever recorded for the Richmond International Airport in September was 103 °F (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC) 1962: Billings, MT recorded their earliest measurable snowfall with two inches, followed by 4.3 more inches the next day. Red Lodge, MT received 15 inches from this day through the 8th. Columbus, MT received four inches and Livingston, MT received one inch. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1970 - A lightning bolt struck a group of football players at Gibbs High School in Saint Petersburg FL, killing two persons and injuring 22 others. All the thirty-eight players and four coaches were knocked off their feet. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Showers and thunderstorms produced 4 to 8 inch rains in three to six hours in Virginia, with totals across the state for the Labor Day weekend ranging up to fourteen inches. The Staunton River crested at 34.44 feet at Altavista on the 8th, its highest level since 1940. Damage due to flooding was estimated at seven million dollars around Bedford, Henry, and Franklin. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Fifty cities across the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. The low of 56 degrees at Mobile AL was their coolest reading of record for so early in the season. The mercury dipped to 31 degrees at Athens OH, and to 30 degrees at Thomas WV. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms in the central U.S. produced four inches of rain at Texamah overnight, and up to six inches of rain in southwestern Iowa. Evening thunderstorms in eastern Colorado produced golf ball size hail at Clear Creek and at Nederland. Late evening thunderstorms in Iowa drenched Harlan with more than four inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1998: Two Derechos occurred on this day with one affecting most of Pennsylvania and New York City, the other impacting central New York. 2003: Seattle-Tacoma, Washington: A string of 61 consecutive days with temperature 70°F or above ends. The previous run had been 49 days in 1958. (Ref. WxDoctor)

Went to the game. Dropped some balls that we need to haul in but their D was outstanding. Didn’t hurt that the weather was damn near perfect.

Sudden epic weather. This reminds me of central California coast. Just an absolutely beautiful stretch of weather coming in with this breeze.

73 here for a highs. Clearing out a bit now as front clears Dew piint to 54

MJOwise, alone, 9/7-21/25 is clearly more favorable than 9/7-21/24. But the MJO is just one factor of many. There’s lots of variation of actual outlines within each MJO phase. The MJO is best treated as a guidance tool rather than a crystal ball.

Frost advisories hoisted up this way.

Just a 70° high here today after 90° yesterday.

I wonder if this means ironically if hurricane formation would be more favourable in 2025 than last year

As of 4 pm, Central Park had a high of 68°. Should Central Park have a high of 69° or below, it would be the first time New York City has seen a high in the 60s during the first week of September since September 6, 2019 when the mercury topped out at 67°. Yesterday, Central Park received 1.01" of rain, its first 1.00" or above daily rainfall since July 14. Additional rain fell today. Two-day rainfall amounts across the region included: Islip: 0.77" New Haven: 1.39" New York City-Central Park: 1.64" New York City-JFK Airport: 0.99" New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 1.56" Newark: 0.89" White Plains: 1.56" Temperatures will mainly top out in the 70s during the daytime and fall into the 50s at nighttime in New York City through at least Wednesday. Thursday could be briefly warmer with highs in the upper 70s to perhaps lower 80s. Additional showers or rain is possible on Thursday, as another cold front crosses the region. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around August 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.32°C. La Niña conditions will likely develop during mid- or late-autumn. The SOI was +6.95 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.932 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 59% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.2° (1.0° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

I'm half that at 1.20 for the month. We only got 0.08" out of everything yesterday and this morning. What I have noticed lately is the stubborn banding and pretty sharp cutoffs. In that wherever the banding starts to set up, that's who's getting it, and it's not wavering much. Things always seem to train northeast over the same spots. I'd love to see a study of summer thunderstorm precipitation patterns in this area because it always seems to be two distinct areas. The most common is over the Delaware Water Gap and places to the north and west, and the other, not as frequent area is to the south and east, starting well south of Philly and training up and eventually off shore towards Long Island. The drought monitor shows this, and I'll be curious to see how it changes next week. Perhaps just a short term blip, or something longer term due to climate and topography. But it's definately a thing.

Years with one or more 90° temperatures on or after the fall equinox for select New York City Area locations: Bridgeport: 1970 Islip: 1980 New York City-Central Park: 1881, 1895, 1914, 1927, 1933, 1938, 1939, 1941, 1959, 1961, 1970, 1980, 2017, 2019 New York City-JFK Airport: 1970, 1980, 2007, 2017, 2019 New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 1941, 1946, 1970, 1980, 1998, 2007, 2010, 2017, 2019 Newark: 1881, 1895, 1908, 1914, 1938, 1939, 1941, 1949, 1958, 1959, 1961, 1968, 1970, 1980, 1998, 2007, 2010, 2016, 2017, 2019 White Plains: 1970, 2017, 2019

Giants wont be sticking with Wilson as the starter very long lol.

At least 14 years have had a 90F or higher reading in astronomical autumn (not a precise measure but I counted only cases from Sep 21 onward). These fourteen qualified, I will do a deeper search and edit this if I find any hidden ones. Those with an asterisk did not set a daily record or did not maintain it to present day. A few of these years (1895, 1914, 1941, 1970) had several days above 90. There were also 89s in 1922, 1926, 1949, 1958, 1959, 1986, 1998 and 2010. 1881 1895 1914 1927 * 1931 * 1933 1938 1939 1940 * 1941 1970 1980 * 2017 2019 In these fourteen years there were at least 25 days with 90+ readings and the average of all of them was 92. The highest was 97 (23rd 1895). So never say never to 90F. * to be clear about 1927, it holds a record of 88F for Oct 1st but lost its 90F record for the 2nd to 2019. The others marked (1931, 1940, 1980) were not records when they happened, as they were in the 1895-1914 era. Most of the 89F readings are not records either, the 1986 one is (Sep 30th). It was 88F as late as Oct 22nd 1979. That date also had the record high min of 67F in 1979. This was probably the latest calendar date to match modern normal temperatures in July (Nov 1-2 1950 were close).

If we're talking about Central Park, then maybe. They struggle to hit 90 in July let alone mid to late September.

Nice Commanders win today

Philly runs way high too, cheap 90. Only a handful made 90 overall. Only made it to 85 here with rain moving in early

summer is over nyc will not hit 90 again until next year!