All Activity

CAMs not showing much but I'm really curious to see if we can pop anything this afternoon. CAMs are more bullish to our northwest (which makes sense) but we're going to break out into some degree of sun (at least up to and WOR) and should destabilize rapidly. Mid-levels become rather dry, however, I don't think that would be a negative today because the llvls are quite moist so air rising rapidly would negate that a bit and this would also help strengthen downdraft potential. LCL and LFC are also relatively close throughout the day so it isn't going to take much to get parcels to really accelerate. Coverage isn't going to be widespread but any means but I think we'll see at least a few decent cells with 1-1.25" hail and strong wind gusts.

70 with 58 dews. My balls are enjoying this

.52 as it’s winding down. Kev knows

Congrats

Said nobody in E CT at the moment

Line will weaken a bit. Meanwhile pouring in Dennis.

The heaviest extends well south of Long Island. The only way you don’t get poured on is if the line does a 7-10 split over you which I could see 1 in 3 chance that happens

My face is as red as Henry Rollins in that video seeing the same spots getting drenched again

Summer of Pour

.51” last night…5.97” for the month. Mosquitoes out in force!

Pretty impressive monthly totals. 3.27" here in Garrett County so a lot lower than most folks but we've done pretty well overall this season. Looks like our hottest day occurred in May of all things - 89.2 looks to be the best summer had to offer this year imby.

It’s moving almost due east . Slight north of due east

Yea that’s what I was thinking, but even if we get a third of that cold we are in business february

???? It’s moving north?

That would be the coldest feb in decades. Maybe historic. Overdone probably

All the heavy missed . Another .75 -.90 boring events backedge already to HFD

So a completely cloudy weekend and barely any rain. That's almost worse.

Last winter reanalysis for reference

0.68" from the rain this morning up to 5.45" for thr month

O/U on 0.01” here? wtf

Yep-I was questioning upton's forecast last night but they were spot on. Models had very little and I got another 2 inches of rain here (unwelcome at this point)

Good sleeping weather here with a low of 53.

Congrats on 1” when it’s done

saw these graphics on twitter and it’s pretty interest how cold the CFS thinks January and especially February will be considering average 2m temps are like 38-41F for them