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GFS pretty significantly further south with the low lol
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Gfs wind field, wave period and significant wave height are higher this run for long Island especially out east
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Weather Will replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Montauk early forecast, if it's nearly moderate at montauk it's going be way worse further west.
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Weather Will replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Yeah true. Cad will probably drain on down if that depiction on Euro is correct, unless there's pressure from the west pushing that heat Eastward. Could be in serious drought and fire trouble if that Ridge lingers.
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
WEATHER53 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think winds may go sustained 25-30 gusting to 40. Be fun to get hit but not hurt -
The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
high risk replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Definitely a camp of solutions that has a bit of a SW--> NE strung-out low solution for Sunday instead of a consolidated storm along the coast. -
The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Chadzachadam replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Kind of wild how different the models are only ~48 hours out. gfs west, ukie and euro way east, nam and icon kind of in the middle -
The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Weather Will replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
dmcginvt replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
yup 28 here already. Took the trash out in shorts and a tshirt. Had to remind myself for a minute that I love winter. Stayed out for a few minutes to suck it up now. It always makes a difference in the long run forcing the acclimation. Death to all the things that grow -
I hope it maintains a social distance and complies with all health recommendations.
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
CAPE replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
lol I only 'care' so I don't have to water the new grass. Mostly just something to track. For some it has been quite dry for the last couple months so I get wanting a soaking rain. -
Karen’s genesis at ~44.4N is the furthest N on record for any TS or STS, beating the old record of 42N from 1952 by a notable amount! Karen had to make a statement! AL, 11, 2025101000, , BEST, 0, 444N, 334W, 40, 998, SS, 34, NEQ, 20, 50, 50, 30, 1012, 190, 20, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, KAREN, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 033, TRANSITIONED, alB62025 to al112025,
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'll be absolutely floored if my area doesn't do better. -
The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
nj2va replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Poor Ji -
"Potentially" powerful Nor'easter Sun-Mon 10/12-13/25 with needed rain-especially south of I84, and fairly high impact sct coastal gusts 50+ MPH and possibly moderate or greater coastal flooding at the midday Sun and Monday high tide cycles.
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Backside snow in NYC? Like betting on the mets in the 8th. Come on- 91 replies
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Weather Will replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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35 wow..new low for day and looks like the growing season over by morning
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Still an onshore wind has been blowing for the last few days and will continue to do so as this system makes it's way here. Plenty of water already piled up along the coast.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Crazy stuff but yeah, that’s probably a TC or STS.