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Winter Storm Watch issued just before 3am…

I wouldn't say there's no chance. I think if enough gather in song and prayer, we still reel this one in.

Winter Storm Watch here. Forecast is for 4-8".

Current projections showcase that this is likely to be Central & Coastal Carolinas Bullseye. That withstanding, the storm is evolving and if the storm closes off a touch more quickly, it could nail the entire subforum essentially. The Euro showcases this, though Eastern GA is still on the cusp with that.

Winter Storm Watch here in Jacksonville, mhx stating 8-12 inches.

Winter Storm Watches issued

SREF is better.

Winter Storm Watch issued by GSP for Rabun County. Reading their forecaster discussion, said QPF decreased some and 2-4" for us on western CWA. I'm happy with 2-4", but was somehow thinking it was more than that.

This guy is horrid

Go long frozen concentrated orange juice.

An atypical thing about this storm, it deeply occludes rather far S for a coastal storm (~35N) and has multiple low centers strung out SW to NE, so you will have a huge swath of heavy precip NW of the center, pivoting slowly. How much this pivot is obviously is key (pivotal!?). It can be one of those things, once you are in it, you are in it for awhile, yet not to far NW, just internment flakes in a dry stiff wind. So very sharp snowfall gradients as possible. Among the best snowfall gradient storm for eastern MA occurred 2/9/1987. I got 2" in Woburn MA w/ no real wind, and CHH had 23.4" w/ frequent gusts 60-70 kt. Second Cape Cod-only blizzard in two weeks! A 7-year old CoastalWx was NOT happy! But I was not either, even though 1986-87 was a good winter (only one from 1984-85 to 1991-92), it could have been *much* better!

Yeah 2 models have trended west so far,we keep forgetting that a 30 to 60 mile swing northwest gets us in to the good snows.

0z canadian def trended west. It gets us in to the light snow.

When the trend is your friend.

Buy citrus soon, prices will skyrocket next week. (Florida freeze coming)

Came in here to talk about the same thing...like bruh whhhyyy? Lol (If it does end up looking like that we'll know this time to ignore the threat altogether!

I was reading about the Washington and Jefferson snowstorm of Jan 28, 1772, apparently both of those esteemed gents were weather watchers and measured 30 inches of snow at both of their locations. There were some gnarly winters around the Revolutionary War period, Jan 1780 was extremely cold and the Hudson River froze over solid. A reading of -16 F was taken somewhere near New York City. That image earlier in the thread reminded me of these factoids. Other winters of the early years that were very harsh were 1805 and 1821. They had dud winters in those times too, a weather journal from Rhode Island shows that winter 1833-34 was very mild and almost without snow. Winters of the 1850s were very cold and snowy but the 1840s were much more variable. In this era of human-modified climate some may forget that there are large natural variations in the mix as well.

sounds like right in front of the garage is a good place to dump snow for next time

It doesn’t need much of a jog west. .

Something different from what the models are showing right now is going to happen for sure. I’m not convinced it will be big for us, but they are definitely going to be some surprises over the next 48 hours.

I’m not buying this eastern trend at all. Something big is going to happen this weekend.

Imo I would rather the storm just blows up farther south in NC & the precip field expands north.. I’d rather just have a nice average 3 to 6 snowfall then have this move more north but the development hurt us and send dry air into this specific area… I think that is what the models are having a hard time predicting…

Yeah… I think it’s overdoing it though. CAM’s will probably resolve it better but I feel like a low that strong is going to throw precip back. And if we can get even just a slightly earlier negative tilt it will help transfer the energy earlier and throw the precip back over the piedmont better. The gap is from the ULL snow and the energy skipping over and then the low bombing out and so that area misses the brunt of the ULL and of the coastal.

Verbatim, would get some accumulating snow pretty far west.