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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
mattinpa replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I’ve been wondering that. I remember 1994 was cold, but not sure about the length of the cold stretches. -
Looking at the forecast winds for the mountain/foothills zones, would not be shocked if a Blizzard Warning is issued at some point. The wind gust and light fluffy snow is right on the cusp of MRX's criteria.
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Assuming the input data keeps flowing, at the pace we are seeing, AI and machine learning will absolutely crack the weather code to the point that humans won't need to interpret much and the forecasts will be as optimal as possible, and soon-ish. As far as who cashes in on it, I don't know. The data is certainly extremely valuable. Anyway, back to snow in Tennessee! Sorry for the diversion.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
franklin NCwx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
How much snow do yall average per year? -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
franklin NCwx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
We hug! -
Worth a shot...once they figure out how to incorporate AI completely, they will privatize the NWS imo. Just the revenue alone all these half-wit social media pages are generating all is enough to get Big Brother Corporations watching.
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Rivers are always more risky just b/c of how currents impact freeze up. Some of the tidal areas could be walkable in a matter of days, as well as any fast ice on shores of Chesapeake. Walking on some part of the bay is on my bucket list so I will be reporting on that when it's at least conceivably safe lol
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As a GIS nerd I'm gonna give away for free a multi-million dollar idea, super simple. Track verification scores of all weather models. For any given setup, query a set of historical analogs. Assess which weather models verified best in those analog lead-ups. Weight current models accordingly for current situation NBM. There, not perfect but grounded in science and a helluva better blend than what we are seeing today! I'd like 5% of the revenue from the startup that cashes in on that idea please.
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I can’t count how many people at my workplace have said it’s not going to snow. Only a fraction of the population will buy into this thing.
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
Jeff Co Vol replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The IDSS forecast for IMBY almost doubled in the past hour. (1 mile from exit 424 of I-40) 7.7" snowfall from .41 precip- 554 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
Hurricaneguy replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Can you post the new NBM please?- 554 replies
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Not sure if they are in the middle of updating them or what, but Tellico and Sweetwater are 1-2, Madisonville is 2-5.
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The use of so many bad models but not the Euro Op is crazy. Especially since they use the GFS op. I'm not sure that there is actual human involvement in it though. I think it simply blends the models noted on the dashboard and spits out outdated material.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
letitsnow replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Putting down pre-emergent on top of snow when the soil temps are nowhere close to 55 degrees is just wasting money. -
Euro trying to cook again at 138-150, low pressure transfer off the CHS/ILM coast.
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The idea of the NBM is brilliant; letting smart humans weight the logical computer guidance based on the current situation. But the execution is total s*it. Must be the funding cuts.
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My forecast remains less than an inch. All modeling has me at 3-5 inches except the UKIE, the NBM and some junk cams that stink beyond 12 hours.
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
Ji replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro is a weenie wet dream haha for the run -
NBM has upped me to 1.5 inches! After looking they used the 12z Euro ens for the 00z NBM.
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
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MRX still has the 1-33 inch forecast on the WWA for Anderson and surrounding counties, so maybe I'm in a good spot in Oliver Springs, lol.
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February 25, 1999 Here's a start: https://www.northshorewx.com/19990225SnowTotals.html Also: https://www.northshorewx.com/lisnowfallpatterns.html
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No one hates except RUNNAWAYICEBERG
