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I think you'll find nearly every met in the SNE forums will tell you don't use it. There's a lot more to snow growth and high ratios then just temperatures. You can easily get 8-10:1 arctic sand with needles and plates with temps in the 10s and conversely you can get 15-30:1 fluff with sfc temps near freezing. Kuchera is always gonna be inflated really high like this when the column is very cold. You can use it if you want, im just saying there's a lot more to look at than pretty kuchera snowfall maps.

Last of my posts: HRRR keeps this going for another 2-3 hours. Early contender for the storm of the season for here. My P/C is calling for a new 3-5 for today.

WB 6Z GFS

Everyone has their opinion on the kuchera. Mixed reactions because this will be a high ratio snow. I was told to use it with high ratios. I never did at all though.

And so it is as GYX writes below. It is just dumping. My favorite part of this where it says "nearly stationary". 443 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 ...An area of heavy snow will affect Kennebec...west central Knox... northern York...Oxford...west central Waldo...Androscoggin...south central Somerset...Lincoln...Cumberland...Sagadahoc and southern Franklin Counties... At 437 AM EST...An area of heavy snow was impacting much of western and coastal Maine and nearly stationary. Locations impacted include... Belgrade, Scarborough, Jay, New Gloucester, Wales, Whitefield, Bath, Fayette, Livermore Falls, Rangeley, Mount Abram, Smithfield, Frye Island, Winslow, Lewiston, Boothbay, Bowdoin, Georgetown, Albany, and Standish. This includes the following highways... Interstate 295 between mile markers 1 and 51. Interstate 95 between mile markers 39 and 136. This also includes... Sebago Lake, Pleasant Mountain, Burnt Meadow Mountains, Saddleback Mountain, and Mount Abraham. Peaks Island, Long Island, Cushing Island, Cousins Island, and Bailey Island. * Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a half mile in this area of heavy snow. * Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are occurring in this area of heavy snow.

At least as far as mby goes, this looks like it could be spot on

At the same time, Juneau hits -10, equalling coldest temp since the 1970s. And: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/yukon-energy-blackouts-extreme-cold-9.7026976 These things aren't one way.

I'm 8 miles east of Brunswick in the middle of the GYX radar hole, ftw. By the way--I think until perhaps just now, that has been heavy, wet snow. Temp was hovering right around freezing through the duration until about an hour ago. Cooler air filtering in now.

Because it shows the most snow... The kuchera maps are ridiculous for the storm like nearly 1.5X or double 10:1 because its so frigid, esp N and W. When it's cold Kuchera will show a lot of snow. Doesn't take into account lift in the DGZ, frontogenesis or anything...strictly based on temps. I agree with the NWS and a lot of mets on here. I don't use it, it's useless imo.

Just got up. Eyeballing about 8" with SN++ at the moment. Double digits look doable, maybe even a foot based on what last night's models were showing for the morning hours. First, coffee.

0.66666:1 SWE. Epic. I'm working on a Tri-State Snowfall map now, should be done by mid-afternoon once i get cocorahs and coop. I went through the past 5 pages and got everybody on here. Thanks!

Some NE creeping on the overnight runs. Wouldn’t take too much more to get a good hit for Hartford.

I DONT WANT NO DAMN ICE STORM

Beast trough

5.6” Still snowing decently

Watch hoisted for the whole forum. More than 48 hours in advance - might be a new record for CTP. Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to two inches and ice accumulations between one tenth and three tenths of an inch possible.

Hovering at 32° but the fluff is here. We’ll see what we can do overnight.

Up to 8" now.

Showing beautifully here in Mt. Washington, but I’ve bright my curse with me. And STILL left the curse at home. Looks like we got 0.5” in RI IF that, and only 2” here. Even though it was 4-8 predicted. SOMEHOW everyone In Between here and RI overachieved and Massive is killing it. I’m a G-d Da*n Walking Snow Curse. And Couldn’t see the Mountain All 3 days (the Main train to come) because of the clouds, Even on Monday which was clear…. there was a cloud over Washington. AND THERE IS HARDLY any snow here even after hearing you all tell me “Northern New England is having a HISTORIC start to the season….” Well Where is it??!! Where is the 2 feet on there ground? Everyone here is saying “Oh Friday’s Rain wiped us out.” Even the Sleigh Rides are Down because the trails got screwed by the rain. And now the End of the week will be a storm TOO FAR SOUTH like 2 weeks ago where Delaware and Maryland and NYC Philly beat me? Oh My GOD!!!!!! W. T. F.

0z guidance all backed north northeast

Jaws at the end of the 0z Euro. This doesn't tell me much other than the fact that January will be fun to track even in the first half, and BAM will likely be right about a major winter storm happening around their timeframe of Jan 4-8.

Thanks Don, Just ripping in this band with great snow growth.

2.75" should do it.