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Yep, if this misses-onto spring. I’m done with the teases, minor events gone in a day and black ice piles in the parking lots.

Law of averages is going to pay off in a single event

If the gfs was even close to being right I’d drive down to where they house it super commuter and bow to its greatness.

In fact we've never had a high impact storm with 0 euro hits this close.

It's not extremely rare. Many massive events clipped shy of getting this far N. Just being fair

I see that Winter Storm Watches are starting to appear in the area ahead of the next anticipated winter storm. It sounds like one of the concerns is potential inch-per-hour snowfall rates during tomorrow’s evening commute. It looks like projected accumulations for us in the valley are in the 5-7” range at this point, with 6-8” shading here along the spine and a bit of 8-12” shading appearing in the Central Greens. We’ll see how things go when the BTV NWS puts out their next updates later today.

Yeah that 0z Monday sounding would be like near whiteout with high ratio parachutes. Crazy stuff.

Look, all I know if, if I get two feet just north of Baltimore and DC gets 3 feet, I'm gonna be SO MAD. I might never get over it.

Thread the needle baby!

Sounds wonderful.

30 hours to get a foot of snow? Not impressive at all.

This is a run where I'm saving all the charts for future use to show people how H5, jet streaks, and temp advection results in surface depictiom

This is what I think happens...it won't be sunny, but we'll end up with some sort of regurgitation of dynamics...throw a bib on mother nature, and then smear the content onto SNE.

It's not that hard. Ridge axis is wrong and there's not enough separation between this and the friday system. OTS. Not a hard setup.

Grabbed it and pulled it just offshore.

We want this EAST if the low won't tuck.

Yea, I don't see it. Hope he's right.

GFS has been absolutely horrible for a couple years. But man it sure has been consistent with this I expected it to fold today and it probably still will but it's an absolute nuke for everybody including us at 12 Z

Yeah GGEM is basically a whiff. Some light snows for eastern areas but nothing of significance.

LOL.

Again, I think the GFS’s solution is not the most likely scenario by a longshot im not even against people saying they don’t believe it will happen, because despite the fact I WANT it to happen, i think it’s more likely to whiff than be a GFS-type super-bomb for our area When I say pessimism, I’m not referring to reasoned takes saying “it’s probably not going to happen”, it’s takes stating the definitive “it’s over” it’s the opposite of WG, and both extremes are obnoxious lol

Not a bad consolation imo though. Lol.

GGEM:

He knows his stuff, that is very encouraging.