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This looks like a nuisance, if that here, maybe an inch if we are lucky

Yeah that 1/25 storm would’ve tried to cut into BUF with that flow buckling out in the Rockies …good thing we had that faster flow to keep it south of us.

Definitely worth watching some more! Between now and Thursday, models should sway either one way or another. If there's going to be a wintry side somewhere, I'd feel good about western border counties through central western VA, also any ice potential could go as far south as 40 in the heart of the CAD areas. I think we will see some model agreement over the next few days. What was interesting on that Euro run vs last night is the low pressure was quite a bit stronger and further north but definitely more wintry looking. It will be interesting to see what the next 48 hrs trends are.

You’ve been on a roll the last couple days. Tough to keep up with which models people are justifying their snow with these days

We’re going to have a big CC discussion on Friday the 13th when Wolfie leaves for Frenchy ville.

Even if that were to happen, with how cold a February we have, we'd need to have like a -7 March, and a -10 April, which would put us at record cold levels. I'm guessing the cold has peaked, and the temperature anomalies will revert towards the mean, and we'll have a warmer than normal spring. Seems to always be that way after colder winters, like 2010, 2011, and 2015.

Imagine if we didn’t have climate change and fast flow…..

Yea, goes both ways, too.....fast flow, MJO...I get it, but none of those are prohibitive in an ABSOLUTE sense, so we also could have more go right on the coast, too.

Regardless, it’s important for continuity/looking back that we keep most of the posts specifically pertaining to the rest of this cold season in this thread.

I’m talking storm specific. Stein is here.

Good winter overall. The mild ups between middle of DEC to middle of JAN were disappointing during the middle of the season, along with not getting a few more SWFEs.

I measured 5.9' here. Rain, to sleet, to snow. Your area is usually a bit colder.

i have had full snowcover since 12/23 (without mini-melt in mid-Dec it would have been since 12/2), and currently have 16-18" in the yard, with great local snowmobiling. sure, we missed out on some storms, but overall, this is our best winter at my locale in several years. Need 4" more to trump the last 2 seasons.

Saying yawn is complaining. Every year leaves some on the table. Like I said, even your wet dream 2015 left a lot on the table here WOR. But It was perfect where you were though. I wouldn’t say it was yawn though…but almost every system was half here compared to what it was out east.

I said it the other day, but you could look at it like we were a little lucky with that roided SWFE too. It’s tough to pull something like that off in the midst of 2-3 weeks of -10 anomalies without any relaxation at the sfc. That was a Jose Canseco needled up wedge of surface cold with big overrunning over it. But if that had missed south people would be losing their minds right now. A 20” event and deep pack for weeks definitely changes the mindset.

Yeah, my notes read: rain, to sleet, to snow. 5.9" in am.

It’s been BN to well BN temps every month and most areas are sitting at 130-150% of average snow. It has objectively been the most severe winter in terms of cold and snow since 14-15. Boston is already sitting at what 40 inches, that’s close to the average for the ENTIRE SEASON and we have 3 more weeks of Feb + March still left. Yeah, most of our snow came from one storm but you know as well as anyone that’s how our climo is. I know we left some on the table (especially December), but I would also argue that the pattern overall has been been a notch below top La Niña winters like 10-11 and 95-96. We have not had as active of a STJ and less blocking overall than those winters, so I wouldn’t say we left a fuck ton on the table. This winter has produced really well overall, I’m happy with it.

06z Euro also showed some significant ice on the southern edge. I woudn't overlook the ice potential on this one in Cad areas. TW

Careful, he might challenge you to a duel.

it feels great at 21 in the sun without wind right now! i expect I break the streak of below freezing here...ALY posted the top 10 for POU under freezing, 18 days was 3rd and happened twice, probably closer to my obs that Pittsfield or BDL, the record was 23 straight days, happened 2 times also, and second was 19 days.

Looks that way the rest of the month. Gonna need a big March now to match snowfall amounts with the seasons’s cold and snowpack positives.

Yea if Sunday Monday is a complete whiff I’m ready for 50s&60s

If the second half of Feb and first half of March can deliver some…then it goes up more.