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Bob sent me the close up. Looks like 2.8-2.9 for me and Matt. Insane. And I do take it in stride, unlike some here

It will gust over 50 here no doubt

this still feels like a dream

ICONIC!

18z ICON goes from 991 mb low off Ocean City at 00z Monday to a 979 mb low east of Cape May by 09z Monday. . . .

I tend to agree. My objective however will be to try and keep the driveway clear

it ain't just the weather, hombre...

show her this.....she will understand LOL https://www.google.com/search?q=we+are+all+counting+on+you&oq=we+are+all+counting+on+you&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyCQgAEEUYORiABDIHCAEQABiABDIHCAIQABiABDILCAMQABgKGAsYgAQyCwgEEAAYChgLGIAEMgsIBRAAGAoYCxiABDILCAYQABgKGAsYgAQyCAgHEAAYFhgeMgoICBAAGAoYFhgeMgoICRAAGAoYFhge0gEJNjkyNGowajE1qAIIsAIB8QWa09D_W8nbMQ&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:44185d75,vid:JiA6Zv6tTo0,st:0

LBSW. 12z was better

The advisory versus warning areas are obviously taking elevation, temperatures, and climo into account. The norlurn trough is also currently progged to be the western warning (Loudoun, Clarke, Frederick MD, the Blue Ridge, etc.). We could have upgrades in the metro area, but for now, that's the best forecast given the melting that will happen. Coastal to the east, elevation to the west. Not unusual.

2/1 18z ICON Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 Snow 10:1

So many little things that can boom or bust this forecast. Daytime temps/rates will impact total accumulations before sunset, then where the heavier band(s) set up overnight. It will be easy to get 12” if you’re under the CCB, while dry air will kill snow nearby.

Yeah that was wild, i’ll never forget that

We will be pulling an all nighter sir. We only live once. Get a great night sleep tonight to prepare.

Icon increased snow across the area by multiple inches. I wouldn’t use that model to make a forecast but seeing it increase is a good sign

How? Chesapeake bay running 34F (I measured 33.8F yesterday) and we have a gale warning for winds off the water. Peak surface temperatures for Annapolis area will be held close to freezing from those winds. I don’t see temperatures near the water to be a problem.

Amounts increased and it came further west

What's up, Ken. I pulled that book out last night for my son.

Nam dropping 30 burger here in high elevations of Poconos lol!

and it snowed a week later.....

It's further along in the evolution

It is frustrating to dedicate hours and hours into model runs each day leading up to the storm and realizing what is about to take place and then some random person who watched the 6 o'clock news yesterday argues with you on whether it's going to be a storm or not. I am always fascinated at the average person's understanding of the weather or lack there of!

Gfs locked in on the noreaster