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Goal post will tighten later today - crazy thing is they are already very tight. Very minute changes are causing pretty large surface differences. H5 trended better across guidance today. We can only hope the surface follows suite tomorrow

Agreed - calling for a repeat of those storms is just a bit premature! The GFS vs. the world disconnect is really frustrating. Hoping for a consensus tomorrow.

Jeff Huffman @HuffmanHeadsUp Here are the top 15: 1. 20160123/1200 2. 20101226/1800 3. 19960108/0000 4. 20100303/0600 5. 19960216/1800 6. 20210202/0000 7. 19890224/0000 8. 19800303/0000 9. 20020103/1800 10. 20090120/1800 11. 20220129/0600 12. 20090302/0600 13. 20040310/1200 14. 19830311/1200 15. 19891224/0600 ------ FYI, he's with Baron Weather, a weather radar firm in Huntsville, Alabama.

It’ll be interesting to see how things look at 12z tomorrow as new data is ingested fully Certainly encouraging to see every model trend west up top at 0z. Perhaps the downstream impacts of that will show itself tomorrow and beyond. Perhaps it won’t.

Yup… Euro trends back east after trending west the run before. Not a good sign. I’m ready to jump again… sigh… .

Bold statement lol. Wouldn’t want to die on that hill

What about the other 2 he doesn't mention?

I know everybody is either depressed or biting their nails, so I thought I'd show this heartening tweet https://x.com/HuffmanHeadsUp/status/2016378076901281901/photo/1

I had chatgpt make this

EPS still looks good.

Thank you for your service

As Gen Z would say, my hairline is already "chopped".

Likely out on a biggie? Yep. Can we still get 3-6” of fluff to add to the 6-10” glacier pack around the region? Also yep. I’m personally not one to sneeze at 3-6 of additional powder in deep winter. I know we’re all big dog hunting, but let’s keep our climo in mind when setting expectations. We *could* end this weekend with over a foot of snowpack CWA wide with more chances on the horizon. That’s fantastic in a niña

I'd rather be where we are now than where we were at 12z or 00z last night. Have a good sleep y'all.

Damn your right. Stupid website switched my pick

Between this week and last week y'all may as well go bald for awhile

Think I was 20

I don't have a choice! We're up trying to make a forecast based off these runs, pulling out what little hair we have left. I'll see everyone for the 6z GFS.

I'm broke

Soon we'll be reduced to tracking westward movements on the JMA model

Alright .. who’s staying up for the long range 6z NAM? Kidding. Go to bed ya goddamn degenerates

Anyone have tickets to the Baltimore Blast game Sunday?

Globals are gonna struggle with convective feedback I think. CAMS will help resolve a bit of that. .

A car top duster underway outside currently, 21 degrees.

How about 18z?