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Yeah, we should pin the 2026-27 el nino thread, and unpin the 2023-24 el nino.

Not much expectation east of the mountains for snow today. All the models seemed to be fizzling out at 6Z and so has the latest WB 12Z 3K NAM. Our typical rug pull at the last minute.

Long game being used. Way way above your pay grade. Put it this way China ain't invading Taiwan and they will be buying our oil. New sheriff in town. Finally took out the most evil people on earth. Rest in hell

Hopefully the snow melt and projected rain going forward tames brush fire season which starts soon. 3/15-5/15 is the annual burn ban in NY to help mitigate wildfire season….

Low of 21. Tomorrow morning’s commute could be dicey in some areas.

We were on school trip in mid March in the early 1970s with t-shirt weather. Think it was near 80 felt like 100 to us after being in snow and cold.

If oil prices go up, it is a profit grab, ...not because of supply. Recent geological studies combined with advances in extraction technology have discovered that the U.S. and Canada have nearly 200 billion barrels of technically recoverable shale oil. One potential "real reason" for these quasi imperialistic military operations abroad is to choke-hold oil resources; in other words, a move to hegemony over the world. It's not necessarily because the U.S. even needs it ... but because like all acts of imperialism, the strategy is to control resources. China had been moving on Venezuela for some time to secure ... however they could imply ownership. Meanwhile, it just so happens to be ... China is the biggest export/foreign purchaser of Iran exports. It also just so happens to be, China is situated as the U.S.'s greatest potential competitor, if not adversary, in establishing world dominance - the primary ambition of the imperialist agenda. That's what the U.S. has become. some how. some way.

Records: Highs: EWR: 78 (1972) NYC: 72 (1972) LGA: 67 (2004) JFK: 64 (1985) Lows: EWR: 12 (1950) NYC: 9 (1891) LGA: 13 (1962) JFK: 12 (1980) Historical: 1846 - A great storm hit Virginia and the Carolinas. The storm caused half a million dollars damage, and in North Carolina drowned fifty families and a thousand cattle on Notts Island. (David Ludlum) 1927 - Raleigh, NC, was buried under 17.8 inches of snow in 24 hours, a record for that location. Nashville NC received 31 inches of snow. The average snow depth in the state of Carolina was fourteen inches. (The Weather Channel) 1927: Nor'easter high winds gusted to 62 mph at Cape Henry and 52 mph at Norfolk, VA. Heavy snow fell across North Carolina into Virginia and travel was delayed for two to three days. In Virginia Beach, high tide and heavy surf on March 2 inflicted considerable damage. The beaches in some places were washed back 50 feet and denuded of the overlying sand, exposing the clay beneath. (Ref. Virginia Weather History) 1975 - The governor's Tornado&puot; in Atlanta did considerable damage to the governor's mansion and surrounding areas resulting in three deaths and 56.5 million dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1983: An unusual warning to residents of Lake Tahoe, CA: they were advised not to go out cross country skiing as they might ski into power lines. The snow depth was an amazing 215 inches. A major coastal storm ripped out several hundred feet of the Santa Monica pier. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1985 - A massive winter storm struck the Northern Plains Region. The storm produced up to 33 inches of snow in northeastern South Dakota, at Summit and at Milbank, and also produced high winds which whipped the heavy snow into drifts twenty feet high. (Storm Data) 1987 - A storm in the northeastern U.S. produced heavy snow in Maine, with 16 inches reported at West Grand Lake and Guilford. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central U.S. A tornado at Baton Rouge LA injured two persons, and another tornado caused five million dollars damage at the airport in Lafayette LA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Snow and high winds plagued the western U.S. Up to 16 inches of snow was reported south of Seattle WA, and more than two feet of snow blanketed the Sierra Nevada Range of California. Winds gusted to 89 mph at Hidden Peak UT, and reached 92 mph at Peavine CA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Mild weather continued across the northern tier of states. Highs of 52 degrees at Saint Johnsbury VT, 63 degrees at Olympia WA, and 64 degrees at Seattle WA were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1996: Another East Coast snowstorm deposited 4.6 inches of snow at Central Park in New York City to bring its seasonal snowfall total to 66.3 inches, breaking the old season snowfall record of 63.2 inches set in 1947-48. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1998: Lead, SD sets record 9-day snowstorm with a total of 103 inches. (Bob Ryan's 2002 Almanac) 2001: Both Caribou and Bangor, ME set a new all-time March record low temperatures with -28 °F and -16 °F., respectively. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2005: Waterspouts were recorded in Redondo Beach in southern California. Pea size hail accumulated to a depth of one inch on Huntington Beach. 2012: The March 2 and 3, 2012, a deadly tornado outbreak occurred over a large section of the Southern United States into the Ohio Valley region. The storms resulted in 41 tornado-related fatalities, 22 of which occurred in Kentucky. Tornado-related deaths also occurred in Alabama, Indiana, and Ohio. The outbreak was the second deadliest in early March for the U.S. since official records began in 1950. Only the 1966 Candlestick Park tornado had a higher death toll for a tornadic system in early March. Click HERE for more information from the NWS Louisville, Kentucky.

Hard to get a more uniform snow distribution in New England 5 to 7 feet .

The GFS is very wet from the midwest into our area. We do need the rain though-still in moderate drought.

Already above freezing here. Not expecting anything here today. Maybe a little white rain and a high near 40. One thing that never rug pulls is heat. This upcoming heatwave was nailed by models weeks ago lol

80s are not common before 3/11 there…nevermind mid 80s. But yeah it usually ramps up mid month.

26 / 3 clouds pushing in. Coldest day of the next while today / tomorrow. Warm and wetter and plenty of cloudy days through Saturday. An inch of rain over the next 5 days with Thu/Fri the wettest. Ridge balloons into the east and peak of the warmth between March 8th - March 11th first 60s and 70s since October. By mid month its back towards normal.

We will see well below average temperatures both today and tomorrow before we see about a 10-day period of well above normal temperatures. We turn colder again around the 13th of March. Some southern areas could see some light snow developing this afternoon with snow spreading northbound across the rest of the area after 1am. Expect to see some Winter Weather Advisories issued later for many areas N and W of Philly. Any snow will change to freezing rain and then all rain by no later than about 10am on Tuesday. It could be a slippery commute in spots. For the rest of the week, we warm to well above normal temperatures with solid changes of needed rain for most days with the exception of Friday.

We will see well below average temperatures both today and tomorrow before we see about a 10-day period of well above normal temperatures. We turn colder again around the 13th of March. Some southern areas could see some light snow developing this afternoon with snow spreading northbound across the rest of the area after 1am. Expect to see some Winter Weather Advisories issued later for many areas N and W of Philly. Any snow will change to freezing rain and then all rain by no later than about 10am on Tuesday. It could be a slippery commute in spots. For the rest of the week, we warm to well above normal temperatures with solid changes of needed rain for most days with the exception of Friday.

not a torch; how bout a normal spring; 70s and high southwest winds don't do much for me. and they are always followed by cold damp periods...

33 degrees after near 70 yesterday. screwy weather, typical March.

Temporarily

at the end of each fishing season i have had it; am cursing the regulations, the east winds, the cold fronts, the offshore swells etc. but right now i am itching to get back into things.striper season is open though it is never too good in the spring anymore, and i might give some south jersey perch a whirl.

KIAD will be good to track as snow starts making it's way into the lower atmosphere. SPC shows some scattered FGEN at the 700mb level but better dynamics out west. Which, to be fair, I didn't think this would start so early.

Exactly. It’s like we forgot that this could happen. Then start thinking back to the good ol’ climate days… Recency bias. We were in a persistent cold spot like the one in your stagnant warm backyard pool that just needs to get mixed out or cooked by increasing sun angle

Problem is only 4 days hit 60 and 2 are rain and 1 cloudy lol. This is the extended TWC forecast.

Can’t get out of winter soon enough with energy prices spiking. Nat gas included…

'nough said,

heh..yeah, different discussion.