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Time to watch the gulf of mexico, maybe something stirring later this week, maybe some good rains this way?

Damn front went way to far south compared to the guidance was showing. Another underperformer here in the triangle. .30" yesterday .08" today.

Warm October = snowy winter

Well, there was a good amount of preexisting pack going into that one...I had a foot in Wilmington, and you probably had more down there. I don't think there was a secondary.....that was pure Miller A, although def. could have been some OES assist...it was a really cold storm.

Yeah Miller A's almost never work out near 100%/max for the south shore. Also iirc 1996 was a wild OES/OEH setup for the south coast, the storm had long passed but it was still snowing 1-3" /hr from S. Wey to TAN to nearly EWB for much longer than everyone. Wasn't there some secondary development/ Miller B-ish? Caught the edge of that persistent banding in N Attleboro/Mansfield, 33" depth iirc. Maybe I'm not rememering that one correctly

Miller B is ideal for his area and it isn't close.

Yet a couple of BN months in there including last one.

Blue is one of my favorite colors it's why I love clear blue skies!

This is a very good video on the El Nino-powered winter(ish) tornado forecast

#3 NESIS March 1960...you won't find that kind of 20"+ coverage that often in SNE. 31" at ACK for their all-time. Explain that! https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/snow-and-ice/rsi/nesis/19600302-19600305-8.77.jpg And as I mentioned, if snow measurements were consistent going way back, you;d be surprised at Miller A totals. esp. since their LEQ is usually higher. Recall many locations through the 1950s used to melt a snowfall down and then multiple by 10! As if all storms were 10:1? Given how ridiculously cold the Feb 1899 blizzard was, and the above? @CoastalWxneeds to adjust! And you exclude NNE and @dendrite. Very disappointing! Too much IMBY and relying on anecdotal snowstorm experience! Need to look outside the Weymouth/GHG/Brockton realm.

1963, 1964 and 1965 was some three year stretch we also had some great winters in the 60s, 1960-61, 1963-64 and 1966-67. Summer 1966 was pretty great too!! The early 2010s were sort of like that too, well from 2009-10 to 2010-11 and if you want to go back to the 1990s the period from 1993 to 1996 was also very similar. I have this new "lake" on the southeast side of my property surrounded by what I can only describe as a "clay pit" similar to the infamous La Brea tar pits in California that trapped various animals. I've gotten stuck in that clay pit on two different days I need to put markers up there. Yes I'm just glad this wet pattern happened in the back half of summer and not during the first half otherwise we'd be stuck with swarms of mosquitoes. Luckily the first freeze might be happening here next week! I'm going to try and post some fall foliage pictures here let's see if they go through.

Very early storms are rare here. Late season is a definite possibility though.

Brewers with an incredible win in the NLDS

172 net yards. 104 rushing, pathetic 68yrds passing will buy you a L every week. Beer, breakfast and the Birds next week vs the Jags...

Your team sure wins ugly. Probably a paper tiger, but they were my survivor pick this week so that worked out(barely).

One side effect of bottling the cold air source from the atmospheric pattern in the Pacific is an explosion in ice extent since the Equinox, already back up over (via tomorrow's update) 5.6m km², the highest since 2014 and an increase of 950k km in the last two weeks. Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

Some red maple today. Dries quick!

Meh...4-0

Big november snow also locks in a crappy winter. The big sample size of 1987 was used in my deep analysis.

Tomorrow will be mostly sunny with temperatures reaching the middle and upper 60s. A few locations could reach or exceed 70°. The mild weather will be short-lived, as much cooler air will poor into the region afterward. In its wake, New York City will see the temperature dip below 50° for the first time this season perhaps on Tuesday morning and then on Wednesday morning. Wednesday morning will be the coldest morning so far this season with the temperature tumbling into the middle and upper 40s in New York City and 30s in some distant outlying suburbs. The week will be dry. The next chance for precipitation could be Sunday or the following Monday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.1°C for the week centered around September 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.40°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.83°C. Both ENSO regions have set new all-time records. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -30.49 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.264 today.