All Activity

It’s been forecast to dry out though .. tonight’s action is developing nicely now.. think we all get an additional 2-4”, more out east.

I agree. We have nothing to lose. And if we can't have some fun on this board, I guess all we have left is a pile of bodies on Thursday night when the rug gets pulled and Sunday is 30° and partly cloudy. I won't start it, but I would honor whoever does (at least for the next 4 days)

My thinking is that we all should’ve known better than to fall for a handful of GFS/NAM runs but we did anyway. Outside of that I actually think today’s event was fairly well modeled. South/Central GA appeared to be the bullseye at a decent lead time and it proved true. That being said I’ll absolutely temper my expectations but if the EuroAI/Euro/EPS are all in as we move forward then there ain’t gonna be no stopping my excitement lol.

Flurries

I'll have a number 20 please. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Good to hear. Flaccid rates and still a mix here.

Light snow 35.4

Tell cranky it’s an inverted trough up here.

Same here!!

steady snow now, starting to stick to roads

You were about to use the B word weren't you?

Just looking at 12z and wow....not gonna lie tho, the Euro AI has me very nervous. @Holston_River_Ramblermentioned yesterday, when it locks in it tends to tick back to the NW ever so slowly..that would put the southern border counties of TN right under the gun for ice not snow. Next 12-24hrs will tell alot for that model.

Minus middle tn?

Looking at the radar drying out here in Western CT, I bet we underperform with this last wave. 1-2 inches hopefully, but still no complaints, looks and feels like winter out there. After the last burst of snow, our total for the first round was 1.7". Storm total, 6.1"... Good luck out to the east, hopefully an overperformer coming your way

Central Park already has a half and inch and is forecasted to get 1 to 3 more.

20 looks like a Washington-Jefferson blizzard redux...yes please Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Flurries in Arlington & DC.

Here’s AIFS ensembles (which has been cleaning up in verification). MSLP mean is slightly south of the op aifs low position, by maybe 50 miles. But better clustering to the NW of the mean position

Columbia 3pm: some very tiny flakes in the air now. Temp down in last hour from 35.3 to 34.4.

Great explanation. I agree with localized exceptions, but more spread out throughout the area. A blossoming precious shield from coastal development usually has some nice localized banding.

The Euro would be a devastating ice storm from Ark to SC

https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/StormReports/January302010.pdf

The Cooks ball was a catch. Caught, controlled, and knee down. It was rigged 100%

This turned out to be a nice little event IMBY. The snow fell at a decent rate for around an hour. This, along with the temperature quickly dropping below freezing, allowed for a light accumulation. Currently sitting at 31.6°/29.3°.

You’re actually saying this to me? Just saying what it shows. Could see it coming this morning. Now I’m just hoping I can get solidly into my 2-4 call.