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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I recall the 'omega' or omega quasi loading in the models going back 10 days though. The Euro heat,..not so much. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If this is correct, we would smash the current RONI record (1982-83) by an entire degree. It would also smash the traditional ONI record…. -
I actually saw some sun yesterday at my son's baseball tournament in Columbia.
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ineedweenies is getting that tingly feeling in his nether regions...
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Right now is pretty close to flawless. If we were to break top 10ing down to the hour, this is a top 1 or 2 hour out of the year right now as we type and read.
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This weekend is likely more just showers versus a widespread steadier rain. There will probably be a narrow axis, however, where there is some steadier/heavier rain but that will likely be confined to somewhere in NNE.
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No one wants an hour less of sunlight in the evenings in the summer with that scenario. Sunset in NYC would be at 7:30 vs 8:30pm.
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Morning discussion from GYX noted 0°C or colder 850s and the possibility of some graupel and/or snow at elevations this weekend. Sunny 70s here today.
- Today
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Driest spring of all time and the second we hit Memorial Day weekend it's non-stop waves of showers and thunderstorms. We've been under a Flood Watch in Atlanta for close to 48 hours now with more to come. Washed out of both days of our first tournament weekend of the summer and looks like it'll be a repeat next weekend. At least there should be some decent improvement on the drought monitor when it comes out.
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Doesn't seem all that wet next weekend per the P&C...
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I remember January 1974..I was in my classroom taking a final at it was pitch black at 830am..Is that more sunshine?. I think it's hard for people to get up for work and school in darkness. And the kids at the bus stops?..is it safe in the dark?..Now going All Standard time might work if you don't want to change the clock at all.
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.26 with the morning surprise...heading out west today glad i won't return to dead grass plants.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I believe it. It was such a slow light soaking long duration event that there was virtually no runoff, ground just ate it all up. Grass and shrubbery have to be loving it. I know people didn't love it because of its timing over Memorial Day weekend, but it really was a pretty unique late May weather stretch. It didn't really bother me at all. -
2026 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Just had a round of torrential rain that lasted about half hour here in the Valley. -
summer for next 2 days..then April/early may returns for a week? Been a brutal stretch for the torch crew
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If my math is correct, I’ve cut the drought in half at my location over this past week.
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71° now off a min of 48.3°
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Big time totals.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
All of the wet weather and the Susky is barely flinching in response. Total rise in Marietta looks to be about a foot, and some 10' below flood stage. One of the testaments of how dry it's been over the long haul. -
Per Cocorahs reports, Henderson and surrounding counties have been hit with very heavy rains in the aggregate during the 96 hours ending at 7AM today! 5/22-3: 5/23-4: 5/24-5: 5/25-6:
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I am hoping the weekend rain mostly stays south at this point
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah, the PDO was able to be positive during the 1995-1996 weak La Niña winter. This weak La Niña winter had the ridges and troughs in the same general locations. But notice how the ridges this winter were so much stronger leading to the much warmer CONUS and less snowy outcome than 1995-1996. We can see the ridge extension to the east of a Japan during DJF preventing the PDO from going positive. Plus the more volatile NAO these days didn’t allow the -NAO to persist into the spring like we had back in 1995-1996. So March turned out to be a reversion to the warmer and less snowy 2020s mean. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No it wasn't. It was clear as day that January would be +PNA at several months lead time if you knew what to look for.
