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Overriding warm air I’d suspect meeting up with the northern stream vort to the north and storm gliding by south.

Ya I mean 90% we all lose the pack this week pike south. I’ve accepted this for about 5 days now

all of college sports is ridiculous now. You see 4500 players entered the transfer portal today? It's not sustainable.

Yeah, but that little 998 acts like a kicker to keep things moving and us on the right side of the gradient. But yeah, your map is nicer.

All ensembles look very good day 10-15. We are all just a bit jaded bc “when have we said that before” .. It’s time to really cash in with a good look. South of pike has to go through an ugly 4-6 days. Hopefully Pike north can cash in or at least hold the pack.

This setup would end up mostly rain for the majority of our region.

33.6 for the high today

Euro has snow showers around overnight and again Monday AM.

january 15th KU potential? a day or two before or after! Get ready!

Snowed in on the Tug Hill. Boy... do i have a story for when I get home. I've witnessed nearly 8' of snow since Wednesday.

Wait...I thought you said this morning that you didn't like that look

Well, not exactly. What I want is a shortwave riding the thermal boundary with cold HP to the NW pressing southward, not a goddamn 998 LP over the Great lakes lol. This-

Anyways end of EPS looks nice imo. Lingering cold with a flexing Deep South/SE ridge. I’ll take my chances.

Below is the 2025 Climate Summary for Chester County PA

Not my first rodeo. "leaning below" I know I've ranted on these maps before, but I just always find them funny. I know what they're trying to imply, but they separate the probs into 3 categories (BN, N, AN) and slap a probability on each one and shade with whichever one is the highest. So they shade us in 40-50% probability of BN which translates to 50-60% (higher) chance of not BN.

I thought I was the one having painkillers. Open bar happy hour in CT it seems.

Below is the 2025 Chester County PA Climate Summary

What is wrong with CT?

Im good with it as long as no one starts a Storm thread outside of 5 days that's grounds for therapy.

Count me as not skeptical at all. Winter has had a great start. We will get our snow when cold fronts stall just to our south and east and waves of low pressure move up along them. We are already ahead of the pace of most recent winter seasons on snowfall and look to continue the pace by mid January. As I previously noted, there's a strong cold front which was timed for January 12th and is now timed for Jan 10th or 11th. Patience. WX/PT

They obviously think cold east outside of the Deep South and warm west.

Has anyone EVER seen them issue those maps with any of the grey shading for an increased probability of "near normal"? I can't recall ever seeing it. Instead we get that boring 33/33/33% of equal chances.

50-60% chance of near normal to above. Sweet.

He is dead nuts right. Can I suggest sunscreen and a big floppy hat?

Subforum on edge