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Yeah I think South Plainfield must be close to 3 inches of rain. I'm close to the border of South Plainfield so this heavy just barely missed me a few miles to the east.
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The heavy rain area is just sitting over North Edison to South Plainfield - Flash Flood Warning FFW from KPHI
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Yeah just some very slow odd movement with these storms in our area. If I was just a few miles to the east I would have gotten a lot of rain. Still it was just enough to give things a watering here.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We may not start to get a better idea about things until the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitude 500 mb pattern actually couples with the El Niño. This continues to be a strong -PDO 500 mb pattern which has translated into the drop in the SST PDO and the near record ridge north of Hawaii. Have never seen the Southern Hemisphere so fully coupled with the El Niño standing wave while the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes are so out of sync. I will compare the VP charts for July in early August against previous super events when JMA posts them. My only guess is that the standing wave appears to be centered more to the south of the equator than usual. But not really sure since we haven’t seen this disparity with the summers of 2023, 2015, 1997, 1982, and 1972. Perhaps the pattern will slowly begin to shift in the Northern Hemisphere to more of a standard Nino look in the next few months. -
Yep and I was consistently on the western edge of it so not too much rain here. Starting to see some sun in the western sky. A quarter inch is about going to do it here.
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Another boring event . A narrow zone may get 3-6” and a few cars get stuck for an hour . Riveting -
Yes. Some close one’s.
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yes and the cells over Raritan to Bridgewater just dissipated and looked like on radar the cell over you grabbed all the energy to reform over northern middlesex
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It just drifted north over me. Suns out but still torrential downpour
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CTG lightning ??
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That cell popped up almost on top of me, but I was on the western edge of it. So not too bad here -- mostly moderate rain with some low end heavy rain for a little while. I saw a few lightning strikes a few miles to my east. 0.20" here so far. Still some moderate rain coming down but it's almost over. Looking forward to see a lot more rain tomorrow.
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Ripping here in rockland. Heavy rain and loud thunder.
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Just dumping rain. Briefly had some 50 mph gusts
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
It was not an obvious tornado day either, and in fairness to the forecast, that appears to be the only high-end tornado event today. (Yes, there was more widespread wind damage). It unfortunately got its act together in a very populated area. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well I can at least say with high confidence that it won't be a DJFM <-60dm anomaly in the N. Pacific. In these different times, analogs only go so far (our historical database is somewhat limited to larger cycles). It will certainly be interesting to see what goes on in the N. Pacific this Fall/Winter with the SOI as a top-5 negative event since the 1800s. The SOI being positive relative to ENSO was correlating with -PNA, but now that's not the case this year. -
Cloud to ground lightning strikes with that one
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Poor guy -
OK now its here
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I also enjoyed the relatively cool summer. The winter that followed proved to be fantastic.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Very loud thunder with this one. Like a mile to my south Gotta be major flooding in the Colonia north edison area
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S tier shelf along the lake
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Looks like an at least EF-3 hit Appleton, WI
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.10" here, north side of town .37
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Cherry picking.
