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I’m disappointed I wanted to get a good soaking rain out of this.

Watch entire gfs run... it comes north after Bermuda area and seems to be deciding where to go.. north east should be watching in case this becomes a thing.

I'm happy to see some nice dry weather. The area has had plenty of rain. We have months of rainy weather incoming. Let's enjoy some sunny, low dews, fall weather. Great for hiking and checking out the fall color. I'm glad this system is headed out to sea. I can live without humid, swampy weather all week, again.

Actually can't believe we have another category 5. And in the same place Erin was. The amount of cat 5's we've had since 2016 has been mind boggling. I think we might just be normalized to it now but having cat 5's in this part of the atlantic is insane.

If this were winter there would’ve been 10 pages of weenie crashout preceding this.

And so what? Growing season is coming to an end and it hasn't been bone dry over the past month or so (for most). Is what it is. Would you rather it be dry in the Fall, or Jan into Feb?

It certainly doesn't help that on the other side many of the so called proponents of climate change science are constantly saying the world will end next week or that they draft legislation turning what is purely a scientific matter into some type of racial justice issue. It makes the very real and solid science behind climate change look foolish and ridiculous.

If this were winter the screeching from Ji would be unreal.

It's a pending La Nina, so. . .

Is that before or after the mid January heat wave?

Guy I know just sold his extra ticket for $900. Which is $599 cheaper than any online vendor right now Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

I suspect that public understanding is undermined more by social media influencers, such as the one highlighted in the below example. These influencers typically have no climate expertise and have no climate research record as per literature searches, but regularly and confidently contradict the literature, much of which they have never read much less understand. Today, social media is increasingly a growing number of people's first choice for information. Mainstream science is actually quite cautious in its pronouncements and often notes caveats e.g., the role of internal variability. Nevertheless, bad faith social media influencers misrepresent and distort those findings to their audiences, most of whom have no inclination to actually go to the literature for the facts.

Around September 18th.

The wrong part of the pacific is warm

How we looking?

Snowing in Alaska

Cant take the models seriously anymore past 5 days

You misunderstand, you mentioned that it could go dry for a time and I mentioned that models show nothing after today until around the 11th and given how far out that is it's fantasy range. Budding niña autumn plus a monster high pressure ridge means very little in the way of rain. Given our luck these past few years these ridges are self sustaining and can park themselves over us for weeks. Like October into November of last year, there was zero rain accumulation for exactly 5 weeks.

The IR almost looks like a copypasta of Dorian.

when did this warm stretch begin Don, the 20th?

How long since you have had rain? Hasn't been rainless everywhere in our region. Again, summer mode means convection which means hit or miss. I have had a little over 3" for the month here. If it goes dry for a couple weeks given we will be in October, no big deal for me. I can water the new grass, which is the only concern.

more than ever.

Gfs is further offshore

Gfs is further offshore