All Activity

I didnt love the long range EPS--seemed a bit warmer. Trough was deeper on west coast. Not a shutout pattern but this would favor 40N more i think

Ah..ya I mean there's a small chance. But I wouldn't be excited about anything attm.

Yeah kinda gross. I would only eat that if he never touched it.

12z GEPS are also kind amped, which I hadn't looked at. Still much doubt on this one until more OPs get on the board, and the AIs.

several CT posters have been going wild for that coming back NW

It has been warm 2 of the last 3 trips out there. Was enjoying 60 degree afternoons last week, sure I love snow, but that was a weird place to get relief from our subzero wind chill days.

We've recently seen the EPS be on in island in the 96-120 hr range, and it didn't end up well.

whos excited, aside from the strawman

Someone needs to trim their nails.

Slow cave

New Hampshire and Maine ski areas could definitely use it.

Models definitely want to warm things for several days. If you consecutive days for everybody in the 40s or more in the warm spots. Cold seems to reload in Canada later on in the runs though. Hopefully get some late month fun. Also not a lot of precipitation next 7-10 days.

that's what folks are excited about?? lol

Reggie ticked lighter with QPF but still aggressive here.

Was on a 10 month contract out there for United Launch Alliance and flew every week. Kinda silly in hindsight, though a lot of times I would just stay there through the weekend or travel somewhere else. Summertime is pretty cool there…the mountains become bike parks. Wish I was into mountain biking at the time.

DT, who has been on the cold and snowy train in the east since November, vehemently disagrees that arctic cold is coming back the last week of this month into early March. He does however, leave the door open for a possible change back to cold around mid-March “* **US GRAIN WX ALERT *** MAJOR PATTERN CCHANGE UNDER WAY ACROSS NORTH AMERICA End to the arctic air mass out breaks Feb 15-28 Much wetter pattern for the Plains & Midwest Although there continues to be considerable talk and speculation about a Polar Vortex disruption occurring in late FEN/ early March it needs to be pointed out that not every PV disruption means an arctic outbreak in the Central and Eastern CONUS. There seems to be this General obsession with this idea which is based on East Coast winter snowstorm sexual fantasies are not based on science. I think the idea of a late February pattern flip back to severe cold with additional Arctic air mass outbreaks is extremely unlikely. And that might also be the case for early March. IMAGE [emoji637] = the latest projections from 3 different models on the MJO. As you can see all three models show a rather strong MJO that moves through phases 3 4 and 5 over the next two weeks. And it is clearly implies that the MJO is headed for Phase 6. IMAGE[emoji638] = temperature anomalies in FEB when the MJO anomalies are in phases 3 4 and 5. As you can see in Phases 4 and 5, temperatures above normal or much above east of the Mississippi River. And if we get into Phase 6 in February… well the temperature profile shows an exceptional warmth across the eastern US. IMAGE [emoji639] precipitation anomalies when the MJO is in Phase 3 4 and 5 in FEB. As you can see it is a much wetter pattern for the Midwest and the East Coast in general. Given the extremely dry winter having a much wetter pattern as we head towards Spring is essential and very important . IMAGE [emoji640] = The North America weather regime forecast from Simon Lee over in the UK. This forecast calls for a Pacific Ridge pattern to dominate North America starting February 12/13 and continuing into the middle of March. This is NOT a good pattern for those wanting a late season cold air outbreak in late February or early March over the eastern US. It is however an excellent pattern if you are into farming as this kind of pattern will produce either normal or above normal rainfall for the plains the Midwest and the Deep South finally I am NOT ruling out the idea of a March reversal. Indeed some of the MJO models show it moving back into Phase 7 / 8 in mid-March. The weekly models are also showing a colder pattern across the Eastern conus with the return of high latitude blocking in Greenland and some kind of Ridge trying to reform in western Canada and the Rockies. but that is a long way away.”

You guys have the December 00s and the March 17s to boost you. Those just kill this area.

Still looks like a 3-5" event up here, Been nothing since 01/26.

Longitude obv plays a role too. New England is unique in that it sticks out into the Atlantic. So eastern areas have easier access to a large moisture source to their south and east. But latitude def matters too. But I’d agree in the monsters that longitude might be more important.

I know you’re a hater but very smart, but what are you trying to accomplish by insulting people? .

Lol boulder is pretty cool. Colorado is tough to beat, but so is being able to take a day drive to the ocean.

1-3 spot 4 . Let’s see what Reggie says

He’s SW of me. Most of the discrepancies from ‘15 and then in Jan of 22 had nothing to do with latitude though. It was eastern developers and late bloomers and such.

Still hoping to hit 2” here in NW MA.

We are used to those here in the upper Valley.