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It’s crazy how the dry air really allows temps to take off during the day and of course, drop off just as fast in the evening when the sun sets. Reminds me of the first half of April.

pretty good storm for ACK, and that's about it. The overall pattern isn't terrible and hopefully something develops, and is more trackable than the Erin crap

Without a doubt! I was reading a couple postings recently that mentioned how the females actually leave first, then the males and finally the juveniles. But I’m still seeing a good number of all types so maybe they’ve yet to make the journey south. Either way, I’m leaving mine up until the last stragglers head on out, especially if this month is mostly mild.

18z GFS tried to be fun

Thursday night rain better come true. If not I might got 6 weeks with .1” total.

100 degrees in British Columbia

That's all we got. Steintember

We PHX

Yeah I was looking at Euro AI, op looks like crap besides NW. Hopefully WNE/CNE/NNE gets something.

Not in SNE . Forcing and dynamics all north. Pattern has flipped to wetter NNE

I went to Bear Mountain last year and drove on 7 Lakes Drive and it looked like crap

I do like that Canada is cold. That killed our 23-24 Nino

The colors on the usual suspects (sugar maples, etc) are beginning to show. It’s quite noticeable and several weeks ahead of normal. It’s been right at 40 last few mornings. Do leaves respond more to reduced sunlight or temp?

gfs/ggem more W/NW timing for Saturday, Euro op timing is really good for most though. I'm interested. Hodos look more straight than a few days ago, though...was hoping for a few sups with the better dynamics and wind field

60kt microburst with .06" rain. ha

More NNE. Let’s end Brian’s drought with his roof blown off.

Wispy Steinrrus

Four Seasons Winter, Spring, Summer 2024-2025 scoring 12 pts to winner, 10 down to 1 point for rest of field, and 1 point for all entrants with at least 2 of 3 contests entered. (said I would add this to annual scoring, it may eventually get moved there but for your current interest I have posted it today ... annual leader Tom had a low score in Dec 2024 which explains how this is closer than the points contest for annual 2025) ____________________________ winter ___________ spring _________ summer________ FORECASTER _____________TOTAL __pts___TOTAL _pts __ Jun Jul Aug_ TOTAL _pts __ TOTAL Points ___ Consensus ___________ 1771 __ 9.7 ____ 1767 ___7.4 __ 760 788 540 _ 2088_ 10 ___27.1 Tom _______________________1417 ___ 1 _____ 2053 __ 12 ____788 780 586 _ 2154 __12 ___ 25 so_whats_happening ______1662 ___ 8 ____ 1805 ___ 8 ____ 724 774 540 _ 2038 _ 8 ____24 Don Sutherland1 __________ 1587 ___ 5 _____1733 ___ 6 ____ 742 774 572 _ 2088 _ 10 ____21 Scotty Lightning __________ 1542 ___ 4 _____1741 ___ 7 ____ 766 758 528 _ 2052 _ 9 ____ 20 RJay ______________________ 1703 ___ 9 ____ 1689 ___ 5 ____ 758 746 468 _ 1972 _ 5 ____ 19 StormchaserChuck _______ 1328 ___ 1 _____1953 ___10 ____ 718 724 568 _ 2010 _ 7 ____ 18 BKViking __________________1805 __ 12 ____ 1621 ____ 4 ____ 692 --- --- ___ 692 _ 0 ____ 16 hudsonvalley21 ____________1532 ___ 3 ____ 1933 ___ 9 ____ 740 758 452 _ 1950 _ 4 ____ 16 wxallannj __________________1800 __ 10 ____ 1561 ____ 3 ____732 728 446 _ 1906 _ 2 ____ 15 wxdude64 ________________ 1653 ___ 7 _____ 1436 ___ 1 ____ 724 746 510 _ 1980 _ 6 ____ 14 Roger Smith _______________ 1617 ___ 6 _____ 1368 ___ 1 ____ 686 800 394 _ 1880 _ 1 ____ 8 RodneyS __________________ 1488 ___ 2 _____1474 ____ 2 ___ 648 640 650 _ 1938 _ 3 ____ 7 ___ Normal _______________ 1387 ___ 1 _____ 1440 ____1 ____ 612 616 550 _ 1778 _ 1 ____ 3 (Yoda 542 Aug) ___________________________ Several with a chance of winning this in the last seasonal addition at end of NOV.

Same split first two days of month, 78/56 . Now 12 straight days with no measurable rain.

Got mine done over the weekend. Hope the well holds up during the stein

Should be a wild day

Fairly good agreement on a trough over the Eastern Conus in modeling in agreement with the overall troughy pattern that has been established, leads to higher than normal confidence in a recurve