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I know…. Agreed. Not really into this one tonight. Whatever it does, it does.

I don't really recall the storm but looks like I recorded 6

Arctic air certainly provides margin for error...the great equalizer.

its the whole county bro...eastern and western(where we live)

And I can say so are you. But I understand what you mean. Ya it was tough to pull that out, but we did, so that adds to the flavor of this season for me…so imo she delivered.

What are you seeing? I am not seeing anything for our area outside a possible few flakes. I see the UK crushes to the east. I am getting vibes of 2021. We had a great Dec and January then winter stopped here by early February while other areas had great rest of winter.

Yep, your typical Miller B with the sharp cutoff where it screws you after developing too late. The day before that Feb 2017 storm was very warm, and I think it started very briefly as rain or no accumulating snow in Long Beach but very quickly started pounding and sticking everywhere.

Not a bad point here. It's not a zero-sum gain. We threaded the needle in a sense during that Jan 25th event. Perhaps sort of skewing that toward being less obvious, it was just so ginormous. One might not be inclined to think of that system thatt way when there were ongoing multi-regional scaled simultaneous impacts. It's like yeah, it threaded the needle but the needle's eye was size of a galaxy. ha! Anyway, fast flow in and of itself doesn't mean no storms. It's more of timing, and also a spatially constraining factor. There can be fast moving bombs, just less likely observed. There can be big sprawling events, as Jan 25 demoed rather nicely... but over the long haul, we're more likely to observe narrower corridor impact ... if intense, briefer. The compression can damp out events ... but we shouldn't think of the fast flow that happens in compression as really being the cause.

You’re stating the obvious. Events happen, I get it…you can’t cherry pick and subtract them out. I’m just playing the parallel universe hypothetical game. My point is that it’s tough to pull something that big and widespread in the middle of -10s anomalies. It can happen (miller B etc) but usually that spells clippers or cold and dry.

I was effing with you. I have no idea. This event is kind of strange

The February 2017 event was a very sharp cutoff. Those south of Philly got next to nothing. Almost like the 2013 storm. The March 14, 2017 event was more widespread. Upstate New York added to one of their most snowy seasons on record, while it saved the season for Philly, and even Baltimore/DC cashed in for a few months (though they still ended up with ~3 inches of snow for the whole season).

Ya..not expecting much. Maybe an inch.

It’s all good and fun. Whatever boys. Imo it’s been a good year already. If we pick up some more, even better. I’m out on this.

PSU vs WarmChaserChuck!! Hahahaha -just messin Chuck love reading stuff from both of you!

CC is gonna tickle the sleet line near Wolfie tonight. Too bad.

Good times ahead…when folks are able to express their thoughts freely without being threatened by the board police.

STFU.

If my uncle were a girl, she’d be my aunt. I mean c’mon…I get what you’re saying, but we didn’t miss the big one. So it’s a mute point. Yes, if we did, sure we’d be way down. But we didn’t. And yes, that changed things, as most of the time one system can herd in SNE. Take away January 27th 2015, and a lot of eastern areas would be 30-35” less in 14-15. It still would have been a very good year, but that was huge.

I sense an aptitude deficit...you would think Cornell would have better prepared you.

I don't think March will be warm, but we'll see. I agree we are going to warm up beforehand, though.

This looks like a nuisance, if that here, maybe an inch if we are lucky

Yeah that 1/25 storm would’ve tried to cut into BUF with that flow buckling out in the Rockies …good thing we had that faster flow to keep it south of us.

Definitely worth watching some more! Between now and Thursday, models should sway either one way or another. If there's going to be a wintry side somewhere, I'd feel good about western border counties through central western VA, also any ice potential could go as far south as 40 in the heart of the CAD areas. I think we will see some model agreement over the next few days. What was interesting on that Euro run vs last night is the low pressure was quite a bit stronger and further north but definitely more wintry looking. It will be interesting to see what the next 48 hrs trends are. Also, on this run you can see the high pressure stayed more anchored in the Northeast-Eastern Canada and the low pressure above the Great lakes kind of died out a little bit.

You’ve been on a roll the last couple days. Tough to keep up with which models people are justifying their snow with these days

We’re going to have a big CC discussion on Friday the 13th when Wolfie leaves for Frenchy ville.