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What a disaster

We just had 2-3

That’s cool ? lol. All AN

You can see the smoke in the air in the pic i took at last night's Tigers/Cubs game.

Not insane rates, but a steady heavy rain. The next few hours look pretty wet.

Yeah it was borderline for me. A few higher on the dews and it would’ve been tough sleeping. The window fan was enough though. I’ve been waiting for warmth for a half year so I’m embracing it and taking it all in.

Models overdoing heat the last few years has been a JOKE. in 2023 there were like 6-7 times the gfs had Detroit at like 106-108°. And im not talking day 16, im talking day 7-10. For reference, the hottest temp on record is 105° (1934). The end result is that 2023 was the first year since 1915 where Detroit didn't eclipse 90°.

I recall that username, messenger. Sorry to hear he passed. 2004-05 was an excellent winter here. One of the rare times when we both got slammed from the same storm (Jan 22-23). The most annoying thing about that winter was a handful of bad measurements at DTW; they ended up with 64" and I had 80". There's always the occasional storm you question, but that was the last winter I really was unhappy with DTW measurements (I know with nyc that's every year ). There were a few events that had razor cutoff so I did get more than them anyway, but id estimate they were really in the low 70s.

After a month on a road trip I am hoping to catch some storms today. I missed the good ones in NC in the last few weeks.

I haven't installed either although to be fair I spent the night at the girlfriend's house on Thursday night. Probably would have installed if I was at my house.

Air quality is terrible again.

already lost November

Have you tried the ultrasonic repellents? I know they have solar ones now.

The line doing a split here, nothing unusual with that. Happens a lot. Meanwhile, I would not be surprised to see some peaks of sun here based on the currentl satellite animation. Clouds are zipping along.

I can’t believe we got through a five hour outdoor wedding in Beverly last night without a drop of rain. Five hours of open bar with top shelf liquor!

Yea, I thought we could see a modest warm ENSO late last winter, but have since backed off of that.

December 7th and winter is over

Agree that 100+ days are not increasing locally, but average summer temperatures are. Below are monthly temperature trends for the Philadelphia airport (PHL) and for Coatesville, Chester County in the far N+W burbs from 1970 to 2024. As you say the winters are warming the fastest, but all months are warming. Added a chart for philadelphia airport average summer high temperature. Summer highs are increasing, although nights are warming the fastest as expected with GHG.

My confidence is increasing in at least a cold-neutral, possible weak La Niña forming this summer/fall. It looks like a rather substantial -IOD is taking shape. That along with the -PMM, and -PDO is a red flag

you'll get a day or two here and there.. but for the most part looks pretty comfortable

66/63 is warm and humid now? wheres all these 70 plus dews for days and days? and a record summer you were talking about last week?

Yeah I agree. Not installed here and we’ll be good for awhile longer.

I'm fortunate to have opossums and turkeys, which also eat them.

Moderate rainfall in Mahwah.

I'm not arguing that the active jet isn't inhibiting snowfall opportunities, or that forecasters shouldn't be mindful of it. My point it that it wasn't the only reason we didn't see a large east coast snowstorm last year. That said, I also think the jet plays a role making it more difficult to get a well placed PNA ridge. Its both.