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  2. The 4 Seasons
    so what happens now
  3. mahantango#1
    31 was the low this morning with frost.
  4. mahantango#1
  5. anotherman
    Celtics pulled all starters with 8 minutes left. I’m a Sixers fan but that is bizarre. Never seen it in an elimination game. Forget that, I’ve never seen it in a playoff game. They have quit in the 4th quarter in the last two games.
  6. PhiEaglesfan712
    PHL finishes April with average temperature 58.7 (4.2 degrees above 1991-2020 average and 4.7 degrees above the 1981-2010 average). This is the 4th warmest April on record.
  7. PhiEaglesfan712
    PHL finishes April with average temperature 58.7 (4.2 degrees above 1991-2020 average and 4.7 degrees above the 1981-2010 average). This is the 4th warmest April on record.
  8. PhiEaglesfan712
    We had a great blocking pattern for about a few weeks in January, right around the time of the snowstorm.
  9. Today
  10. so_whats_happening
    Sorry there is a gap around the 8th of April TAO never updated for me
  11. CoastalWx
    Meh weekend but M-W (Wed more east) looks good.
  12. snowman19
    Completely agree with you. That model is playing catch up big time. It just made a huge jump in one run to a super El Niño, starting to match all the other guidance. That map makes zero sense. You are going to have a raging STJ on roids screaming across the south….solar irradiance, the south isn’t going to be warm in that setup. I expect it to make massive changes in the next few months
  13. WxUSAF
    Starting May in the 30s!
  14. Voyager
    Ended up with another .11" from last nights little rain event. Sitting at 36 this morning, so perhaps a light frost in colder areas closer to sunrise.
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    Pretty good lagged time correlation between a Solar Max and ENSO cycle (El Nino after Solar max, La Nina after Solar min) 0-time is very slight correlation +1year is stronger +2years is stronger! ^Not a bad correlating map between ENSO and the Solar Cycle there, 73 years of data
  16. mahantango#1
  17. mahantango#1
  18. mahantango#1
  19. Stormchaserchuck1
    It looks like NOAA adjusted October 2024 and July 2025's PDO numbers down slightly. I believe Oct 24 was -3.85, now it's -3.24, and I think July 2025 was <-4, now it's -3.83 March 2026 has been adjusted from -1.44 to -1.2
  20. WinterWolf
    Yup. Folks like Greta, Al Gore and the like…all silly morons. Al Gore now saying an ice age coming in 25 yrs. 20 yrs ago he said no more snow. WTTTE.
  21. Spartman
    CPC sticks a fork in May this year
  22. WinterWolf
    Wow…didn’t know a chicken would eat a little frog like that. Did the chicken eat it? Or just kill it? Interesting.
  23. BlizzardWx
    You are right that it should be that way, but my suspicion is that the NOAA numbers are so low because its imbalanced. But yes, I don't know that, just a theory.
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    CPC is disregarding it completely, but their seasonals have not been better than C+/B- grade as you and I have assessed, over the last 15 years.
  25. Stormchaserchuck1
    My understanding of the PDO is that it's a 50/50 index. They have it as one area vs another area. Unless AGW is targeting an area specifically - which it is probably not on that scale, it still holds value as you could just as likely see the Gulf of Alaska and West Coast of America have warm water as Japan has seen in recent years. In the 2014-2016 +PDO blip, those other areas did become record warm.
  26. BlizzardWx
    One thing to keep in mind with the PDO is that depending on how you calculate it, it's not necessarily balanced. By that I mean that the main area east of Japan, depending on how you calculate it, can be both larger in area and have a stronger weighting than the half ring around it. This matters, particularly in a warming climate. As warm conditions everywhere can bias the PDO calculation negative for these reasons. In fact I think this already happens with the NOAA calculation. My page and the WCS seem to handle this a bit better but likely not adequately. @bluewavehas talked about how the PDO is becoming less useful with time and this is part of the reason why.
  27. Rjay
    May DCA: -1.5 NYC: -1.5 BOS: -1.5 ORD: -1.8 ATL: 0.0 IAH: +2.0 DEN: +3.5 PHX: +2.5 SEA: +2.0
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