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Been pretty cloudy here all morning

that's called the "fuck you" grass. as in: fuck you, we can grow where you don't want us to, but can't grow where you need us.

Up to 76 but an area of clouds rolling through now more sunny

66/47°F under clear skies.

Anyone ever play The Ranch in Southwick, MA?

The answer was mostly straight holes with well positioned bunkers and tricky greens. The drought impacting northern New England hit the course hard as only thing green was the greens. A bullet tee shot would roll for ever to the point it felt like a 350 yd hole was drivable.

Last actual KU for the mid atlantic was February 2021 then. For SNE it was Jan 2022. I doubt a KU happens next winter, or even a widespread 10" event from philly to nyc. Boston is a different climo they can get 10" storms even in bad winters.

I guess I am talking about widespread 20"+....

Anything above 6" is KU material for central park now lmfao. Central park has not gotten a 6" event since January 2022.

Boston and eastern MA largely missed out on that event and it turned to heavy rain for the New York City area for a time. But even with a swath of 10"-20" snows, that event wasn't a high-end KU storm. It was a Category 3 event on the NESIS scale.

I guess that is KU material for you guys, but certainly not something I would consider high-end.

Highest snowfall that year for me was 14” if I remember correctly

2013-2014 also didn't have any higher end KU events if I am not mistaken....perhaps I am, not sure. But I know for my area, there were no really memorable events, which are tougher to achieve without a well placed PNA ridge. It's much easier to get more moderate snowfalls, which is mostly what we saw. Anyway, like I said...no absolutes. You don't absolutely NEED the PNA to cooperate...you can still time everything perfectly, but it's just much tougher.

It's much easier to have east coast winter weather in general without an active PAC jet...I'm not arguing it's favorable. But it's not the only reason the east coast has been struggling. The pattern has sucked. We did manage a -WPO in 2021-2022.

Much easier to get a strong -WPO with a relaxed Pacific Jet not constantly eroding the ridge.

That was one of the most severe -WPO seasons on record. Like I said, nothing operates in a vacuum and there are no absolutes. Lets look at the following year....we must really want an extraordinarily +AO/NAO than.

Not impossible to get a long-term drought, but not too likely given the convergence of storm tracks in our area.

The ridge axis was centered just off the West Coast during the 13-14 winter on the wettest storm days for NYC leading to that much snowier outcome than last winter. But the Pacific Jet was significantly weaker. So it allowed the 500mb ridge to remain in place and not get weakened and undercut by such a fast Pacific Jet. The lack of kickers coming into the West Coast during 13-14 with the weakened Pacific Jet allowed the colder storm track just southeast of NYC with numerous BM redevelopers. The Southeast ridge was much weaker and further east than recent years. 18 storm days for NYC DJF 13-14 with .20+ of precipitation

I’m not sure a true long term drought that would lead to widespread water restrictions like out west is possible with our changing climate. So many ways we can get drenched from a one off deluge or generally ways we can get rain. Our long term precip averages have been going up with our temps.

Looking to do more power today than yesterday. Threw in last year to compare. And this is with one Micro Inverter not reporting. New one is on its way.

SAL has eased up, which will give a window for the new system coming off of Africa to develop in a few days. It is currently at 0% in next 48, but increases to 40% in next 7 days. Even with that, it looks like it will be a fish storm, if it develops. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&basin=atlc&fdays=7

Yeah I drove up to the cabin for that storm and it was a nightmare on the roads. We had a solid foot from it though it melted pretty quick.

Altho they do fly strategically - they are impressively hard to stomp

I've wondered something similar about these random blades of grass that pop up in the driveway or walkway. No water, no fertilizer, no nothing but they mange to grow while other parts of the lawn itself are brown.

Yes.